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Mississippi St. vs LSU Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 91-62
44-24 47-38
Position#116
Record20-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game74.2
Mississippi St. 🏆
USA
vs
LSU
USA
Position#255
Record14-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mississippi St. v LSU
12 Mar 2025
MISS91
LSU62
01 Mar 2025
MISS81
LSU69
08 Feb 2023
MISS64
LSU53
10 Feb 2021
MISS80
LSU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#89
L
61-88
61
88
-27
H01/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H12/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H19/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
73-111
73
111
-38
A26/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H01/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-45
30-43
40-32
36-43
34-33
34-48
40-33
41-38
30-31
40-23
37-34
50-59
27-53
46-58
35-37
46-32
32-37
39-34
44-45
48-48
159.3Avg total
77.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.674.2153.8+5.465%
Season at home (18)82.672.8155.4+9.867%
Season away (13)75.576.1151.5-0.662%
Last 10 (10)77.182.2159.3-5.140%
Last 5 (5)83.090.6173.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.783.9151.6-16.114%
vs Similar (15)82.173.7155.9+8.473%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.468.4151.8+15.088%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A06/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H09/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A13/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A15/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H19/02
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H22/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
64-95
64
95
-31
A05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
52-66
52
66
-14
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
31-44
39-33
31-39
35-34
23-36
29-35
53-44
41-27
40-40
37-31
28-48
23-26
36-39
37-35
32-46
23-50
41-45
32-30
20-36
141.7Avg total
66.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.273.0147.3+1.245%
Season at home (20)78.270.5148.8+7.760%
Season away (11)67.077.5144.5-10.518%
Last 10 (10)66.275.5141.7-9.320%
Last 5 (5)61.877.2139.0-15.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.077.5142.5-12.56%
vs Similar (8)83.071.6154.6+11.4100%
vs Weaker (4)93.059.0152.0+34.0100%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -8.2-8.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -8.2-8.2
Mississippi St.LSU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#89
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H01/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/02
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A26/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A08/03
NCAA
73.0Avg total
35.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.372.0+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.235.573.6+2.747%-
Last 30 away (13)34.835.169.9-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)35.038.073.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.041.276.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.040.669.6-11.614%-
vs Similar (15)38.134.372.3+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.032.673.6+8.462%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A06/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H09/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A13/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A15/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H19/02
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H26/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H08/03
NCAA
66.5Avg total
32.7Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.731.764.4+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (19)32.929.662.5+3.447%-
Last 30 away (11)32.235.467.5-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)32.733.866.5-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)30.434.464.8-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.934.064.9-3.139%-
vs Similar (8)32.931.664.5+1.238%-
vs Weaker (4)40.221.561.8+18.875%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mississippi St. wins
3
LSU wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Mississippi St. v LSU81-69
14/03/24LSU v Mississippi St.60-70
25/02/24LSU v Mississippi St.67-87
09/02/23Mississippi St. v LSU64-53
13/02/22LSU v Mississippi St.69-65
11/02/21Mississippi St. v LSU80-94
12/01/20LSU v Mississippi St.60-59
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AArkansas92-93
05/03/25HTexas82-87 OT
01/03/25HLSU81-69
26/02/25AAlabama73-111
22/02/25AOklahoma87-93
19/02/25HTexas A&M70-54
15/02/25AOle Miss81-71
12/02/25HFlorida68-81
08/02/25AGeorgia76-75
01/02/25HMissouri61-88
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HTexas A&M52-66
05/03/25AKentucky64-95
01/03/25AMississippi St.69-81
26/02/25HTennessee59-65
22/02/25HFlorida65-79
19/02/25HSouth Carolina81-67
15/02/25AOklahoma82-79
13/02/25AArkansas58-70
09/02/25HOle Miss70-72
06/02/25AGeorgia62-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL65%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayWWLLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game79.682.675.5
Allowed / game74.272.876.1
Point differential+5.4+9.8-0.6
Avg total153.8155.4151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)40% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %10%11%8%
LSU
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeLWLLL60%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312011
Win %45%60%18%
Points / game74.278.267.0
Allowed / game73.070.577.5
Point differential+1.2+7.7-10.5
Avg total147.3148.8144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3127487%84.568.2+16.3
2 Auburn3127487%85.270.0+15.2
3 Tennessee3125681%74.561.9+12.6
4 Alabama3124777%91.281.1+10.1
5 Texas A&M3122971%73.867.1+6.7
6 Missouri31211068%84.573.2+11.4
7 Kentucky31211068%85.877.0+8.8
8 Ole Miss31211068%77.671.8+5.9
9 Georgia31201165%75.668.9+6.6
10 Mississippi St.31201165%79.674.2+5.4
11 Arkansas32201262%76.570.8+5.7
12 Vanderbilt32201262%79.674.8+4.8
13 Oklahoma31191261%78.674.5+4.1
14 Texas32181456%78.271.4+6.8
15 LSU31141745%74.273.0+1.2
16 South Carolina32122038%69.871.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.444791
LSU243862
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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