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Missouri vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 84-79
42-35 42-44
Position#111
Record14-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#257
Record12-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game77.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Missouri v Mississippi St.
31 Jan 2026
MISS84
MISS79
13 Mar 2025
MISS85
MISS73
10 Feb 2024
MISS51
MISS75
21 Feb 2023
MISS66
MISS64
20 Feb 2022
MISS56
MISS58
29 Feb 2020
MISS63
MISS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H14/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
48-91
48
91
-43
A23/12
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H04/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A10/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H15/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-25
43-35
25-41
23-50
39-39
37-35
33-32
40-36
36-37
33-39
38-34
46-40
27-37
43-41
26-29
46-45
36-37
45-44
29-42
35-48
149.8Avg total
72.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.273.8154.0+6.467%
Season at home (13)87.871.1158.9+16.892%
Season away (8)67.978.2146.1-10.425%
Last 10 (10)72.677.2149.8-4.650%
Last 5 (5)75.680.6156.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.581.8153.3-10.333%
vs Similar (12)79.878.0157.8+1.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.875.2165.1+14.667%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#277
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H20/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
94-56
94
56
+38
H30/12
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H14/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A22/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
56-88
56
88
-32
H24/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
37-36
49-31
45-25
48-43
38-43
27-27
45-26
39-44
29-48
34-36
48-61
30-27
37-41
33-44
35-44
30-51
26-37
44-21
36-45
153.1Avg total
75.9Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.577.1155.7+1.457%
Season at home (13)77.773.2150.8+4.562%
Season away (8)79.983.6163.5-3.850%
Last 10 (10)75.977.2153.1-1.350%
Last 5 (5)70.681.4152.0-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.983.8160.7-6.936%
vs Similar (13)79.675.6155.2+4.054%
vs Weaker (3)86.064.3150.3+21.7100%
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -3.0-3.0
MissouriMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H14/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A23/12
NCAA
Florida
#28
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H04/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H15/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A28/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
32.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.175.4+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.435.177.5+7.367%-
Last 30 away (12)34.837.672.3-2.842%-
Last 10 (10)32.835.368.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)31.235.867.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.037.870.8-4.817%-
vs Similar (12)36.136.072.1+0.142%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.835.381.1+10.492%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#277
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H24/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
44-21
44
21
+23
A29/01
NCAA
72.2Avg total
36.8Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.336.472.8-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.634.269.8+1.350%-
Last 30 away (12)37.539.877.2-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.835.472.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.870.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.638.675.1-2.036%-
vs Similar (13)35.535.070.5+0.546%-
vs Weaker (3)39.032.771.7+6.367%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Missouri wins
7
Mississippi St. wins
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26AAlabama64-90
24/01/26HOklahoma88-87 OT
21/01/26HGeorgia72-74
17/01/26ALSU70-78
15/01/26HAuburn84-74
10/01/26AOle Miss69-76
08/01/26AKentucky73-68
04/01/26HFlorida76-74
23/12/25AIllinois48-91
14/12/25HBethune-Cookman82-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26ALSU80-66
24/01/26HVanderbilt56-88
22/01/26ATexas A&M68-88
18/01/26HOle Miss67-68
14/01/26HAlabama82-97
11/01/26AKentucky68-92
08/01/26HOklahoma72-53
03/01/26ATexas101-98 OT
30/12/25HAlabama State94-56
20/12/25HMemphis71-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL67%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %67%92%25%
Points / game80.287.867.9
Allowed / game73.871.178.2
Point differential+6.4+16.8-10.4
Avg total154.0158.9146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%62%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW57%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %57%62%50%
Points / game78.577.779.9
Allowed / game77.173.283.6
Point differential+1.4+4.5-3.8
Avg total155.7150.8163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%31%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %14%15%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt2118386%89.673.1+16.5
2 Texas A&M2117481%91.876.7+15.1
3 Arkansas2116576%89.377.2+12.0
4 Georgia2216673%92.377.6+14.7
5 Florida2115671%85.671.1+14.5
6 Tennessee2014670%82.469.8+12.6
7 Alabama2014670%92.081.5+10.5
8 Kentucky2114767%81.270.8+10.4
9 Auburn2114767%85.177.7+7.4
10 Missouri2114767%80.273.8+6.4
11 LSU2214864%82.874.4+8.5
12 Texas2213959%85.574.9+10.6
13 Mississippi St.2112957%78.577.1+1.4
14 Ole Miss2011955%74.871.2+3.6
15 Oklahoma22111150%82.876.4+6.5
16 South Carolina22111150%77.474.9+2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri424284
Mississippi St.354479
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