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Missouri vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 85-77
52-39 33-38
Position#111
Record8-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#330
Record3-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game81.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Missouri v Alabama State
11 Dec 2025
MISS85
ALAB77
30 Dec 2024
MISS82
ALAB65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Howard
#55
W
88-67
88
67
+21
A04/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H08/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
106-68
106
68
+38
H09/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H18/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
102-68
102
68
+34
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
98-66
98
66
+32
H26/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H28/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A03/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-26
46-41
46-51
43-33
50-40
56-28
32-30
51-30
49-27
42-46
53-42
49-26
55-30
43-36
46-24
40-35
40-33
31-43
25-33
35-47
157.5Avg total
87.4Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.470.1157.5+17.380%
Season at home (7)93.668.3161.9+25.3100%
Season away (3)73.074.3147.3-1.333%
Last 10 (10)87.470.1157.5+17.380%
Last 5 (5)83.469.8153.2+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.081.3165.3+2.767%
vs Similar (8)81.879.8161.5+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.771.6156.3+13.168%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#12
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A20/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A08/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A12/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
124-68
124
68
+56
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-41
32-42
30-46
34-55
36-35
41-39
63-29
61-39
22-46
44-48
39-32
25-34
59-45
42-35
37-28
31-55
51-38
36-55
35-30
29-44
159.4Avg total
77.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.481.4160.9-2.033%
Season at home (2)112.574.0186.5+38.5100%
Season away (7)70.083.6153.6-13.614%
Last 10 (10)77.881.6159.4-3.830%
Last 5 (5)76.879.2156.0-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.883.1153.9-12.333%
vs Similar (11)70.168.3138.4+1.873%
vs Weaker (10)76.863.7140.5+13.160%
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.2+10.21st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: -7.1-7.1
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.2+10.21st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: -7.1-7.1
MissouriAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Howard
#55
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A04/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H08/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H09/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H13/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H18/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H26/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H28/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A03/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A07/12
NCAA
77.4Avg total
43.8Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.334.876.1+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.334.277.5+9.178%-
Last 30 away (12)38.235.773.9+2.658%-
Last 10 (10)43.833.677.4+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.832.476.2+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.036.779.7+6.367%-
vs Similar (8)37.135.472.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.734.377.0+8.579%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A20/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A08/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
63-29
63
29
+34
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A07/12
NCAA
77.3Avg total
40.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.833.268.0+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.332.469.6+4.964%-
Last 30 away (19)33.433.767.1-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.077.3+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.234.678.8+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.136.972.0-1.867%-
vs Similar (11)33.932.966.8+1.036%-
vs Weaker (10)35.530.265.7+5.360%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Missouri wins
0
Alabama State wins
DateGameScore
31/12/24Missouri v Alabama State82-65
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25AKansas60-80
03/12/25ANotre Dame71-76
28/11/25HCleveland State86-59
26/11/25HSouth Carolina St98-66
21/11/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes102-68
18/11/25HPrairie View A&M91-73
13/11/25HMinnesota83-60
09/11/25HVMI106-68
08/11/25HSoutheast Missouri State89-84
04/11/25AHoward88-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25AUT Martin64-74
27/11/25ANew Mexico87-93
23/11/25ASiu Edwardsville68-83
21/11/25HIU Indy101-80
19/11/25AAir Force64-66
18/11/25AColorado66-94
15/11/25HVirginia-Lynchburg124-68
12/11/25AUAB77-74
08/11/25AFlorida State64-101
20/03/25AAuburn63-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %80%100%33%
Points / game87.493.673.0
Allowed / game70.168.374.3
Point differential+17.3+25.3-1.3
Avg total157.5161.9147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%86%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %33%100%14%
Points / game79.4112.570.0
Allowed / game81.474.083.6
Point differential-2.0+38.5-13.6
Avg total160.9186.5153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt990100%96.873.0+23.8
2 Georgia98189%99.971.2+28.7
3 LSU98189%88.469.9+18.6
4 Missouri108280%87.470.1+17.3
5 Arkansas97278%87.671.0+16.6
6 Alabama97278%95.179.2+15.9
7 Texas107370%89.173.2+15.9
8 Tennessee107370%80.966.0+14.9
9 Texas A&M107370%91.076.9+14.1
10 Auburn107370%85.976.7+9.2
11 South Carolina96367%81.169.7+11.4
12 Oklahoma96367%84.775.0+9.7
13 Kentucky106460%85.567.0+18.5
14 Florida95456%82.272.4+9.8
15 Ole Miss95456%75.368.0+7.3
16 Mississippi St.95456%80.176.8+3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs84450%65.973.9-8.0
2 Prairie View A&M94544%81.975.1+6.8
3 Southern Univ.104640%89.080.5+8.5
4 Alabama State93633%79.481.4-2.0
5 Grambling St.93633%69.472.8-3.3
6 Bethune-Cookman93633%73.878.8-5.0
7 Florida A&M61517%66.386.8-20.5
8 Texas Southern71614%73.786.7-13.0
9 Jackson State91811%58.689.7-31.1
10 Miss. Valley St.101910%67.190.4-23.3
11 Alcorn State101910%66.590.3-23.8
12 Arkansas-Pine Bluff111109%70.394.5-24.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri523385
Alabama State393877
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