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Missouri vs Illinois Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 21 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#145
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#86
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Missouri v Illinois
20 Dec 2026
MISS v ILLI
upcoming
22 Dec 2024
MISS77
ILLI80
22 Dec 2022
MISS93
ILLI71
22 Dec 2021
MISS63
ILLI88
12 Dec 2020
MISS81
ILLI78
21 Dec 2019
MISS63
ILLI56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A28/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H12/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A21/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#246
W
111-50
111
50
+61
H04/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
96-58
96
58
+38
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-47
45-47
26-29
47-40
54-23
34-41
26-35
38-45
36-39
38-35
29-38
43-40
26-27
40-53
56-18
55-32
38-49
46-41
48-24
48-34
157.5Avg total
82.4Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.066.0163.0+31.067%
Season at home (3)97.066.0163.0+31.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.475.1157.5+7.340%
Last 5 (5)85.871.2157.0+14.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.282.2154.4-10.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.480.1154.5-5.736%
vs Weaker (10)87.964.8152.7+23.190%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
105-70
105
70
+35
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H28/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A04/04
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
120-45
120
45
+75
H03/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
112-70
112
70
+42
H06/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
108-86
108
86
+22
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
42-48
40-30
65-40
35-28
41-27
24-22
41-33
28-32
43-27
29-37
33-34
67-20
53-25
53-30
59-40
29-49
49-35
45-40
63-46
157.1Avg total
88.5Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)104.571.2175.8+33.275%
Season at home (3)113.367.0180.3+46.3100%
Season away (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)88.568.6157.1+19.970%
Last 5 (5)96.071.2167.2+24.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)72.672.2144.8+0.460%
vs Weaker (25)86.767.2154.0+19.580%
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +13.4+13.4
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +13.4+13.4
MissouriIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
54-23
54
23
+31
A28/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H12/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A21/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#246
W
56-18
56
18
+38
H04/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#14
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H10/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
38.0Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.870.8+3.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.632.572.1+7.153%-
Last 30 away (13)33.635.669.2-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)38.032.970.9+5.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.270.6+8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.635.967.4-4.311%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.737.470.1-4.618%-
vs Weaker (10)46.628.174.7+18.5100%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H28/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A04/04
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
67-20
67
20
+47
H03/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A11/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.931.070.9+8.977%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.628.570.1+13.183%-
Last 30 away (12)37.234.872.0+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)38.631.870.4+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.279.8+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)31.235.867.0-4.620%-
vs Weaker (25)41.630.071.6+11.688%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Missouri wins
4
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
23/12/25Illinois v Missouri91-48
22/12/24Missouri v Illinois77-80
23/12/23Illinois v Missouri97-73
23/12/22Missouri v Illinois93-71
23/12/21Missouri v Illinois63-88
13/12/20Missouri v Illinois81-78
21/12/19Missouri v Illinois63-56
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HSiu Edwardsville96-58
07/11/26HSt. Louis Billikens84-90
04/11/26HCleveland State111-50
21/03/26AMiami (FL)66-80
12/03/26HKentucky72-78
07/03/26HArkansas84-88 OT
04/03/26AOklahoma64-80
28/02/26AMississippi St.88-64
25/02/26HTennessee73-69
21/02/26AArkansas86-94
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSam Houston St.108-86
11/11/26ATexas Tech78-84
06/11/26HPenn112-70
03/11/26HFairleigh Dickinson120-45
04/04/26AUconn62-71
28/03/26HIowa71-59
27/03/26AHouston65-55
22/03/26HVCU Rams76-55
20/03/26HPenn105-70
13/03/26HWisconsin88-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+31.0+31.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game104.5113.378.0
Allowed / game71.267.084.0
Point differential+33.2+46.3-6.0
Avg total175.8180.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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