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Alabama vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 66-63
29-36 37-27
Position#11
Record17-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game69.0
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#125
Record11-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game63.9
Allowed / game59.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Alabama v Mississippi St.
25 Feb 2026
ALAB100
MISS75
25 Feb 2025
ALAB111
MISS73
03 Feb 2024
ALAB99
MISS67
10 Mar 2023
ALAB72
MISS49
25 Jan 2023
ALAB66
MISS63
16 Feb 2022
ALAB80
MISS75
12 Mar 2021
ALAB85
MISS48
23 Jan 2021
ALAB81
MISS73
08 Jan 2020
ALAB90
MISS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#42
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
90-100
90
100
-10
H17/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A29/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H04/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
78-52
78
52
+26
H07/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A12/01
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
106-66
106
66
+40
H14/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A18/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
85-64
85
64
+21
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
55-55
42-47
48-53
33-32
51-32
34-30
44-37
44-23
40-39
35-24
43-28
33-33
51-36
59-22
47-44
36-26
42-40
38-28
47-36
155.6Avg total
85.8Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.169.0153.1+15.189%
Season at home (12)87.971.2159.2+16.783%
Season away (7)77.465.1142.6+12.3100%
Last 10 (10)85.869.8155.6+16.090%
Last 5 (5)86.263.4149.6+22.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.275.8146.0-5.525%
vs Similar (11)79.577.6157.2+1.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.967.0151.9+17.9100%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#265
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A15/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H29/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
53-87
53
87
-34
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H18/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-26
38-33
27-30
41-36
31-23
21-35
30-34
37-44
22-46
31-41
26-23
38-31
19-20
31-38
22-30
41-39
23-23
36-47
24-33
35-28
126.4Avg total
60.4Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)63.959.3123.3+4.658%
Season at home (12)66.857.5124.2+9.267%
Season away (7)59.162.4121.6-3.343%
Last 10 (10)60.466.0126.4-5.630%
Last 5 (5)59.062.4121.4-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)59.471.4130.9-12.011%
vs Similar (10)64.762.2126.9+2.550%
vs Weaker (10)69.352.2121.5+17.190%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -2.3-2.3
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -2.3-2.3
AlabamaMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#42
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H17/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H21/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A29/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H04/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A12/01
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H14/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A21/01
NCAA
68.8Avg total
39.0Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.432.570.9+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.232.171.3+7.279%-
Last 30 away (11)37.033.270.2+3.864%-
Last 10 (10)39.029.868.8+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.226.666.8+13.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.037.074.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (11)38.034.772.7+3.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.129.668.7+9.593%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#265
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A15/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A20/12
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
19-20
19
20
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H22/01
NCAA
54.3Avg total
25.5Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.328.456.7-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.026.956.9+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)26.729.956.5-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)25.528.854.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)22.825.848.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)27.032.759.7-5.722%-
vs Similar (10)26.431.257.6-4.820%-
vs Weaker (10)32.421.954.3+10.590%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alabama wins
2
Mississippi St. wins
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23AMissouri85-64
18/01/23AVanderbilt78-66
14/01/23HLSU106-66
12/01/23AArkansas84-69
07/01/23HKentucky78-52
04/01/23HOle Miss84-62
29/12/22AMississippi St.78-67
21/12/22HJackson State84-64
17/12/22HGonzaga90-100
14/12/22HMemphis91-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23HFlorida59-61
18/01/23HTennessee59-70
15/01/23AAuburn63-69
11/01/23AGeorgia50-58
07/01/23HOle Miss64-54
04/01/23ATennessee53-87
29/12/22HAlabama67-78
20/12/22ADrake52-58
17/12/22HNicholls State68-66
15/12/22AJackson State69-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %89%83%100%
Points / game84.187.977.4
Allowed / game69.071.265.1
Point differential+15.1+16.7+12.3
Avg total153.1159.2142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%67%86%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %5%8%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL58%
HomeWLWLL67%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %58%67%43%
Points / game63.966.859.1
Allowed / game59.357.562.4
Point differential+4.6+9.2-3.3
Avg total123.3124.2121.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama1917289%84.169.0+15.1
2 Tennessee2017385%74.053.7+20.4
3 Texas2017385%80.566.8+13.7
4 Auburn1916384%72.662.6+10.1
5 Missouri2015575%83.376.0+7.3
6 Arkansas2014670%75.065.0+10.1
7 Kentucky2014670%75.766.3+9.3
8 Texas A&M1913668%74.566.1+8.4
9 Georgia2013765%69.666.3+3.3
10 Florida2012860%72.865.0+7.7
11 LSU2012860%66.567.2-0.7
12 Mississippi St.1911858%63.959.3+4.6
13 Oklahoma2011955%67.264.6+2.6
14 Vanderbilt20101050%72.270.5+1.6
15 Ole Miss2091145%67.566.7+0.8
16 South Carolina2081240%63.673.0-9.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama293766
Mississippi St.362763
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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