Mogi vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Apr 2021

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 97-77

22-19 21-15 27-26 27-17

Position#8

Record13-15

FormLWLLL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game82.7

Mogi 🏆

Brasilia

Position#16

Record5-24

FormLLLWL

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game89.7

NBB

Other2020-21

Meetings · Mogi v Brasilia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brasilia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mogi

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#12

86-75

+11

H08/02

NBB

Franca

87-75

+12

H13/02

NBB

Cerrado

#14

84-78

A24/02

NBB

Cearense

#10

84-94

-10

H26/02

NBB

Unifacisa

70-88

-18

A28/02

NBB

Paulistano

62-69

-7

H09/03

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

96-79

+17

H11/03

NBB

Minas

80-85

-5

A14/03

NBB

Flamengo

74-89

-15

H16/03

NBB

Pato

#11

62-73

-11

A04/04

NBB

29-13

13-21

25-18

19-23

25-21

22-23

22-15

18-16

20-24

18-17

16-18

30-19

16-21

17-23

29-28

22-22

18-24

16-15

20-29

16-20

6-10

23-18

9-20

24-21

24-12

27-24

19-28

26-15

25-21

16-16

17-22

22-26

14-23

24-18

22-25

19-18

16-22

18-17

9-16

159.0Avg total

78.5Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	79.3	82.7	162.0	-3.4	46%
Season at home (14)	80.6	81.2	161.9	-0.6	50%
Season away (14)	78.0	84.1	162.1	-6.1	43%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	80.5	159.0	-2.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	79.0	153.8	-4.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	74.7	84.9	159.6	-10.2	15%
vs Similar (8)	85.4	84.1	169.5	+1.2	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	82.0	79.4	161.4	+2.6	62%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#10

87-67

+20

H09/02

NBB

Cerrado

#14

73-86

-13

H11/02

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

97-52

+45

A24/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

66-88

-22

H26/02

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

70-96

-26

A28/02

NBB

Sao Paulo

46-92

-46

A10/03

NBB

Bauru

70-99

-29

H12/03

NBB

Franca

79-96

-17

H14/03

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

89-79

+10

H03/04

NBB

Paulistano

66-70

-4

A05/04

NBB

19-17

30-11

21-23

17-16

15-26

11-18

28-20

19-22

14-7

26-10

29-14

28-21

25-26

8-11

12-20

21-31

16-24

15-23

17-20

22-29

13-11

10-31

7-28

16-22

22-16

10-29

17-26

21-28

28-23

15-18

21-20

15-35

20-24

20-16

28-22

21-17

23-18

18-11

12-16

13-25

156.8Avg total

74.3Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	76.6	89.7	166.3	-13.2	17%
Season at home (15)	78.3	90.3	168.6	-11.9	20%
Season away (14)	74.6	89.1	163.8	-14.5	14%
Last 10 (10)	74.3	82.5	156.8	-8.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	87.2	157.2	-17.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	74.7	92.5	167.2	-17.8	8%
vs Similar (4)	87.0	75.8	162.8	+11.2	75%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MogiBrasilia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.2	38.9	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	21.8	40.1	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.8	34.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.8	19.8	36.5	-3.0	31%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	22.2	42.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.9	40.3	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	19.2	40.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.3	37.7	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.1	40.1	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	18.7	35.5	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.5	20.1	37.5	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.5	16.4	33.9	+1.1	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	20.7	37.5	-4.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.1	18.8	34.9	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	22.7	40.1	-5.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	17.8	34.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	21.0	35.6	-6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	16.1	21.8	37.9	-5.7	23%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	14.0	35.0	+7.0	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#12

42-34

H08/02

NBB

Franca

47-44

H13/02

NBB

Cerrado

#14

38-41

-3

A24/02

NBB

Cearense

#10

33-44

-11

H26/02

NBB

Unifacisa

34-39

-5

A28/02

NBB

Paulistano

29-28

H09/03

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

51-36

+15

H11/03

NBB

Minas

41-37

A14/03

NBB

Flamengo

28-46

-18

H16/03

NBB

Pato

#11

35-40

-5

A04/04

NBB

76.7Avg total

37.8Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	39.6	76.5	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	38.6	77.6	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	40.4	75.6	-5.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	38.9	76.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	37.4	74.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	34.2	39.8	74.1	-5.6	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.4	38.2	75.6	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	40.6	37.9	78.5	+2.8	50%	-

