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Mladost vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 52-74
20-19 8-13 13-26 11-16
Position#3
Record16-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game73.3
Mladost
Croatia
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#2
Record16-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game66.9
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 21· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mladost v Kastela
26 Apr 2026
MLAD59
KAST63
15 Mar 2026
MLAD52
KAST74
30 Apr 2025
MLAD71
KAST67
24 Apr 2025
MLAD72
KAST64
19 Jan 2025
MLAD94
KAST93
04 Nov 2023
MLAD76
KAST98
06 Nov 2022
MLAD75
KAST83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Gorica
#5
W
73-67
73
67
+6
64avg 73
H20/12
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
65-55
65
55
+10
57avg 73
A10/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
119-92
119
92
+27
no box
H18/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
113-63
113
63
+50
109avg 73
H24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
84-92
84
92
-8
67avg 73
A31/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
82avg 73
A08/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
78avg 73
H14/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
96-89
96
89
+7
93avg 73
A21/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
75-72
75
72
+3
72avg 73
H28/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
67-72
67
72
-5
58avg 73
H08/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
20-18
18-22
18-12
17-18
18-11
19-16
11-10
34-21
26-17
36-17
23-37
27-15
20-14
28-16
38-18
39-18
17-24
12-30
16-20
25-21
12-16
22-25
27-21
16-13
17-11
17-11
11-26
24-28
23-21
23-21
26-19
13-17
24-17
19-21
19-17
16-20
13-21
6-12
32-19
161.5Avg total
85.6Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.273.3156.6+9.980%
Season at home (10)87.173.2160.3+13.990%
Season away (10)79.373.5152.8+5.870%
Last 10 (10)85.675.9161.5+9.780%
Last 5 (5)80.478.0158.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.885.6164.4-6.840%
vs Similar (5)79.072.0151.0+7.060%
vs Weaker (15)83.871.0154.8+12.887%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#7
L
65-70
65
70
-5
55avg 85
A20/12
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
99-62
99
62
+37
102avg 85
H10/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A17/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
79avg 85
H24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
84-59
84
59
+25
86avg 85
A01/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
94-64
94
64
+30
98avg 85
H04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
94avg 85
A07/02
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
95-38
95
38
+57
91avg 85
H14/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
87-60
87
60
+27
84avg 85
A22/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
135-62
135
62
+73
147avg 85
H07/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
23-12
17-20
15-18
25-11
28-20
19-18
27-13
19-20
23-22
18-15
16-22
26-19
15-22
17-16
22-11
24-10
16-20
26-21
18-8
29-14
19-17
29-11
17-22
26-29
18-14
21-21
26-25
27-14
15-5
24-13
29-6
27-14
16-21
25-14
19-11
33-4
28-29
37-12
37-17
155.7Avg total
90.6Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.866.9154.7+20.980%
Season at home (10)89.165.4154.5+23.780%
Season away (10)86.568.4154.9+18.180%
Last 10 (10)90.665.1155.7+25.580%
Last 5 (5)100.462.6163.0+37.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)76.086.5162.5-10.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)88.169.8157.9+18.479%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +9.1+9.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +7.3+7.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +9.1+9.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +7.3+7.3
MladostKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/12
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A10/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H18/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A31/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A08/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H14/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A21/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H28/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H08/03
Prva Liga
77.4Avg total
41.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.378.9+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.175.1+5.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.041.682.6-0.633%-
Last 10 (10)41.835.677.4+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.073.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.645.886.4-5.230%-
vs Similar (5)37.040.077.0-3.040%-
vs Weaker (15)41.732.874.5+8.973%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A20/12
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H10/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A17/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A01/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A07/02
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H14/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H07/03
Prva Liga
78.4Avg total
44.7Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.736.780.4+7.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.235.483.6+12.986%-
Last 30 away (16)39.837.977.7+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)44.733.778.4+11.080%-
Last 5 (5)47.632.279.8+15.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)36.549.586.0-13.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)44.235.880.0+8.571%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.5
53.3%
53.0%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.9
30.0%
32.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.2
74.6%
71.6%13.2
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.8
57.7%
53.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.7
39.3%
32.7%38.1
🏀 Free throws15.012.0
80.0%
71.6%12.0
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
LWWWWLWWWW
Kastela
WWWWWWWLWL
#3
League position
#2
+8.1
Net rating
+30.5
90.7
Offensive rating
109.9
82.6
Defensive rating
79.4
50.4%
Effective FG%
58.3%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
20.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
38.8%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.0%
3-point %
39.3%
56.6%
Assist %
70.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.7 · 109.9Defence82.6 · 79.4Shooting50.4% · 58.3%3-point %30.0% · 39.3%Ball care20.0% · 14.5%Off. rebounds38.8% · 32.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Mladost   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mladost wins
6
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
29/11/25Kastela v Mladost73-80
30/04/25Mladost v Kastela71-67
27/04/25Kastela v Mladost89-62
24/04/25Mladost v Kastela72-64
16/04/25Kastela v Mladost87-66
19/01/25Mladost v Kastela94-93
10/02/24Kastela v Mladost84-66
04/11/23Mladost v Kastela76-98
04/02/23Kastela v Mladost70-57
06/11/22Mladost v Kastela75-83
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HOmis67-72
28/02/26HKK Zagreb75-72
21/02/26AJazine96-89
14/02/26HMarsonia78-74 OT
08/02/26ADakovo86-83
31/01/26ACrikvenica84-92
24/01/26HOsijek113-63
18/01/26HAmfora119-92
10/01/26ASonik Puntamika65-55
20/12/25HGorica73-67
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HOsijek135-62
22/02/26AOmis87-60
14/02/26HAmfora95-38
07/02/26AJazine91-89
04/02/26HSonik Puntamika94-64
01/02/26AMarsonia84-59
24/01/26HGorica80-68
17/01/26ADakovo76-79
10/01/26HNovi Zagreb99-62
20/12/25AKK Zagreb65-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWWLWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%90%70%
Points / game83.287.179.3
Allowed / game73.373.273.5
Point differential+9.8+13.9+5.8
Avg total156.6160.3152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %15%20%10%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game87.889.186.5
Allowed / game66.965.468.4
Point differential+20.9+23.7+18.1
Avg total154.7154.5154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%60%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo2118386%96.375.8+20.5
2 Kastela2016480%87.866.9+20.9
3 Mladost2016480%83.273.3+9.8
4 Omis2114767%82.777.0+5.7
5 Gorica2112957%83.479.9+3.6
6 KK Zagreb2112957%79.978.5+1.4
7 Crikvenica21111052%76.676.6+0.0
8 Novi Zagreb21101148%76.374.4+2.0
9 Jazine21101148%82.281.9+0.3
10 Dakovo2191243%86.085.6+0.4
11 Marsonia2171433%76.178.3-2.2
12 Sonik Puntamika2171433%74.979.5-4.7
13 Amfora2141719%74.789.3-14.6
14 Osijek210210%62.6104.3-41.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost208131152
Kastela1913261674
← all games of the day
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