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Drake vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-62
33-31 41-31
Position#24
Record24-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game64.8
Drake 🏆
USA
vs
Murray State
USA
Position#182
Record17-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Drake v Murray State
24 Jan 2027
DRAK v MURR
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
DRAK101
MURR90
05 Jan 2025
DRAK59
MURR66
18 Feb 2024
DRAK95
MURR72
03 Mar 2023
DRAK74
MURR62
07 Jan 2023
DRAK82
MURR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
H02/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
92-68
92
68
+24
A08/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
82-51
82
51
+31
H23/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-26
26-42
39-26
40-35
28-33
36-31
31-35
35-31
55-39
37-29
45-22
37-37
41-31
41-43
42-23
28-33
42-32
40-19
34-37
27-36
146.4Avg total
79.1Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.664.8140.4+10.977%
Season at home (17)79.061.9140.9+17.194%
Season away (14)71.668.2139.8+3.457%
Last 10 (10)79.167.3146.4+11.890%
Last 5 (5)75.462.6138.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)73.268.2141.4+5.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)76.064.8140.7+11.280%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#177
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
56-99
56
99
-43
A04/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
68-92
68
92
-24
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
48-83
48
83
-35
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
78-50
78
50
+28
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
37-36
49-43
34-39
28-40
28-59
39-55
29-37
21-30
27-53
40-35
36-40
27-24
47-34
34-46
35-38
33-32
32-33
38-25
40-25
147.3Avg total
70.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)70.772.0142.7-1.355%
Season at home (15)73.666.9140.5+6.780%
Season away (16)68.076.8144.8-8.831%
Last 10 (10)70.377.0147.3-6.760%
Last 5 (5)74.868.6143.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)67.377.3144.7-10.033%
vs Similar (13)71.570.8142.2+0.762%
vs Weaker (5)77.458.4135.8+19.0100%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -4.9-4.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -4.9-4.9
DrakeMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H02/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A08/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A16/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H23/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A26/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
40.1Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.129.867.0+7.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.926.864.8+11.175%-
Last 30 away (14)36.233.369.5+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)40.130.470.5+9.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.829.069.8+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)39.430.269.6+9.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)36.729.866.4+6.968%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#177
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H28/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
21-30
21
30
-9
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H18/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H03/03
NCAA
71.1Avg total
34.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.166.3+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.132.667.7+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)31.333.664.9-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)34.636.571.1-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.432.466.8+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.335.667.9-3.233%-
vs Similar (13)32.833.666.4-0.854%-
vs Weaker (5)36.425.862.2+10.680%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Drake wins
0
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
08/02/23Murray State v Drake68-92
07/01/23Drake v Murray State82-64
27/11/19Murray State v Drake53-63
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23ABradley61-73
23/02/23HIllinois State82-51
19/02/23HBelmont70-56
16/02/23ANorthern Iowa82-74
11/02/23HSouthern Illinois82-59
08/02/23AMurray State92-68
05/02/23AValparaiso85-82 OT
02/02/23HNorthern Iowa88-81 OT
29/01/23ABelmont79-61
25/01/23HIndiana State70-68
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HValparaiso78-50
26/02/23HValparaiso77-76 OT
22/02/23AMissouri State69-84
18/02/23HEvansville74-58
16/02/23AIllinois State76-75
11/02/23ABradley48-83
08/02/23HDrake68-92
04/02/23AIndiana State56-99
02/02/23HBelmont83-82
28/01/23HMissouri State74-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %77%94%57%
Points / game75.679.071.6
Allowed / game64.861.968.2
Point differential+10.9+17.1+3.4
Avg total140.4140.9139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%59%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %13%12%14%
Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW55%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%80%31%
Points / game70.773.668.0
Allowed / game72.066.976.8
Point differential-1.3+6.7-8.8
Avg total142.7140.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)83% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %10%13%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake3124777%75.664.8+10.9
2 Bradley3224875%71.561.5+10.1
3 Southern Illinois3122971%66.561.6+4.9
4 Indiana State33221167%79.769.2+10.5
5 Belmont32211166%76.571.8+4.6
6 Murray State31171455%70.772.0-1.3
7 Northern Iowa32141844%70.169.9+0.2
8 Illinois (Chi.)32122038%67.271.6-4.5
9 Illinois State32112134%66.570.5-4.0
10 Valparaiso32112134%68.973.6-4.7
11 Evansville3252716%62.476.0-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake334174
Murray State313162
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