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Tennessee vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 87-53
46-22 41-31
Position#62
Record11-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game53.2
vs
Position#125
Record10-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game56.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Tennessee v Mississippi St.
21 Jan 2025
TENN68
MISS56
15 Mar 2024
TENN56
MISS73
03 Jan 2023
TENN87
MISS53
11 Mar 2022
TENN72
MISS59
26 Jan 2021
TENN56
MISS53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#256
W
71-45
71
45
+26
H24/11
NCAA
USC
#73
W
73-66 OT
73
66
+7
A24/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
76-40
76
40
+36
H01/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
94-40
94
40
+54
H04/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
84-49
84
49
+35
H08/12
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Arizona
#16
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A18/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
86-44
86
44
+42
H21/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-23
43-22
37-34
25-28
33-25
31-25
30-14
46-26
49-22
45-18
32-21
52-28
34-17
22-36
35-35
35-40
52-22
34-22
28-34
35-25
125.8Avg total
73.7Scored
52.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.853.2127.0+20.585%
Season at home (9)76.649.1125.7+27.489%
Season away (4)67.562.5130.0+5.075%
Last 10 (10)73.752.1125.8+21.690%
Last 5 (5)71.856.0127.8+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)68.462.8131.1+5.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)74.757.5132.2+17.191%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
79-42
79
42
+37
H18/11
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A12/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A15/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-15
41-27
23-17
35-38
25-21
27-28
34-24
40-30
38-22
44-30
32-24
37-27
31-26
38-33
27-30
41-36
31-23
21-35
30-34
37-44
123.4Avg total
67.0Scored
56.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)66.756.0122.7+10.777%
Season at home (9)68.856.1124.9+12.778%
Season away (4)62.055.8117.8+6.275%
Last 10 (10)67.056.4123.4+10.680%
Last 5 (5)65.062.4127.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)61.071.6132.6-10.610%
vs Similar (10)65.861.9127.7+3.960%
vs Weaker (9)73.052.2125.2+20.8100%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.1+11.11st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +9.8+9.82nd half: +3.3+3.3
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.1+11.11st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +9.8+9.82nd half: +3.3+3.3
TennesseeMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#256
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H24/11
NCAA
USC
#73
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
30-14
30
14
+16
H01/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H04/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H08/12
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
34-17
34
17
+17
H11/12
NCAA
Arizona
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A18/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H21/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A28/12
NCAA
60.5Avg total
35.8Scored
24.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.927.763.6+8.277%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.926.464.2+11.590%-
Last 30 away (10)32.030.362.3+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)35.824.760.5+11.180%-
Last 5 (5)36.225.862.0+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)36.428.665.0+7.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)35.727.463.1+8.486%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
38-15
38
15
+23
H18/11
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
23-17
23
17
+6
A22/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H24/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H03/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A12/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A15/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A20/12
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/12
NCAA
54.5Avg total
30.9Scored
23.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.229.259.3+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.128.361.4+4.953%-
Last 30 away (15)27.230.157.3-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)30.923.654.5+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)30.227.457.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)27.733.461.1-5.720%-
vs Similar (10)28.829.758.5-0.930%-
vs Weaker (9)35.724.159.8+11.6100%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tennessee wins
1
Mississippi St. wins
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/22AOle Miss63-59
21/12/22HAustin Peay86-44
18/12/22AArizona70-75
11/12/22HMaryland56-53
08/12/22HEastern Kentucky84-49
04/12/22HAlcorn State94-40
01/12/22HMcNeese State76-40
26/11/22AKansas64-50
24/11/22AUSC73-66 OT
24/11/22HButler71-45
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22HAlabama67-78
20/12/22ADrake52-58
17/12/22HNicholls State68-66
15/12/22AJackson State69-59
12/12/22AMinnesota69-51
03/12/22HMiss. Valley St.82-52
29/11/22HNebraska O.74-54
24/11/22HUtah Utes52-49
22/11/22AMarquette58-55
18/11/22HSouth Dakota Coyotes79-42

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW85%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %85%89%75%
Points / game73.876.667.5
Allowed / game53.249.162.5
Point differential+20.5+27.4+5.0
Avg total127.0125.7130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%78%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%25%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL77%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %77%78%75%
Points / game66.768.862.0
Allowed / game56.056.155.8
Point differential+10.7+12.7+6.2
Avg total122.7124.9117.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%56%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas1312192%82.762.7+20.0
2 Missouri1312192%88.874.7+14.1
3 LSU1312192%72.063.4+8.6
4 Tennessee1311285%73.853.2+20.5
5 Arkansas1311285%77.761.8+15.9
6 Alabama1311285%83.271.7+11.5
7 Auburn1311285%72.761.8+10.9
8 Mississippi St.1310377%66.756.0+10.7
9 Georgia1310377%71.364.0+7.3
10 Kentucky139469%79.066.2+12.8
11 Oklahoma139469%69.061.4+7.6
12 Texas A&M138562%75.768.6+7.1
13 Ole Miss138562%69.263.5+5.7
14 Florida137654%75.166.7+8.4
15 Vanderbilt137654%69.865.9+3.9
16 South Carolina137654%64.869.1-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee464187
Mississippi St.223153
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