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Auburn vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 69-63
30-22 39-41
Position#106
Record13-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game63.2
Auburn 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#125
Record11-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game64.6
Allowed / game57.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Auburn v Mississippi St.
26 Jan 2027
AUBU v MISS
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
AUBU79
MISS61
14 Jan 2025
AUBU88
MISS66
16 Mar 2024
AUBU73
MISS66
02 Mar 2024
AUBU78
MISS63
14 Jan 2023
AUBU69
MISS63
06 Mar 2021
AUBU78
MISS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#95
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Colgate
#40
W
93-66
93
66
+27
H03/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H15/12
NCAA
USC
#73
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A18/12
NCAA
Washington
#212
W
84-61
84
61
+23
A22/12
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
29-27
47-33
46-33
32-38
41-44
28-31
44-33
39-35
32-39
31-23
53-38
23-26
38-32
30-37
34-39
36-25
36-34
34-35
48-38
141.0Avg total
73.7Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.763.2135.9+9.581%
Season at home (9)73.459.9133.3+13.6100%
Season away (7)71.767.4139.1+4.357%
Last 10 (10)73.767.3141.0+6.470%
Last 5 (5)72.665.4138.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.164.0134.1+6.164%
vs Weaker (19)77.167.7144.7+9.479%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#343
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A12/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A15/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H29/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
53-87
53
87
-34
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-24
40-30
38-22
44-30
32-24
37-27
31-26
38-33
27-30
41-36
31-23
21-35
30-34
37-44
22-46
31-41
26-23
38-31
19-20
31-38
126.5Avg total
64.8Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)64.657.9122.6+6.769%
Season at home (10)68.355.9124.2+12.480%
Season away (6)58.561.3119.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)64.861.7126.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)57.267.0124.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)59.971.7131.6-11.811%
vs Similar ◀ (10)65.861.9127.7+3.960%
vs Weaker (10)69.352.2121.5+17.190%
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +1.3+1.3
AuburnMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#95
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Colgate
#40
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H03/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A10/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H15/12
NCAA
USC
#73
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A18/12
NCAA
Washington
#212
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A22/12
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H29/12
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H08/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/01
NCAA
65.2Avg total
33.6Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.229.563.8+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.429.765.1+5.872%-
Last 30 away (12)32.429.361.8+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)33.631.665.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)30.829.260.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.128.962.0+4.264%-
vs Weaker (19)34.929.964.8+5.063%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#343
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H03/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A12/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A15/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A20/12
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
19-20
19
20
-1
A11/01
NCAA
56.2Avg total
29.0Scored
27.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.528.357.8+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.127.159.1+5.053%-
Last 30 away (15)26.929.556.4-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)29.027.256.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)25.629.254.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.134.062.1-5.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)28.829.758.5-0.930%-
vs Weaker (10)32.421.954.3+10.590%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Auburn wins
0
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
03/03/22Mississippi St. v Auburn68-81 OT
06/03/21Auburn v Mississippi St.78-71
04/01/20Mississippi St. v Auburn68-80
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23AOle Miss82-73
08/01/23HArkansas72-59
04/01/23AGeorgia64-76
29/12/22HFlorida61-58
22/12/22AWashington84-61
18/12/22AUSC71-74
15/12/22HGeorgia State72-64
10/12/22AMemphis73-82
03/12/22HColgate93-66
27/11/22HSt. Louis Billikens65-60
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23AGeorgia50-58
07/01/23HOle Miss64-54
04/01/23ATennessee53-87
29/12/22HAlabama67-78
20/12/22ADrake52-58
17/12/22HNicholls State68-66
15/12/22AJackson State69-59
12/12/22AMinnesota69-51
03/12/22HMiss. Valley St.82-52
29/11/22HNebraska O.74-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %81%100%57%
Points / game72.773.471.7
Allowed / game63.259.967.4
Point differential+9.5+13.6+4.3
Avg total135.9133.3139.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL69%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %69%80%50%
Points / game64.668.358.5
Allowed / game57.955.961.3
Point differential+6.7+12.4-2.8
Avg total122.6124.2119.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas1715288%81.566.0+15.5
2 Alabama1715288%84.469.5+14.9
3 Tennessee1714382%74.454.0+20.4
4 Auburn1613381%72.763.2+9.5
5 Missouri1713476%84.475.4+9.0
6 Georgia1713476%70.563.9+6.6
7 Arkansas1712571%76.266.1+10.1
8 Texas A&M1712571%76.266.4+9.8
9 LSU1712571%69.767.1+2.6
10 Mississippi St.1611569%64.657.9+6.7
11 Kentucky1711665%75.566.8+8.7
12 Oklahoma1711665%69.263.5+5.8
13 Florida1710759%74.266.4+7.8
14 Vanderbilt179853%72.969.5+3.4
15 Ole Miss178947%67.465.7+1.7
16 South Carolina178947%64.072.3-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Auburn303969
Mississippi St.224163
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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