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Minnesota vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 80-63
39-27 41-36
Position#163
Record8-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#226
Record8-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
102-76
102
76
+26
H11/11
NCAA
Missouri
#345
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H17/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H18/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H22/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A27/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
97-64
97
64
+33
H01/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A03/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H07/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H09/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
101-65
101
65
+36
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
54-30
48-46
38-32
30-38
31-29
36-24
51-36
35-31
29-37
29-39
50-32
47-32
28-42
46-42
24-39
52-26
37-33
40-24
57-27
44-38
148.3Avg total
80.6Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.567.0147.5+13.573%
Season at home (9)83.864.1147.9+19.789%
Season away (2)66.080.0146.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)80.667.7148.3+12.970%
Last 5 (5)85.067.0152.0+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)62.373.8136.1-11.515%
vs Similar ◀ (3)76.769.7146.3+7.067%
vs Weaker (7)85.464.6150.0+20.986%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#353
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
92-51
92
51
+41
H15/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
50-74
50
74
-24
A18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H24/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A29/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-36
35-32
41-20
51-31
27-30
23-44
32-25
43-33
40-46
52-28
32-52
32-38
40-28
27-30
27-35
41-30
42-38
41-33
29-40
43-43
142.8Avg total
73.6Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.166.5142.6+9.573%
Season at home (7)83.360.0143.3+23.3100%
Season away (4)63.578.0141.5-14.525%
Last 10 (10)73.669.2142.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)70.873.4144.2-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.679.9157.4-2.343%
vs Similar ◀ (5)72.677.6150.2-5.040%
vs Weaker (18)76.867.8144.6+8.978%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +4.6+4.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +4.6+4.6
MinnesotaBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H11/11
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H17/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H18/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H22/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A27/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H01/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A03/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H07/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H13/12
NCAA
73.6Avg total
39.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.234.367.6-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.433.369.7+3.156%-
Last 30 away (12)28.535.964.4-7.417%-
Last 10 (10)39.933.773.6+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.673.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)29.135.464.5-6.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)32.734.367.0-1.733%-
vs Weaker (7)45.431.376.7+14.1100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#353
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H15/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H24/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A29/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A07/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A16/12
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.334.370.6+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.933.871.7+4.159%-
Last 30 away (13)34.234.969.2-0.754%-
Last 10 (10)34.835.069.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.038.672.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.637.471.0-3.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.440.076.4-3.660%-
vs Weaker (18)37.331.568.8+5.867%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Minnesota wins
0
Ball State wins
No previous meetings.
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HIUPUI101-65
09/12/23HFlorida Gulf Coast77-57
07/12/23HNebraska76-65
03/12/23AOhio State74-84
01/12/23HNew Orleans97-64
27/11/23ASan Francisco58-76
22/11/23HArkansas-Pine Bluff86-67
18/11/23HUSC Upstate67-53
17/11/23HMissouri68-70
11/11/23HUTSA Roadrunners102-76
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AIndiana State72-83
10/12/23HSiu Edwardsville83-71
07/12/23ADetroit68-65
02/12/23HBellarmine67-58
29/11/23AUALR64-90
24/11/23HArkansas-Pine Bluff92-74
22/11/23HUSC Upstate75-58
18/11/23AEvansville50-74
15/11/23HOakland City92-51
11/11/23HOld Dominion73-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %73%89%0%
Points / game80.583.866.0
Allowed / game67.064.180.0
Point differential+13.5+19.7-14.0
Avg total147.5147.9146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%89%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%100%25%
Points / game76.183.363.5
Allowed / game66.560.078.0
Point differential+9.5+23.3-14.5
Avg total142.6143.3141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1211192%87.369.3+18.0
2 Ohio State1210283%79.464.1+15.3
3 Nebraska1210283%76.565.8+10.8
4 Northwestern119282%72.863.1+9.7
5 Illinois108280%79.464.2+15.2
6 Minnesota118373%80.567.0+13.5
7 Wisconsin118373%73.666.0+7.6
8 Indiana118373%73.572.8+0.7
9 Washington107370%84.075.3+8.7
10 Rutgers107370%69.160.9+8.2
11 Oregon107370%78.571.0+7.5
12 Maryland117464%73.464.6+8.7
13 Michigan State127558%76.463.7+12.8
14 Iowa127558%86.677.7+8.9
15 USC116555%78.573.1+5.5
16 UCLA105550%68.561.3+7.2
17 Penn State126650%76.470.9+5.5
18 Michigan126650%83.878.4+5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass86275%84.172.9+11.2
2 Akron118373%78.366.8+11.5
3 Ball State118373%76.166.5+9.5
4 Bowling Green118373%73.565.7+7.8
5 Kent State107370%84.372.5+11.8
6 Ohio106460%81.670.1+11.5
7 Northern Illinois106460%82.276.2+6.0
8 Toledo116555%78.778.8-0.1
9 Eastern Michigan116555%67.373.9-6.6
10 Central Michigan115645%68.276.4-8.2
11 Miami (Ohio)94544%71.772.1-0.4
12 Western Michigan112918%66.475.3-8.9
13 Buffalo111109%67.681.0-13.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Minnesota394180
Ball State273663
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