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Mogi vs Brasilia Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.3/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game79.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mogi v Brasilia
29 Dec 2026
MOGI v BRAS
upcoming
16 Dec 2025
MOGI57
BRAS68
13 Jan 2025
MOGI89
BRAS71
20 Mar 2024
MOGI104
BRAS61
19 Feb 2022
MOGI83
BRAS72
08 Apr 2021
MOGI97
BRAS77
02 Dec 2019
MOGI93
BRAS84
26 Oct 2018
MOGI97
BRAS82
07 Mar 2017
MOGI84
BRAS58
05 Mar 2016
MOGI78
BRAS75
12 Feb 2015
MOGI108
BRAS99
01 Feb 2014
MOGI85
BRAS90
04 Apr 2013
MOGI91
BRAS96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
65avg 70
H10/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
102-90
102
90
+12
103avg 70
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 70
A15/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 70
H17/10
NBB
Franca
#6
L
74-90
74
90
-16
67avg 70
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
79-61
79
61
+18
58avg 70
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
78-70
78
70
+8
65avg 70
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A09/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
no box
A12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-34
24-24
14-16
16-14
28-26
31-21
26-23
17-20
25-20
11-20
23-17
18-21
18-17
26-21
18-24
22-11
18-24
31-24
9-19
16-23
20-15
19-19
23-9
17-18
19-20
17-22
25-15
17-13
11-21
22-21
26-19
30-17
22-14
15-20
23-24
25-12
27-25
20-12
27-16
19-22
160.4Avg total
83.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.173.9157.0+9.386%
Season at home (3)83.773.7157.3+10.0100%
Season away (4)82.874.0156.8+8.875%
Last 10 (10)83.177.3160.4+5.870%
Last 5 (5)84.870.8155.6+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.686.4166.0-6.929%
vs Similar (11)77.673.4151.0+4.373%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.273.1154.3+8.283%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 70
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
53avg 70
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
104-92
104
92
+12
109avg 70
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
91-73
91
73
+18
85avg 70
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
23avg 70
A27/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
61-100
61
100
-39
20avg 70
A29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
H02/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
76-55
76
55
+21
no box
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
61-70
61
70
-9
no box
A09/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
15-20
17-14
22-25
15-21
11-21
21-16
19-10
29-28
17-17
31-27
27-20
29-22
25-16
18-16
19-19
16-21
16-28
30-11
27-20
12-26
21-17
19-24
9-33
22-16
14-20
17-23
23-18
25-33
21-26
27-14
14-18
22-12
26-11
23-19
5-13
19-21
14-19
13-17
15-13
155.7Avg total
78.2Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.679.8160.4+0.950%
Season at home (4)89.583.2172.8+6.250%
Season away (4)71.876.2148.0-4.550%
Last 10 (10)78.277.5155.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)72.278.6150.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.478.5149.9-7.125%
vs Similar (11)83.080.9163.9+2.173%
vs Weaker (11)76.267.3143.5+8.973%
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
MogiBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H10/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A15/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A12/11
NBB
84.0Avg total
42.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.778.8+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.138.177.2+0.969%-
Last 30 away (14)41.339.480.7+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.084.0+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.876.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.746.388.0-4.629%-
vs Similar (11)37.735.272.9+2.582%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.337.678.9+3.867%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A27/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A09/11
NBB
79.1Avg total
38.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.376.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.639.079.6+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)34.837.572.3-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.579.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.279.4-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.839.974.6-5.138%-
vs Similar (11)39.342.181.4-2.836%-
vs Weaker (11)39.433.572.8+5.964%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.7
51.0%
49.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.5
33.0%
31.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.010.6
75.7%
71.3%10.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.7
50.3%
49.8%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
31.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws13.39.8
73.7%
71.3%9.8
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WWWWWLWLWL
Brasilia
LWLLLWWWLW
#2
League position
#8
+0.7
Net rating
-4.5
96.5
Offensive rating
87.1
95.8
Defensive rating
91.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
49.9%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
12.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.0%
3-point %
33.0%
62.7%
Assist %
63.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 87.1Defence95.8 · 91.6Shooting50.3% · 49.9%3-point %33.0% · 33.0%Ball care12.2% · 15.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Mogi   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mogi wins
5
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
23/03/26Brasilia v Mogi72-69 OT
16/12/25Mogi v Brasilia57-68
13/01/25Mogi v Brasilia89-71
26/10/24Brasilia v Mogi86-80
20/03/24Mogi v Brasilia104-61
30/11/23Brasilia v Mogi81-80
19/02/22Mogi v Brasilia83-72
19/11/21Brasilia v Mogi78-73 OT
08/04/21Mogi v Brasilia97-77
08/01/21Brasilia v Mogi86-90
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AOsasco93-75
09/11/26APinheiros85-70
04/11/26HCearense89-78
26/10/26HUnifacisa78-70
23/10/26ABauru79-61
21/10/26AFranca74-90
17/10/26HCorinthians Paulista84-73
15/05/26AFranca77-78
13/05/26AFranca102-90
10/05/26HFranca70-88
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26AUniao Corinthians61-70
07/11/26ACaxias do Sul76-55
04/11/26HFlamengo87-91
02/11/26HBotafogo76-77
29/10/26AMinas61-100
27/10/26ACruzeiro89-80
24/10/26HPaulistano91-73
22/10/26HCorinthians Paulista104-92
28/05/26AFranca66-68
26/05/26AFranca71-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game83.183.782.8
Allowed / game73.973.774.0
Point differential+9.3+10.0+8.8
Avg total157.0157.3156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.689.571.8
Allowed / game79.883.276.2
Point differential+0.9+6.2-4.5
Avg total160.4172.8148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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