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Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 113-108
Projected total 220.6
Scheduled
Position#6
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game119.3
Allowed / game105.9
Minnesota Timberwolves
USA
Vs
66%
34%
■ MIN 66%■ NYK 34%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.8/10
Around normal
New York Knicks
USA
Position#15
Record6-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game109.8
Allowed / game103.7
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v New York Knicks
19 Nov 2026
MIN v NYK
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MIN115
NYK104
19 Dec 2024
MIN107
NYK133
20 Nov 2023
MIN117
NYK100
07 Nov 2022
MIN107
NYK120
28 Dec 2021
MIN88
NYK96
31 Mar 2021
MIN102
NYK101
15 Apr 2020
MIN v NYK
upcoming
10 Mar 2019
MIN103
NYK92
12 Jan 2018
MIN118
NYK108
30 Nov 2016
MIN104
NYK106
20 Feb 2016
MIN95
NYK103
19 Nov 2014
MIN115
NYK99
05 Mar 2014
MIN106
NYK118
08 Feb 2013
MIN94
NYK100
11 Feb 2012
MIN98
NYK100
12 Nov 2010
MIN112
NYK103
31 Jan 2010
MIN112
NYK91
13 Mar 2009
MIN94
NYK102
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The Minnesota Timberwolves face the New York Knicks in the NBA on 19 November 2026, with the Timberwolves the model favourite as they hold a 9-3 record, averaging 119.3 points and allowing 105.9, while the Knicks sit at 6-6, 109.8 points for and 103.7 against; Minnesota's home form is 5-1, 119.7 points for and 101.3 against, and their last five games are all wins, including a 133-94 victory over Dallas, a 115-100 win over Utah, and a 115-109 win away at New Orleans; New York's road record is 2-3, 108.4 points for and 107.0 against, and their last five games include a 104-106 loss to Indiana, a 107-115 loss to Cleveland, and a 117-85 win over Milwaukee; the teams have split ten meetings, with the most recent on 23 December 2025 when Minnesota edged New York 115-104; Pythia projects a 113-108 score, 220.6 total points, a 66% chance for Minnesota to win, a 34% chance for New York, and a 6% probability of overtime, with the home team covering the spread at 66% probability.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
65.9%fair 1.52
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
New York Knicks win
34.1%fair 2.94
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:33 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
117-94
117
94
+23
120avg 108
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 108
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 108
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 108
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 108
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 108
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
133-94
133
94
+39
136avg 108
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
34-26
33-26
36-17
30-25
225.8Avg total
118.6Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)119.3105.9225.2+13.475%
Season at home (6)119.7101.3221.0+18.383%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)118.6107.2225.8+11.470%
Last 5 (5)118.4102.0220.4+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar (11)113.6115.2228.8-1.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)121.3106.2227.5+15.285%
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New York KnicksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKnicks
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
102-111
102
111
-9
90avg 109
H25/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#8
W
111-97
111
97
+14
107avg 109
H28/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
133-127
133
127
+6
124avg 109
A29/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
93-98
93
98
-5
84avg 109
A30/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
103-90
103
90
+13
99avg 109
H03/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
135-105
135
105
+30
136avg 109
H05/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
109-97
109
97
+12
101avg 109
A08/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
117-85
117
85
+32
116avg 109
H11/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
107-115
107
115
-8
105avg 109
H12/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
104-106
104
106
-2
96avg 109
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
24-27
23-23
27-40
25-38
26-12
37-13
23-34
34-33
22-29
34-34
43-31
21-29
23-24
24-24
25-21
27-21
24-23
24-35
28-11
43-21
41-31
29-27
22-26
26-27
37-26
25-17
21-27
26-21
32-13
27-38
32-13
23-33
30-26
23-23
31-33
27-26
22-32
35-27
20-21
214.5Avg total
111.4Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)109.8103.7213.4+6.150%
Season at home (7)110.7101.3212.0+9.457%
Season away (5)108.4107.0215.4+1.440%
Last 10 (10)111.4103.1214.5+8.360%
Last 5 (5)114.4101.6216.0+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)103.0107.0210.0-4.00%
vs Similar (6)105.5101.2206.7+4.383%
vs Weaker (23)116.0102.0218.0+14.070%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%5%8%11%0%1701%1751%1802%1853%1905%1956%2008%20510%21011%21510%22010%2259%2307%2355%2404%2453%2502%2551%2601%2650%2700%275
1%1752%1855%1958%20511%21510%2257%2354%2452%2551%2650%275
Pythia expects about 221 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 215-219 (11%).
