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LSU vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 67-87
33-40 34-47
Position#182
Record14-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#130
Record18-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · LSU v Mississippi St.
28 Jan 2026
LSU66
MISS80
14 Mar 2024
LSU60
MISS70
24 Feb 2024
LSU67
MISS87
12 Feb 2022
LSU69
MISS65
11 Jan 2020
LSU60
MISS59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#109
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H20/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
88-109
88
109
-21
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H03/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
92-109
92
109
-17
H10/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A14/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A17/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
54-47
35-33
34-40
33-35
33-33
44-50
44-59
45-30
50-44
27-50
41-38
46-49
46-60
34-48
46-34
25-32
39-31
27-36
48-38
160.6Avg total
78.6Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.274.3151.5+2.954%
Season at home (16)79.270.0149.2+9.269%
Season away (10)74.081.2155.2-7.230%
Last 10 (10)78.682.0160.6-3.440%
Last 5 (5)75.883.2159.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.385.2162.6-7.925%
vs Similar ◀ (15)72.268.6140.8+3.660%
vs Weaker (3)93.061.3154.3+31.7100%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A25/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A31/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
67-99
67
99
-32
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
75-51
75
51
+24
A11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-47
48-43
36-21
32-34
34-43
36-36
21-21
43-37
39-39
43-47
24-47
43-52
36-28
39-34
30-26
45-25
34-29
37-38
40-44
43-27
145.0Avg total
73.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.567.5142.0+7.069%
Season at home (17)76.464.2140.5+12.288%
Season away (9)70.973.8144.7-2.933%
Last 10 (10)73.271.8145.0+1.460%
Last 5 (5)74.270.0144.2+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.873.0139.8-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.670.9144.5+2.747%
vs Weaker (11)74.061.5135.5+12.591%
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +3.6+3.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +3.6+3.6
LSUMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#109
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H03/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H10/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A17/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H22/02
NCAA
74.7Avg total
35.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.235.771.9+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.932.570.4+5.471%-
Last 30 away (13)34.039.973.9-5.923%-
Last 10 (10)35.139.674.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)31.843.074.8-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.841.978.8-5.142%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.132.766.8+1.347%-
vs Weaker (3)44.326.070.3+18.3100%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H20/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A25/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
32.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.631.865.4+1.752%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.128.864.9+7.471%-
Last 30 away (12)29.936.266.1-6.225%-
Last 10 (10)32.334.566.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.867.6-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.532.859.2-6.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.634.868.4-1.136%-
vs Weaker (11)36.027.763.7+8.382%-
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
LSU wins
1
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
09/02/23Mississippi St. v LSU64-53
13/02/22LSU v Mississippi St.69-65
11/02/21Mississippi St. v LSU80-94
12/01/20LSU v Mississippi St.60-59
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HKentucky75-74
17/02/24ASouth Carolina64-63
14/02/24AFlorida80-82
10/02/24HAlabama92-109
08/02/24ATennessee68-88
03/02/24HArkansas95-74
28/01/24AAlabama88-109
24/01/24AGeorgia66-68
20/01/24HTexas A&M69-73
18/01/24HOle Miss89-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HOle Miss83-71
17/02/24HArkansas71-67
11/02/24AMissouri75-51
08/02/24HGeorgia75-62
04/02/24AAlabama67-99
31/01/24AOle Miss82-86
27/01/24HAuburn64-58
25/01/24AFlorida70-79
20/01/24HVanderbilt68-55
18/01/24AKentucky77-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LSU
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %54%69%30%
Points / game77.279.274.0
Allowed / game74.370.081.2
Point differential+2.9+9.2-7.2
Avg total151.5149.2155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%10%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %69%88%33%
Points / game74.576.470.9
Allowed / game67.564.273.8
Point differential+7.0+12.2-2.9
Avg total142.0140.5144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%59%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina2722581%71.865.1+6.6
2 Auburn2721678%82.767.3+15.4
3 Tennessee2721678%80.366.6+13.7
4 Alabama2719870%91.178.9+12.2
5 Kentucky2719870%88.777.9+10.8
6 Oklahoma2719870%76.267.2+9.0
7 Florida2719870%84.877.1+7.6
8 Ole Miss2719870%75.172.2+3.0
9 Mississippi St.2618869%74.567.5+7.0
10 Texas27171063%75.368.6+6.8
11 Texas A&M27151256%73.270.4+2.9
12 Georgia27151256%76.174.9+1.2
13 LSU26141254%77.274.3+2.9
14 Arkansas27141352%75.777.7-2.0
15 Missouri2781930%72.074.9-2.9
16 Vanderbilt2772026%66.174.4-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
LSU333467
Mississippi St.404787
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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