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Minnesota vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 69-70 (OT)
30-35 33-28 6-7
Position#235
Record10-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game65.8
Minnesota
USA
vs
USC 🏆
USA
Position#153
Record12-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#191
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H22/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H29/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H04/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
89-53
89
53
+36
H14/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
78-50
78
50
+28
H21/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-34
38-43
34-31
34-41
27-51
48-35
33-33
40-31
32-35
25-50
45-25
44-28
41-22
37-28
32-29
28-14
34-34
50-44
31-24
39-43
139.4Avg total
71.9Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.365.8139.1+7.567%
Season at home (12)74.861.8136.6+13.175%
Season away (3)67.082.0149.0-15.033%
Last 10 (10)71.967.5139.4+4.460%
Last 5 (5)76.258.2134.4+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)67.972.8140.7-4.850%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.170.8140.9-0.744%
vs Weaker (5)79.452.0131.4+27.4100%
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#89
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H25/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A03/12
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H06/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A10/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
102-63
102
63
+39
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
66-96
66
96
-30
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
51-80
51
80
-29
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-42
45-39
43-43
45-32
39-39
43-38
48-30
28-54
38-38
56-43
33-26
35-35
40-31
57-39
45-26
57-37
31-49
35-47
17-33
34-47
157.5Avg total
80.7Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.377.0162.3+8.380%
Season at home (9)92.075.4167.4+16.689%
Season away (6)75.279.3154.5-4.267%
Last 10 (10)80.776.8157.5+3.970%
Last 5 (5)76.874.0150.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.381.1155.4-6.943%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.077.4158.4+3.655%
vs Weaker (5)99.871.6171.4+28.2100%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +2.4+2.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +2.4+2.4
MinnesotaUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#191
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H22/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H28/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H29/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H04/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H14/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H07/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
33.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.031.963.8+0.137%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.931.565.4+2.445%-
Last 30 away (10)28.132.660.7-4.520%-
Last 10 (10)33.631.865.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.626.863.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.634.163.6-4.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.832.963.7-2.122%-
vs Weaker (5)41.823.064.8+18.8100%-
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#89
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H25/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/12
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H06/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A10/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H15/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
17-33
17
33
-16
A06/01
NCAA
72.9Avg total
37.2Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.772.5+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.033.373.3+6.773%-
Last 30 away (15)33.538.171.7-4.613%-
Last 10 (10)37.235.772.9+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.233.066.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.936.769.6-3.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.035.573.5+2.545%-
vs Weaker (5)45.033.478.4+11.680%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Minnesota wins
0
USC wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25USC v Minnesota66-69
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HIowa70-67
03/01/26ANorthwestern84-78
30/12/25HFairleigh Dickinson60-43
21/12/25HCampbell78-50
14/12/25HTexas Southern89-53
11/12/25APurdue57-85
04/12/25HIndiana73-64
29/11/25HSanta Clara75-86
28/11/25HStanford68-72
22/11/25HSan Francisco65-77
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26AMichigan State51-80
03/01/26AMichigan66-96
21/12/25HUC Santa Cruz102-63
18/12/25HUTSA Roadrunners97-70
15/12/25HWashington State68-61
10/12/25ASan Diego Toreros94-81
06/12/25HWashington76-84
03/12/25AOregon82-77
26/11/25AArizona State88-75
25/11/25HSeton Hall83-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %67%75%33%
Points / game73.374.867.0
Allowed / game65.861.882.0
Point differential+7.5+13.1-15.0
Avg total139.1136.6149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %7%8%0%
USC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL80%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %80%89%67%
Points / game85.392.075.2
Allowed / game77.075.479.3
Point differential+8.3+16.6-4.2
Avg total162.3167.4154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan14140100%95.166.9+28.2
2 Nebraska15150100%81.165.7+15.3
3 Purdue1514193%86.066.9+19.1
4 Michigan State1614288%78.964.5+14.4
5 Illinois1512380%86.767.3+19.4
6 Iowa1512380%79.860.8+19.0
7 Indiana1512380%85.067.0+18.0
8 USC1512380%85.377.0+8.3
9 Ohio State1511473%83.771.3+12.4
10 UCLA1510567%79.770.0+9.7
11 Wisconsin1510567%82.574.1+8.4
12 Minnesota1510567%73.365.8+7.5
13 Washington159660%81.773.1+8.7
14 Penn State159660%77.774.2+3.5
15 Northwestern158753%79.470.8+8.6
16 Oregon168850%76.773.2+3.4
17 Rutgers168850%69.373.1-3.8
18 Maryland157847%74.678.1-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Minnesota3033669
USC3528770
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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