Over/Under 220.5
Over 220.5
49.2%
Under 220.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 225.5
Over 225.5
38.5%
Under 225.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 230.5
Over 230.5
28.9%
Under 230.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Minnesota Timberwolves total 109.5
Over 109.5
61.9%
Under 109.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minnesota Timberwolves total 113.5
Over 113.5
48.4%
Under 113.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minnesota Timberwolves total 117.5
Over 117.5
35.0%
Under 117.5
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
New York Knicks total 108
Over 108
47.7%
Under 108
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
New York Knicks total 112
Over 112
34.5%
Under 112
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
New York Knicks total 116
Over 116
23.1%
Under 116
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-330%-301%-271%-242%-212%-183%-154%-126%-97%-67%-35%+09%+39%+68%+97%+126%+155%+184%+213%+242%+272%+301%+331%+361%+39
0%-331%-272%-213%-156%-97%-39%+38%+96%+154%+212%+271%+331%+39
Margin from Minnesota Timberwolves's side (positive = Minnesota Timberwolves win). Pythia's expected margin is +5.4; Minnesota Timberwolves win by 1+ in 59% of simulations.
Spread Minnesota Timberwolves -3
MIN -3
60.2%
NYK +3
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
MIN
No market prices yet.
NYK
No market prices yet.
Spread Minnesota Timberwolves 0
MIN 0
65.9%
NYK 0
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
MIN
No market prices yet.
NYK
No market prices yet.
Spread Minnesota Timberwolves +3
MIN +3
71.9%
NYK -3
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
MIN
No market prices yet.
NYK
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
Minnesota TimberwolvesNew York Knicks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H13/11
NBA
111.4Avg total
57.9Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.2112.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.453.9112.3+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)56.156.3112.4-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)57.953.5111.4+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)57.251.6108.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (11)57.756.5114.2+1.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)60.053.2113.2+6.885%-
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New York KnicksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H25/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H28/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A29/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A30/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H03/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
84-52
84
52
+32
H05/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A08/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H11/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H12/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A14/11
NBA
107.4Avg total
56.1Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.052.0110.1+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.652.4111.0+6.273%-
Last 30 away (15)57.551.7109.1+5.853%-
Last 10 (10)56.151.3107.4+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)61.451.2112.6+10.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)49.050.099.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (6)50.855.3106.2-4.550%-
vs Weaker (23)60.351.3111.6+9.070%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.528.2
51.7%
54.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.2
36.5%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.219.2
70.6%
77.2%19.2
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New York Knickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New York Knicks: 106.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.822.8
46.7%
54.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.114.3
36.6%
35.1%42.9
🏀 Free throws24.018.3
76.2%
77.2%18.3
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWWLWLLW
New York Knicks
LLWWWWLWWL
#6
League position
#15
+2.9
Net rating
+1.3
110.4
Offensive rating
108.1
107.6
Defensive rating
106.8
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.3%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
13.8%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.5%
3-point %
36.6%
57.0%
Assist %
65.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 108.1Defence107.6 · 106.8Shooting52.9% · 50.3%3-point %36.5% · 36.6%Ball care14.2% · 13.8%Off. rebounds34.2% · 28.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ New York Knicks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
5
New York Knicks wins
DateGameScore
24/12/25Minnesota Timberwolves v New York Knicks115-104
06/11/25New York Knicks v Minnesota Timberwolves137-114
18/01/25New York Knicks v Minnesota Timberwolves99-116
20/12/24Minnesota Timberwolves v New York Knicks107-133
01/01/24New York Knicks v Minnesota Timberwolves112-106
21/11/23Minnesota Timberwolves v New York Knicks117-100
20/03/23New York Knicks v Minnesota Timberwolves134-140
08/11/22Minnesota Timberwolves v New York Knicks107-120
19/01/22New York Knicks v Minnesota Timberwolves110-112
29/12/21Minnesota Timberwolves v New York Knicks88-96
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HDallas Mavericks133-94
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
New York Knickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIndiana Pacers104-106
12/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers107-115
11/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks117-85
08/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers109-97
05/11/26HChicago Bulls135-105
03/11/26HBrooklyn Nets103-90
30/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers93-98
29/10/26AChicago Bulls133-127
28/10/26HDetroit Pistons111-97
25/10/26HOrlando Magic102-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game119.3119.7119.0
Allowed / game105.9101.3110.5
Point differential+13.4+18.3+8.5
Avg total225.2221.0229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%83%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
New York Knicks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%57%40%
Points / game109.8110.7108.4
Allowed / game103.7101.3107.0
Point differential+6.1+9.4+1.4
Avg total213.4212.0215.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Minnesota Timberwolves129375%119.3105.9+13.4
7 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
8 Detroit Pistons118373%115.5107.8+7.7
9 Memphis Grizzlies128467%119.9111.8+8.1
10 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
11 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
12 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
13 Dallas Mavericks127558%113.2112.2+1.0
14 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
15 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
16 Miami Heat126650%117.2120.1-2.9
17 Cleveland Cavaliers136746%116.8115.8+1.0
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans134931%116.5125.6-9.2
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
27 Chicago Bulls112918%114.4127.7-13.4
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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