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Auburn vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 88-66
46-27 42-39
Position#12
Record15-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game66.0
Auburn 🏆
USA
vs
Position#116
Record14-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Auburn v Mississippi St.
26 Jan 2027
AUBU v MISS
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
AUBU79
MISS61
14 Jan 2025
AUBU88
MISS66
16 Mar 2024
AUBU73
MISS66
02 Mar 2024
AUBU78
MISS63
14 Jan 2023
AUBU69
MISS63
06 Mar 2021
AUBU78
MISS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H27/11
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A05/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
98-54
98
54
+44
H08/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
91-53
91
53
+38
A14/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
100-59
100
59
+41
H18/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A21/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
W
87-58
87
58
+29
H30/12
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H04/01
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A08/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-31
43-45
36-43
42-41
52-27
46-27
49-21
42-32
43-31
57-28
41-26
46-43
46-28
41-30
45-33
39-35
39-27
48-55
34-40
32-23
153.4Avg total
86.8Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.666.0152.6+20.694%
Season at home (9)90.862.7153.4+28.1100%
Season away (7)81.170.3151.4+10.986%
Last 10 (10)86.866.6153.4+20.290%
Last 5 (5)82.268.0150.2+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
vs Similar (4)81.277.5158.8+3.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.867.2154.0+19.688%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#266
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
90-57
90
57
+33
H05/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H08/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A14/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H18/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A21/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
85-50
85
50
+35
H04/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-40
43-47
47-25
43-32
44-44
47-40
29-29
37-34
32-25
51-34
48-32
31-34
52-45
35-28
43-18
42-32
39-28
37-36
44-49
46-46
152.2Avg total
82.4Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.968.3152.2+15.688%
Season at home (11)87.069.4156.4+17.682%
Season away (5)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.469.8152.2+12.680%
Last 5 (5)83.469.6153.0+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.472.2143.6-0.840%
vs Similar (15)78.472.4150.8+6.067%
vs Weaker (10)83.765.8149.5+17.990%
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.5+12.51st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: +7.7+7.72nd half: +4.9+4.9
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.5+12.51st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: +7.7+7.72nd half: +4.9+4.9
AuburnMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/11
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A05/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H08/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
49-21
49
21
+28
A14/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H18/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A21/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A08/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/01
NCAA
73.9Avg total
43.2Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.032.973.8+8.170%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.931.274.1+11.783%-
Last 30 away (12)38.135.473.5+2.750%-
Last 10 (10)43.230.773.9+12.580%-
Last 5 (5)41.030.871.8+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (4)36.539.876.2-3.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.931.473.2+10.580%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#266
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H30/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H05/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H08/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H18/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A21/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
43-18
43
18
+25
H04/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/01
NCAA
74.7Avg total
41.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.633.670.2+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.134.273.3+4.959%-
Last 30 away (13)33.332.966.2+0.446%-
Last 10 (10)41.233.574.7+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.234.479.6+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.630.663.2+2.040%-
vs Similar (15)35.336.071.3-0.740%-
vs Weaker (10)40.531.672.1+8.980%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Auburn wins
1
Mississippi St. wins
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ASouth Carolina66-63
08/01/25ATexas87-82
04/01/25HMissouri84-68
30/12/24HMonmouth87-58
21/12/24APurdue87-69
18/12/24HGeorgia State100-59
14/12/24AOhio State91-53
08/12/24HRichmond Spiders98-54
05/12/24ADuke78-84
27/11/24HMemphis90-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HKentucky90-95
08/01/25AVanderbilt76-64
04/01/25HSouth Carolina85-50
31/12/24HBethune-Cookman87-73
21/12/24AMemphis79-66
18/12/24HCentral Michigan83-59
14/12/24AMcNeese State66-63
08/12/24HPrairie View A&M91-84
05/12/24HPittsburgh90-57
30/11/24HButler77-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %94%100%86%
Points / game86.690.881.1
Allowed / game66.062.770.3
Point differential+20.6+28.1+10.9
Avg total152.6153.4151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%89%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %88%82%100%
Points / game83.987.077.0
Allowed / game68.369.466.0
Point differential+15.6+17.6+11.0
Avg total152.2156.4143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%64%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida1615194%86.264.8+21.4
2 Auburn1615194%86.666.0+20.6
3 Tennessee1615194%77.157.9+19.2
4 Georgia1614288%79.964.2+15.7
5 Mississippi St.1614288%83.968.3+15.6
6 Ole Miss1614288%79.064.6+14.4
7 Alabama1614288%91.177.4+13.7
8 Missouri1613381%85.168.5+16.6
9 Vanderbilt1613381%83.467.6+15.8
10 Kentucky1613381%89.274.9+14.2
11 Texas A&M1613381%77.465.4+12.0
12 Oklahoma1613381%81.271.1+10.1
13 Texas1611569%81.965.4+16.4
14 LSU1611569%81.269.4+11.8
15 Arkansas1611569%78.466.9+11.4
16 South Carolina1610662%72.868.2+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Auburn464288
Mississippi St.273966
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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