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Missouri vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 85-73
39-34 46-39
Position#89
Record21-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game73.2
Missouri 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#116
Record21-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Missouri v Mississippi St.
31 Jan 2026
MISS84
MISS79
13 Mar 2025
MISS85
MISS73
10 Feb 2024
MISS51
MISS75
21 Feb 2023
MISS66
MISS64
20 Feb 2022
MISS56
MISS58
29 Feb 2020
MISS63
MISS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H13/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A15/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
110-98
110
98
+12
H20/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A23/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H26/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A06/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-28
47-57
29-38
35-29
44-24
38-34
38-41
49-33
59-46
51-52
48-41
37-51
52-37
49-34
38-29
43-52
37-50
47-46
29-38
54-53
169.9Avg total
87.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.573.2157.7+11.468%
Season at home (21)86.969.2156.1+17.686%
Season away (10)79.781.5161.2-1.830%
Last 10 (10)87.082.9169.9+4.140%
Last 5 (5)89.289.4178.6-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.082.0165.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (6)82.584.2166.7-1.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.669.5155.1+16.078%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H12/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H19/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
73-111
73
111
-38
A26/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H01/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A08/03
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-32
36-43
34-33
34-48
40-33
41-38
30-31
40-23
37-34
50-59
27-53
46-58
35-37
46-32
32-37
39-34
44-45
48-48
44-24
47-38
159.7Avg total
80.1Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.073.8153.8+6.266%
Season at home (19)83.172.3155.3+10.868%
Season away (13)75.576.1151.5-0.662%
Last 10 (10)80.179.6159.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)83.884.4168.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.783.9151.6-16.114%
vs Similar (15)82.173.7155.9+8.473%
vs Weaker (8)82.167.9150.0+14.288%
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
MissouriMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A06/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H13/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H20/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A23/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A01/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A06/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H08/03
NCAA
78.0Avg total
40.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.633.475.0+8.173%-
Last 30 at home (21)42.832.074.8+10.881%-
Last 30 away (9)38.736.875.4+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.278.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.079.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.034.084.0+16.0100%-
vs Similar (6)37.736.574.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.232.674.8+9.678%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/02
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A26/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A08/03
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H12/03
NCAA
72.2Avg total
36.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.371.9+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.035.473.4+2.647%-
Last 30 away (13)34.835.169.9-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.972.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.275.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)29.040.669.6-11.614%-
vs Similar (15)38.134.372.3+3.860%-
vs Weaker (8)40.632.573.1+8.162%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Missouri wins
7
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Mississippi St. v Missouri61-88
11/02/24Missouri v Mississippi St.51-75
22/02/23Missouri v Mississippi St.66-64 OT
04/02/23Mississippi St. v Missouri63-52
21/02/22Missouri v Mississippi St.56-58
19/02/22Mississippi St. v Missouri68-49
06/01/21Mississippi St. v Missouri78-63
29/02/20Missouri v Mississippi St.63-67
15/01/20Mississippi St. v Missouri72-45
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HKentucky83-91
06/03/25AOklahoma84-96
01/03/25AVanderbilt93-97 OT
26/02/25HSouth Carolina101-71
23/02/25AArkansas85-92
20/02/25HAlabama110-98
15/02/25AGeorgia87-74
13/02/25HOklahoma82-58
08/02/25HTexas A&M64-67
06/02/25ATennessee81-85
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HLSU91-62
08/03/25AArkansas92-93
05/03/25HTexas82-87 OT
01/03/25HLSU81-69
26/02/25AAlabama73-111
22/02/25AOklahoma87-93
19/02/25HTexas A&M70-54
15/02/25AOle Miss81-71
12/02/25HFlorida68-81
08/02/25AGeorgia76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL68%
HomeLWWWL86%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312110
Win %68%86%30%
Points / game84.586.979.7
Allowed / game73.269.281.5
Point differential+11.4+17.6-1.8
Avg total157.7156.1161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%10%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW66%
HomeLWWLW68%
AwayWWLLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %66%68%62%
Points / game80.083.175.5
Allowed / game73.872.376.1
Point differential+6.2+10.8-0.6
Avg total153.8155.3151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%53%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)40% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %9%11%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3127487%84.568.2+16.3
2 Auburn3127487%85.270.0+15.2
3 Tennessee3125681%74.561.9+12.6
4 Alabama3124777%91.281.1+10.1
5 Texas A&M32221069%74.367.9+6.4
6 Ole Miss32221069%77.872.0+5.8
7 Missouri31211068%84.573.2+11.4
8 Kentucky31211068%85.877.0+8.8
9 Mississippi St.32211166%80.073.8+6.2
10 Georgia32201262%75.669.3+6.2
11 Vanderbilt32201262%79.674.8+4.8
12 Oklahoma32201262%78.774.5+4.2
13 Arkansas33201361%76.671.2+5.5
14 Texas33191458%78.671.9+6.7
15 LSU32141844%73.873.6+0.2
16 South Carolina32122038%69.871.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri394685
Mississippi St.343973
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