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Mississippi St. vs Iowa State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 96-80
53-35 43-45
Position#257
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game62.0
Mississippi St. 🏆
USA
vs
Iowa State
USA
Position#34
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game56.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Iowa State
10 Nov 2025
MISS96
IOWA80
30 Jan 2021
MISS95
IOWA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iowa State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H19/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
73-111
73
111
-38
A26/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H01/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A08/03
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H12/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A13/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H21/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H06/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-31
40-23
37-34
50-59
27-53
46-58
35-37
46-32
32-37
39-34
44-45
48-48
44-24
47-38
34-39
39-46
32-37
40-38
38-37
48-25
159.8Avg total
80.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.062.0148.0+24.0100%
Season at home (1)86.062.0148.0+24.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.779.1159.8+1.640%
Last 5 (5)82.875.4158.2+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.484.0152.4-15.612%
vs Similar (13)81.774.6156.3+7.162%
vs Weaker (9)82.667.2149.8+15.389%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#233
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A26/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H02/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A08/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A13/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H21/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H24/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
88-50
88
50
+38
H04/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
102-62
102
62
+40
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-40
42-34
43-30
41-37
24-33
44-35
34-26
39-31
33-24
43-32
53-49
39-47
40-24
42-31
29-40
49-51
45-19
43-31
44-30
58-32
152.4Avg total
82.8Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.056.0151.0+39.0100%
Season at home (2)95.056.0151.0+39.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.869.6152.4+13.260%
Last 5 (5)88.470.8159.2+17.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)80.377.7158.0+2.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)79.965.2145.1+14.778%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +7.9+7.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +7.9+7.9
Mississippi St.Iowa State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A26/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A08/03
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A13/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/11
NCAA
72.7Avg total
35.3Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.272.0+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.135.373.4+2.847%-
Last 30 away (13)34.935.270.1-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.472.7-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.474.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)29.640.470.0-10.812%-
vs Similar (13)38.633.672.2+5.062%-
vs Weaker (9)40.333.073.3+7.367%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#233
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H02/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H05/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A08/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H12/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A13/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H21/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H24/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H04/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H07/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
37.1Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.731.868.5+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.129.269.2+10.978%-
Last 30 away (12)31.835.767.4-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.131.568.6+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.232.474.6+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)35.134.970.0+0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.230.868.0+6.465%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mississippi St. wins
0
Iowa State wins
DateGameScore
30/01/21Mississippi St. v Iowa State95-56
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25HNorth Alabama86-62
21/03/25HBaylor72-75
13/03/25AMissouri73-85
12/03/25HLSU91-62
08/03/25AArkansas92-93
05/03/25HTexas82-87 OT
01/03/25HLSU81-69
26/02/25AAlabama73-111
22/02/25AOklahoma87-93
19/02/25HTexas A&M70-54
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/25HGrambling St.102-62
04/11/25HFairleigh Dickinson88-50
24/03/25HOle Miss78-91
21/03/25HLipscomb82-55
13/03/25ABrigham Young92-96
12/03/25HCincinnati76-56
08/03/25AKansas State73-57
05/03/25HBrigham Young85-88 OT
02/03/25HArizona84-67
26/02/25AOklahoma State68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game62.062.0-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total148.0148.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Iowa State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.095.0-
Allowed / game56.056.0-
Point differential+39.0+39.0-
Avg total151.0151.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia330100%106.056.3+49.7
2 Kentucky220100%92.055.0+37.0
3 LSU110100%96.060.0+36.0
4 Vanderbilt220100%105.077.0+28.0
5 Tennessee220100%85.558.5+27.0
6 Ole Miss220100%87.061.5+25.5
7 Mississippi St.110100%86.062.0+24.0
8 Auburn220100%95.073.5+21.5
9 Missouri330100%94.373.0+21.3
10 Alabama220100%97.079.0+18.0
11 South Carolina220100%87.075.5+11.5
12 Texas A&M32167%88.375.0+13.3
13 Florida21150%95.578.5+17.0
14 Arkansas21150%87.573.0+14.5
15 Texas21150%78.567.5+11.0
16 Oklahoma21150%85.074.5+10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State220100%95.056.0+39.0
2 Texas Tech220100%98.068.5+29.5
3 Kansas State220100%95.567.5+28.0
4 Brigham Young220100%84.559.5+25.0
5 Oklahoma State220100%91.067.0+24.0
6 Cincinnati220100%84.063.5+20.5
7 Houston220100%70.052.5+17.5
8 Arizona220100%93.077.0+16.0
9 Arizona State220100%81.065.0+16.0
10 West Virginia330100%70.755.3+15.3
11 Baylor220100%87.075.0+12.0
12 Utah Utes220100%88.082.0+6.0
13 Colorado220100%93.087.5+5.5
14 TCU21150%89.070.5+18.5
15 Kansas21150%84.069.0+15.0
16 UCF Knights21150%87.591.5-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.534396
Iowa State354580
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