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Michigan State vs Minnesota Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-67
32-34 45-33
Position#154
Record18-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game65.9
vs
Position#163
Record18-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Michigan State v Minnesota
02 Dec 2026
MICH v MINN
upcoming
28 Jan 2025
MICH73
MINN51
14 Mar 2024
MICH77
MINN67
18 Jan 2024
MICH76
MINN66
15 Feb 2023
MICH v MINN
upcoming
12 Jan 2022
MICH71
MINN69
09 Jan 2020
MICH74
MINN58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A18/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A03/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-27
32-27
32-27
24-32
44-41
44-39
45-31
35-41
39-37
34-26
33-45
38-33
32-22
25-38
35-38
39-42
20-25
33-24
29-34
35-31
133.9Avg total
67.9Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.465.9139.2+7.558%
Season at home (21)75.663.2138.8+12.471%
Season away (10)68.671.5140.1-2.930%
Last 10 (10)67.966.0133.9+1.950%
Last 5 (5)63.866.4130.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.575.8149.2-2.225%
vs Similar ◀ (16)68.867.0135.8+1.850%
vs Weaker (10)80.358.8139.1+21.590%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#154
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A16/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H23/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A25/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
97-105
97
105
-8
A29/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H02/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H07/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
32-24
51-38
34-52
43-35
33-49
37-37
44-33
42-34
46-45
20-28
35-45
45-48
52-57
30-42
45-28
25-30
33-40
41-53
25-37
152.7Avg total
74.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.771.6147.3+4.158%
Season at home (20)77.566.1143.6+11.580%
Season away (11)72.381.5153.8-9.318%
Last 10 (10)74.078.7152.7-4.740%
Last 5 (5)70.281.6151.8-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.088.3165.3-11.30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)72.273.0145.2-0.853%
vs Weaker (12)79.366.6145.9+12.875%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -3.1-3.1
Michigan StateMinnesota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H03/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H21/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
20-25
20
25
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A10/03
NCAA
66.7Avg total
34.0Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.429.665.0+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.226.661.8+8.770%-
Last 30 away (10)35.735.671.3+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.032.766.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)29.832.862.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.235.868.0-3.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.831.665.4+2.262%-
vs Weaker (10)39.223.863.0+15.480%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#154
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H23/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A25/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H02/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A10/03
NCAA
73.8Avg total
36.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.735.371.0+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.232.568.7+3.753%-
Last 30 away (11)34.940.175.0-5.218%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.773.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.240.272.4-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.040.079.0-1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.336.467.7-5.120%-
vs Weaker (12)40.432.773.1+7.867%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Michigan State wins
2
Minnesota wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AIndiana64-65
07/03/24HNorthwestern53-49
03/03/24APurdue74-80
25/02/24HOhio State57-60
21/02/24HIowa71-78
18/02/24AMichigan73-63
14/02/24APenn State80-72
10/02/24HIllinois88-80
07/02/24AMinnesota56-59
03/02/24HMaryland63-54
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24ANorthwestern66-90
07/03/24HIndiana58-70
02/03/24HPenn State75-70
29/02/24AIllinois97-105
25/02/24ANebraska55-73
23/02/24HOhio State88-79
18/02/24HRutgers81-70
16/02/24APurdue76-84
11/02/24AIowa85-90
07/02/24HMichigan State59-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL58%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312110
Win %58%71%30%
Points / game73.475.668.6
Allowed / game65.963.271.5
Point differential+7.5+12.4-2.9
Avg total139.2138.8140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Minnesota
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL58%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312011
Win %58%80%18%
Points / game75.777.572.3
Allowed / game71.666.181.5
Point differential+4.1+11.4-9.3
Avg total147.3143.7153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3128390%84.270.2+14.0
2 Illinois3123874%83.972.9+11.0
3 Nebraska3122971%76.869.3+7.5
4 Northwestern31211068%74.169.0+5.1
5 Oregon31201165%75.872.6+3.3
6 Ohio State31191261%74.569.0+5.5
7 Wisconsin31191261%74.469.8+4.6
8 Michigan State31181358%73.465.9+7.5
9 Iowa31181358%83.178.7+4.4
10 Minnesota31181358%75.771.6+4.1
11 Indiana31181358%72.974.2-1.3
12 Washington32171553%80.677.1+3.5
13 Maryland32161650%69.465.2+4.2
14 Penn State32161650%75.673.8+1.8
15 UCLA32161650%66.065.4+0.6
16 USC32151747%74.974.4+0.5
17 Rutgers32151747%65.466.5-1.2
18 Michigan3282425%72.979.0-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State324577
Minnesota343367
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