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Florida vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 79-70
43-34 36-36
Position#73
Record12-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game76.0
Florida 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#130
Record13-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Florida v Mississippi St.
03 Mar 2026
FLOR108
MISS74
24 Jan 2024
FLOR79
MISS70
09 Mar 2023
FLOR68
MISS69
19 Jan 2022
FLOR80
MISS72
28 Jan 2020
FLOR71
MISS78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#40
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H09/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H15/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
A20/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
96-57
96
57
+39
H22/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
97-72
97
72
+25
H30/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H06/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
85-103
85
103
-18
A11/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A16/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-30
47-46
37-30
33-35
38-37
43-44
44-27
52-30
52-29
45-43
45-37
40-50
40-44
45-59
46-33
44-35
32-44
34-41
37-34
42-33
164.2Avg total
86.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.876.0160.8+8.867%
Season at home (11)87.671.5159.1+16.282%
Season away (7)80.483.1163.6-2.743%
Last 10 (10)86.178.1164.2+8.070%
Last 5 (5)81.082.0163.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.378.7146.0-11.333%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.978.3156.1-0.429%
vs Weaker (12)86.072.3158.3+13.792%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#251
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H09/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H14/12
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H17/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A23/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A06/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
–
–
53-41
32-40
36-32
36-22
29-29
41-31
41-22
44-40
28-30
34-38
35-22
42-50
38-40
36-42
29-47
48-43
36-21
32-34
147.6Avg total
77.6Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.965.7140.6+9.372%
Season at home (13)77.364.1141.4+13.285%
Season away (5)68.869.8138.6-1.040%
Last 10 (10)77.670.0147.6+7.670%
Last 5 (5)71.673.4145.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.778.0145.7-10.333%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.065.2136.2+5.856%
vs Weaker (11)72.761.6134.4+11.191%
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
FloridaMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#40
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H09/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A20/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H06/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A11/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A21/01
NCAA
75.6Avg total
41.1Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.834.571.3+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.431.770.1+6.867%-
Last 30 away (12)34.338.873.1-4.442%-
Last 10 (10)41.134.575.6+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.478.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.339.066.3-11.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.535.972.4+0.643%-
vs Weaker (12)40.431.772.1+8.783%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H14/12
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A23/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H20/01
NCAA
67.7Avg total
36.1Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.830.464.2+3.462%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.028.664.6+7.478%-
Last 30 away (11)30.233.563.6-3.336%-
Last 10 (9)36.131.667.7+4.656%-
Last 5 (5)33.232.065.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.336.765.0-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.330.764.1+2.660%-
vs Weaker (11)35.928.364.2+7.673%-
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Florida wins
3
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
09/03/23Florida v Mississippi St.68-69 OT
22/01/23Mississippi St. v Florida59-61
19/01/22Florida v Mississippi St.80-72
16/01/21Mississippi St. v Florida72-69
29/01/20Florida v Mississippi St.71-78
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AMissouri79-67
16/01/24ATennessee66-85
13/01/24HArkansas90-68
11/01/24AOle Miss85-103
06/01/24HKentucky85-87
30/12/23HQuinnipiac97-72
22/12/23HGrambling St.96-57
20/12/23AMichigan106-101 OT
15/12/23HEast Carolina70-65
09/12/23HRichmond Spiders87-76
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HVanderbilt68-55
18/01/24AKentucky77-90
14/01/24HAlabama74-82
11/01/24HTennessee77-72
06/01/24ASouth Carolina62-68
31/12/23HBethune-Cookman85-62
23/12/23ARutgers70-60
17/12/23HNorth Texas72-54
14/12/23HMurray State85-81
09/12/23HTulane106-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW67%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %67%82%43%
Points / game84.887.680.4
Allowed / game76.071.583.1
Point differential+8.8+16.2-2.7
Avg total160.8159.1163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%73%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%14%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW72%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %72%85%40%
Points / game74.977.368.8
Allowed / game65.764.169.8
Point differential+9.3+13.2-1.0
Avg total140.6141.4138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn1916384%83.366.0+17.3
2 South Carolina1916384%73.364.5+8.8
3 Ole Miss1815383%76.771.3+5.4
4 Oklahoma1915479%78.365.6+12.7
5 Tennessee1814478%79.766.3+13.4
6 Kentucky1814478%89.977.3+12.6
7 Texas1914574%77.167.0+10.1
8 Georgia1914574%76.271.6+4.6
9 Mississippi St.1813572%74.965.7+9.3
10 Alabama1913668%88.674.9+13.7
11 Florida1812667%84.876.0+8.8
12 Texas A&M1912763%74.168.2+5.9
13 LSU1911858%76.170.2+5.9
14 Arkansas1810856%77.677.6+0.1
15 Missouri1981142%74.173.6+0.5
16 Vanderbilt1851328%67.271.9-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida433679
Mississippi St.343670
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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