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Mississippi St. vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 67-78
30-34 37-44
Position#125
Record10-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game54.2
Mississippi St.
USA
vs
Alabama 🏆
USA
Position#11
Record10-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Alabama
02 Jan 2027
MISS v ALAB
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MISS82
ALAB97
29 Jan 2025
MISS84
ALAB88
13 Jan 2024
MISS74
ALAB82
28 Dec 2022
MISS67
ALAB78
15 Jan 2022
MISS78
ALAB76
27 Feb 2021
MISS59
ALAB64
25 Feb 2020
MISS80
ALAB73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
80-47
80
47
+33
H13/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
79-42
79
42
+37
H18/11
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A12/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A15/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-19
39-28
38-15
41-27
23-17
35-38
25-21
27-28
34-24
40-30
38-22
44-30
32-24
37-27
31-26
38-33
27-30
41-36
31-23
21-35
121.6Avg total
68.3Scored
53.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)66.754.2120.8+12.583%
Season at home (8)69.053.4122.4+15.688%
Season away (4)62.055.8117.8+6.275%
Last 10 (10)68.353.3121.6+15.090%
Last 5 (5)68.057.2125.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)60.370.9131.2-10.611%
vs Similar (11)66.463.5129.9+2.855%
vs Weaker (9)73.052.2125.2+20.8100%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#166
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
104-62
104
62
+42
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
H27/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
90-100
90
100
-10
H17/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-22
33-33
51-39
53-23
42-37
39-33
30-35
37-47
37-34
40-43
42-35
36-30
27-31
44-34
36-33
55-55
42-47
48-53
33-32
51-32
158.6Avg total
83.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.772.1155.8+11.683%
Season at home (9)87.475.0162.4+12.478%
Season away (3)72.363.3135.7+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.475.2158.6+8.280%
Last 5 (5)82.876.4159.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.578.6153.1-4.138%
vs Similar (12)79.277.7156.9+1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.371.7156.0+12.690%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +5.3+5.3
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +5.3+5.3
Mississippi St.Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
41-19
41
19
+22
H13/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
38-15
38
15
+23
H18/11
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
23-17
23
17
+6
A22/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H24/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H03/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A12/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A15/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A20/12
NCAA
54.1Avg total
32.0Scored
22.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.529.259.7+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.427.961.2+5.557%-
Last 30 away (16)28.130.458.4-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)32.022.154.1+9.990%-
Last 5 (5)31.825.056.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)27.433.360.8-5.922%-
vs Similar (11)29.930.260.1-0.336%-
vs Weaker (9)35.724.159.8+11.6100%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#166
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A10/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H17/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H21/12
NCAA
71.7Avg total
37.2Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.373.1+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.534.371.8+3.270%-
Last 30 away (10)38.637.275.8+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.571.7+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.671.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.438.174.5-1.850%-
vs Similar (12)38.234.973.2+3.358%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.533.471.9+5.190%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mississippi St. wins
5
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
17/02/22Alabama v Mississippi St.80-75
15/01/22Mississippi St. v Alabama78-76
12/03/21Alabama v Mississippi St.85-48
27/02/21Mississippi St. v Alabama59-64
23/01/21Alabama v Mississippi St.81-73
26/02/20Mississippi St. v Alabama80-73
09/01/20Alabama v Mississippi St.90-69
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/22ADrake52-58
17/12/22HNicholls State68-66
15/12/22AJackson State69-59
12/12/22AMinnesota69-51
03/12/22HMiss. Valley St.82-52
29/11/22HNebraska O.74-54
24/11/22HUtah Utes52-49
22/11/22AMarquette58-55
18/11/22HSouth Dakota Coyotes79-42
13/11/22HArkansas-Pine Bluff80-47
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HJackson State84-64
17/12/22HGonzaga90-100
14/12/22HMemphis91-88
10/12/22AHouston71-65
04/12/22HSouth Dakota St.78-65
27/11/22HNorth Carolina103-101 OT
26/11/22HUconn67-82
25/11/22AMichigan State81-70
19/11/22HJacksonville State104-62
16/11/22ASouth Alabama65-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %83%88%75%
Points / game66.769.062.0
Allowed / game54.253.455.8
Point differential+12.5+15.6+6.2
Avg total120.8122.4117.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %83%78%100%
Points / game83.787.472.3
Allowed / game72.175.063.3
Point differential+11.6+12.4+9.0
Avg total155.8162.4135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%56%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %8%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Missouri1312192%88.874.7+14.1
2 Texas1211192%83.862.2+21.6
3 Arkansas1211192%79.461.9+17.5
4 LSU1211192%73.063.9+9.1
5 Tennessee1311285%73.853.2+20.5
6 Auburn1311285%72.761.8+10.9
7 Mississippi St.1210283%66.754.2+12.5
8 Alabama1210283%83.772.1+11.6
9 Georgia1310377%71.364.0+7.3
10 Oklahoma129375%69.060.7+8.3
11 Kentucky128467%78.466.4+12.0
12 Ole Miss138562%69.263.5+5.7
13 Texas A&M127558%74.868.8+6.0
14 Florida137654%75.166.7+8.4
15 Vanderbilt126650%67.966.8+1.1
16 South Carolina126650%64.169.5-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.303767
Alabama344478
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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