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Mississippi St. vs Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-81
34-33 34-48
Position#116
Record17-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Florida 🏆
USA
Position#6
Record20-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Florida
13 Jan 2027
MISS v FLOR
upcoming
11 Feb 2025
MISS68
FLOR81
21 Jan 2023
MISS59
FLOR61
16 Jan 2021
MISS72
FLOR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#301
W
85-50
85
50
+35
H04/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H12/01
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A15/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A22/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
65-60 OT
65
60
+5
A25/01
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H30/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
61-88
61
88
-27
H01/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-18
42-32
39-28
37-36
44-49
46-46
27-46
39-42
37-29
37-45
16-34
40-34
28-20
27-35
39-44
45-44
31-45
30-43
40-32
36-43
150.0Avg total
74.3Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.771.3151.1+8.474%
Season at home (14)84.772.9157.6+11.971%
Season away (9)72.069.0141.0+3.078%
Last 10 (10)74.375.7150.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)68.475.8144.2-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)66.975.2142.1-8.425%
vs Similar (14)78.571.8150.3+6.771%
vs Weaker (8)85.167.2152.4+17.988%
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#71
L
100-106
100
106
-6
A04/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
73-43
73
43
+30
H08/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A11/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H15/01
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H18/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
89-59
89
59
+30
H25/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
44-64
44
64
-20
A01/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-52
58-54
34-15
39-28
28-25
43-38
34-50
48-33
37-30
47-30
29-36
41-33
51-26
38-33
21-24
23-40
35-36
51-39
48-38
42-43
149.2Avg total
78.9Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.766.4150.1+17.387%
Season at home (16)86.262.8149.1+23.494%
Season away (7)77.974.7152.6+3.171%
Last 10 (10)78.970.3149.2+8.670%
Last 5 (5)75.869.6145.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.086.0153.0-19.00%
vs Similar (5)98.489.6188.0+8.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)83.266.9150.2+16.383%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +5.9+5.9
Mississippi St.Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#301
W
43-18
43
18
+25
H04/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/01
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A15/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H18/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
16-34
16
34
-18
A22/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A25/01
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H01/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/02
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.4Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.969.5+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.735.273.9+3.550%-
Last 30 away (14)32.132.464.6-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)34.434.568.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)30.835.065.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)29.135.965.0-6.812%-
vs Similar (14)35.934.170.0+1.950%-
vs Weaker (8)41.631.673.2+10.075%-
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#71
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A04/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
34-15
34
15
+19
H08/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A11/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H15/01
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H18/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H25/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A01/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H05/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A08/02
NCAA
69.1Avg total
35.9Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.032.472.4+7.667%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.531.573.0+10.070%-
Last 30 away (10)37.034.171.1+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)35.933.269.1+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.832.068.8+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.038.068.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (5)45.440.285.6+5.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)39.330.569.8+8.871%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mississippi St. wins
3
Florida wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25AGeorgia76-75
01/02/25HMissouri61-88
30/01/25HAlabama84-88
25/01/25ASouth Carolina65-60 OT
22/01/25ATennessee56-68
18/01/25HOle Miss84-81 OT
15/01/25AAuburn66-88
12/01/25HKentucky90-95
08/01/25AVanderbilt76-64
04/01/25HSouth Carolina85-50
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25AAuburn90-81
05/02/25HVanderbilt86-75
01/02/25ATennessee44-64
25/01/25HGeorgia89-59
23/01/25ASouth Carolina70-69
18/01/25HTexas84-60
15/01/25HMissouri82-83
11/01/25AArkansas71-63
08/01/25HTennessee73-43
04/01/25AKentucky100-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW74%
HomeWLWLL71%
AwayWLLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %74%71%78%
Points / game79.784.772.0
Allowed / game71.372.969.0
Point differential+8.4+11.9+3.0
Avg total151.1157.6141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %9%7%11%
Florida
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW87%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %87%94%71%
Points / game83.786.277.9
Allowed / game66.462.874.7
Point differential+17.3+23.4+3.1
Avg total150.1149.1152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%88%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn2321291%85.067.7+17.3
2 Florida2320387%83.766.4+17.3
3 Alabama2320387%90.078.4+11.6
4 Tennessee2420483%74.859.2+15.5
5 Texas A&M2318578%75.066.1+8.9
6 Ole Miss2418675%78.368.5+9.9
7 Missouri2317674%82.469.2+13.2
8 Vanderbilt2317674%81.171.9+9.3
9 Mississippi St.2317674%79.771.3+8.4
10 Kentucky2316770%86.776.6+10.2
11 Oklahoma2316770%78.571.7+6.9
12 Georgia2416867%76.067.4+8.6
13 Texas2415962%78.567.5+11.0
14 Arkansas2314961%77.069.4+7.6
15 LSU23121152%77.072.3+4.7
16 South Carolina23101343%69.969.7+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.343468
Florida334881
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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