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Minnesota vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 67-75
24-37 43-38
Position#245
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game61.0
vs
Position#104
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game63.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Minnesota v Michigan State
04 Feb 2026
MINN76
MICH73
04 Dec 2024
MINN72
MICH90
06 Feb 2024
MINN59
MICH56
08 Dec 2021
MINN67
MICH75
28 Dec 2020
MINN81
MICH56
26 Jan 2020
MINN52
MICH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#136
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A11/03
NCAA
UMKC
#120
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H10/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H12/11
NCAA
Princeton
#19
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
A15/11
NCAA
IPFW
#87
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H20/11
NCAA
Jacksonville
#77
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H25/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A01/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-37
35-26
27-20
24-26
27-39
48-40
33-25
38-31
35-23
38-46
38-30
21-29
31-26
47-23
30-20
25-24
22-24
32-29
35-32
46-44
132.4Avg total
69.5Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.361.0132.3+10.3100%
Season at home (4)69.254.5123.8+14.8100%
Season away (3)74.069.7143.7+4.3100%
Last 10 (10)69.562.9132.4+6.680%
Last 5 (5)71.060.4131.4+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.973.4146.3-0.561%
vs Similar (11)66.569.3135.7-2.827%
vs Weaker (1)54.053.0107.0+1.0100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#63
L
80-86 OT
80
86
-6
H19/03
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H10/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
90-46
90
46
+44
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H24/11
NCAA
Uconn
#62
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H25/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H26/11
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Toledo
#21
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-33
33-44
32-39
42-48
46-25
44-21
31-23
42-29
49-31
34-28
23-28
40-33
32-24
32-36
36-38
22-37
36-28
37-36
43-23
38-45
139.7Avg total
73.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.263.6136.8+9.778%
Season at home (8)73.265.0138.2+8.275%
Season away (1)73.052.0125.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.965.8139.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)67.865.6133.4+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)66.573.1139.6-6.633%
vs Similar (8)64.164.1128.2+0.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)79.855.2135.0+24.5100%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +0.7+0.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +0.7+0.7
MinnesotaMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#136
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
27-20
27
20
+7
A10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A11/03
NCAA
UMKC
#120
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H10/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Princeton
#19
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A15/11
NCAA
IPFW
#87
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H20/11
NCAA
Jacksonville
#77
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H25/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A01/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A05/12
NCAA
58.2Avg total
30.6Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.064.3+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.130.164.2+4.173%-
Last 30 away (15)30.633.964.5-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)30.627.658.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)31.226.457.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.032.165.1+0.961%-
vs Similar (11)32.332.564.7-0.255%-
vs Weaker (1)22.024.046.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#63
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H19/03
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H24/11
NCAA
Uconn
#62
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Toledo
#21
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H04/12
NCAA
66.4Avg total
37.2Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.531.163.6+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.729.364.1+5.463%-
Last 30 away (11)28.734.262.9-5.518%-
Last 10 (10)37.229.266.4+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)34.028.262.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.933.766.6-0.833%-
vs Similar (8)27.827.455.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.526.867.2+13.8100%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Minnesota wins
2
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
29/12/20Minnesota v Michigan State81-56
26/01/20Minnesota v Michigan State52-70
10/01/20Michigan State v Minnesota74-58
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/21AMississippi St.81-76
01/12/21APittsburgh54-53
25/11/21HJacksonville55-44
20/11/21HIPFW78-49
15/11/21APrinceton87-80 OT
12/11/21HWestern Kentucky73-69
10/11/21HUMKC71-56
11/03/21AOhio State75-79
10/03/21ANorthwestern51-46
06/03/21HRutgers70-77 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/21HToledo81-68
02/12/21HLouisville73-64
26/11/21HBaylor58-75
25/11/21HUconn64-60
24/11/21HLoyola Chicago63-61
20/11/21HEastern Michigan83-59
18/11/21AButler73-52
12/11/21HWestern Michigan90-46
10/11/21HKansas74-87
19/03/21HUCLA80-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game71.369.274.0
Allowed / game61.054.569.7
Point differential+10.3+14.8+4.3
Avg total132.3123.8143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Michigan State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %78%75%100%
Points / game73.273.273.0
Allowed / game63.665.052.0
Point differential+9.7+8.2+21.0
Avg total136.8138.2125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%38%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue880100%90.564.9+25.6
2 USC990100%78.361.3+17.0
3 Minnesota770100%71.361.0+10.3
4 Wisconsin98189%69.959.1+10.8
5 UCLA87188%82.966.8+16.1
6 Iowa97278%90.170.1+20.0
7 Indiana97278%78.063.8+14.2
8 Illinois97278%77.965.9+12.0
9 Michigan State97278%73.263.6+9.7
10 Northwestern86275%78.863.2+15.5
11 Ohio State86275%74.968.2+6.6
12 Michigan96367%72.964.9+8.0
13 Oregon95456%68.364.4+3.9
14 Penn State95456%67.764.3+3.3
15 Maryland95456%68.666.7+1.9
16 Nebraska105550%76.175.3+0.8
17 Rutgers84450%65.665.9-0.2
18 Washington84450%72.673.5-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Minnesota244367
Michigan State373875
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