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#10

49-28

+21

H09/02

NBB

Cerrado

#14

26-44

-18

H11/02

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

40-17

+23

A24/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

33-37

-4

H26/02

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

31-47

-16

A28/02

NBB

Sao Paulo

23-42

-19

A10/03

NBB

Bauru

32-45

-13

H12/03

NBB

Franca

43-41

H14/03

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

40-40

H03/04

NBB

Paulistano

41-29

+12

A05/04

NBB

72.8Avg total

35.8Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	42.3	79.0	-5.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.6	41.0	77.6	-4.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	43.5	80.5	-6.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	37.0	72.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	39.4	75.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	35.9	43.7	79.6	-7.7	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.2	33.2	75.5	+9.0	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	21.7	42.4	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.9	21.8	40.7	-2.8	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.6	22.6	46.2	+1.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.6	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	23.1	44.3	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	22.1	39.7	-4.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.4	39.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.7	22.8	41.5	-4.2	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.2	20.8	45.0	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.6	42.7	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	22.7	43.9	-1.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	21.5	23.3	44.8	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.5	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	24.1	43.4	-4.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	24.8	44.3	-5.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	23.5	42.5	-4.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	24.6	43.9	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	25.4	42.6	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.1	24.5	43.6	-5.4	15%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	21.8	42.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	43.6	85.3	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	42.6	84.2	-1.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.9	44.4	86.3	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	41.6	82.3	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.6	79.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	40.5	45.1	85.5	-4.6	31%	-
vs Similar (8)	45.6	44.1	89.8	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	41.4	41.5	82.9	-0.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	46.7	85.4	-8.0	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	47.9	88.6	-7.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.6	45.5	82.1	-8.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	45.5	84.0	-7.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	47.8	82.0	-13.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	37.7	47.3	85.1	-9.6	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	44.8	42.5	87.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mogi wins

Brasilia wins

Date	Game	Score
08/01/21	Brasilia v Mogi	86-90
05/02/20	Brasilia v Mogi	70-86
02/12/19	Mogi v Brasilia	93-84
15/01/19	Brasilia v Mogi	76-80
27/10/18	Mogi v Brasilia	97-82
07/03/17	Mogi v Brasilia	84-58
13/12/16	Brasilia v Mogi	86-75
05/03/16	Mogi v Brasilia	78-75
22/01/16	Brasilia v Mogi	91-79
12/02/15	Mogi v Brasilia	108-99

Mogilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/21	A	Pato	62-73
16/03/21	H	Flamengo	74-89
14/03/21	A	Minas	80-85
11/03/21	H	Campo Mourao	96-79
09/03/21	H	Paulistano	62-69
28/02/21	A	Unifacisa	70-88
26/02/21	H	Cearense	84-94
24/02/21	A	Cerrado	84-78
13/02/21	H	Franca	87-75
08/02/21	H	Caxias do Sul	86-75

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/21	A	Paulistano	66-70
03/04/21	H	Campo Mourao	89-79
14/03/21	H	Franca	79-96
12/03/21	H	Bauru	70-99
10/03/21	A	Sao Paulo	46-92
28/02/21	A	Corinthians Paulista	70-96
26/02/21	H	Caxias do Sul	66-88
24/02/21	A	Pinheiros	97-52
11/02/21	H	Cerrado	73-86
09/02/21	H	Cearense	87-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	46%
Home	WLLWL	50%
Away	WWLLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	46%	50%	43%
Points / game	79.3	80.6	78.0
Allowed / game	82.7	81.2	84.1
Point differential	-3.4	-0.6	-6.1
Avg total	162.0	161.9	162.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	0% (2)	80% (5)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Brasilia

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	17%
Home	LLLLW	20%
Away	LWLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	17%	20%	14%
Points / game	76.6	78.3	74.6
Allowed / game	89.7	90.3	89.1
Point differential	-13.2	-11.9	-14.5
Avg total	166.3	168.6	163.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	13%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	30	28	2	93%	89.7	71.9	+17.8
2	Minas	30	26	4	87%	84.7	74.3	+10.4
3	Sao Paulo	30	23	7	77%	90.2	77.5	+12.7
4	Paulistano	28	20	8	71%	75.8	72.2	+3.5
5	Bauru	27	17	10	63%	81.9	76.3	+5.6
6	Corinthians Paulista	29	16	13	55%	76.9	74.9	+2.0
7	Franca	30	15	15	50%	87.0	83.6	+3.4
8	Cearense	28	14	14	50%	75.8	74.9	+0.9
9	Unifacisa	28	13	15	46%	82.2	81.4	+0.8
10	Mogi	28	13	15	46%	79.3	82.7	-3.4
11	Pato	29	12	17	41%	74.6	83.0	-8.4
12	Caxias do Sul	30	9	21	30%	76.1	80.9	-4.8
13	Cerrado	27	7	20	26%	75.4	80.4	-5.0
14	Pinheiros	28	6	22	21%	70.6	83.9	-13.4
15	Campo Mourao	27	5	22	19%	75.8	87.3	-11.5
16	Brasilia	29	5	24	17%	76.6	89.7	-13.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mogi	22	21	27	27	97
Brasilia	19	15	26	17	77

← all games of the day

Mogi vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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