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Mogi vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 104-61
24-16 27-11 23-16 30-18
Position#14
Record6-23
FormLLLWW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game80.6
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#19
Record4-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game86.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mogi v Brasilia
29 Dec 2026
MOGI v BRAS
upcoming
16 Dec 2025
MOGI57
BRAS68
13 Jan 2025
MOGI89
BRAS71
20 Mar 2024
MOGI104
BRAS61
19 Feb 2022
MOGI83
BRAS72
08 Apr 2021
MOGI97
BRAS77
02 Dec 2019
MOGI93
BRAS84
26 Oct 2018
MOGI97
BRAS82
07 Mar 2017
MOGI84
BRAS58
05 Mar 2016
MOGI78
BRAS75
12 Feb 2015
MOGI108
BRAS99
01 Feb 2014
MOGI85
BRAS90
04 Apr 2013
MOGI91
BRAS96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
63avg 64
H18/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 64
A22/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
63avg 64
A24/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
65-102
65
102
-37
56avg 64
A08/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
72avg 64
H14/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
80-94
80
94
-14
61avg 64
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
49-77
49
77
-28
21avg 64
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
68avg 64
A02/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
A05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
75avg 64
H09/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
21-18
5-16
21-24
12-17
14-14
18-21
24-27
19-23
20-24
19-22
17-24
10-35
19-30
18-22
18-15
16-18
16-16
22-19
27-21
17-29
21-25
18-14
24-26
5-20
12-14
13-25
19-18
17-23
18-15
18-23
20-18
22-17
18-21
22-21
12-15
18-17
24-15
11-17
26-15
155.0Avg total
72.7Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.180.6153.7-7.521%
Season at home (14)75.680.9156.4-5.321%
Season away (15)70.880.3151.1-9.520%
Last 10 (10)72.782.3155.0-9.630%
Last 5 (5)73.679.6153.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)72.380.8153.1-8.520%
vs Similar (9)75.978.8154.7-2.933%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)80.081.0161.0-1.00%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
65-77
65
77
-12
57avg 57
H06/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
68-111
68
111
-43
49avg 57
H17/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
64-87
64
87
-23
54avg 57
A22/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
92-88
92
88
+4
82avg 57
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
59-73
59
73
-14
44avg 57
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 57
A09/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
58avg 57
H17/02
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
73-95
73
95
-22
58avg 57
H01/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
69avg 57
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
106-108 OT
106
108
-2
no box
H10/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
16-26
15-12
15-24
19-34
16-25
22-22
11-30
8-28
21-18
22-18
13-23
24-21
26-29
18-20
24-18
18-23
7-19
20-15
14-16
14-23
19-23
20-14
14-19
28-20
11-19
14-23
21-24
15-22
19-28
21-25
18-20
19-26
27-22
13-23
25-18
23-27
24-21
18-21
31-27
164.5Avg total
75.2Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)72.586.7159.2-14.214%
Season at home (14)76.187.9164.0-11.714%
Season away (14)68.985.6154.5-16.614%
Last 10 (10)75.289.3164.5-14.110%
Last 5 (5)80.891.4172.2-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)72.587.7160.2-15.213%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
MogiBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H18/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A22/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
29-65
29
65
-36
A08/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H14/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
17-34
17
34
-17
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A02/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/03
NBB
75.2Avg total
34.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.640.576.0-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.441.578.9-4.129%-
Last 30 away (16)34.039.673.6-5.625%-
Last 10 (10)34.241.075.2-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.273.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.540.676.1-5.130%-
vs Similar (9)35.439.875.2-4.322%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H06/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
35-59
35
59
-24
H17/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A22/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A09/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/02
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H01/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/03
NBB
84.2Avg total
37.3Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.544.480.9-7.917%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.543.181.6-4.621%-
Last 30 away (16)34.845.580.2-10.812%-
Last 10 (10)37.346.984.2-9.60%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.286.0-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)36.544.480.9-7.917%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.215.4
43.8%
51.8%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.3
34.3%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.611.8
67.0%
72.6%11.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.016.4
44.3%
51.8%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.0
33.5%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.811.1
70.3%
72.6%11.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WWLLLWLLLL
Brasilia
LLLLLLWLLL
#14
League position
#19
-14.0
Net rating
-20.5
98.5
Offensive rating
96.5
112.5
Defensive rating
117.0
47.1%
Effective FG%
46.8%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.3%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.3%
3-point %
33.5%
65.6%
Assist %
53.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 96.5Defence112.5 · 117.0Shooting47.1% · 46.8%3-point %34.3% · 33.5%Ball care17.9% · 16.3%Off. rebounds29.0% · 23.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Mogi   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Mogi wins
2
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
30/11/23Brasilia v Mogi81-80
19/02/22Mogi v Brasilia83-72
19/11/21Brasilia v Mogi78-73 OT
08/04/21Mogi v Brasilia97-77
08/01/21Brasilia v Mogi86-90
05/02/20Brasilia v Mogi70-86
02/12/19Mogi v Brasilia93-84
15/01/19Brasilia v Mogi76-80
27/10/18Mogi v Brasilia97-82
07/03/17Mogi v Brasilia84-58
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HSao Jose79-64
05/03/24ABotafogo87-84 OT
02/03/24AVasco73-79
29/02/24AFlamengo49-77
16/02/24HUniao Corinthians80-94
14/02/24HCaxias do Sul81-74
08/02/24AMinas65-102
24/01/24ACearense75-93
22/01/24AUnifacisa68-79
18/01/24HCorinthians Paulista70-77
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HBotafogo106-108 OT
08/03/24HVasco84-89
01/03/24HCerrado73-95
17/02/24HFlamengo74-86
09/02/24ACaxias do Sul67-79
07/02/24AUniao Corinthians59-73
24/01/24APinheiros92-88
22/01/24ACorinthians Paulista64-87
17/01/24HMinas68-111
06/01/24HPato65-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW21%
HomeLLWLW21%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %21%21%20%
Points / game73.175.670.8
Allowed / game80.680.980.3
Point differential-7.5-5.3-9.5
Avg total153.7156.4151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %14%14%14%
Points / game72.576.168.9
Allowed / game86.787.985.6
Point differential-14.2-11.7-16.6
Avg total159.2164.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca2824486%87.975.6+12.3
2 Flamengo2924583%84.873.8+11.1
3 Minas2922776%86.074.0+12.0
4 Vasco2922776%77.072.1+4.9
5 Bauru31201165%79.978.5+1.4
6 Paulistano29181162%75.271.5+3.7
7 Unifacisa31191261%83.678.9+4.7
8 Corinthians Paulista29161355%80.478.3+2.1
9 Cearense30161453%78.777.1+1.6
10 Sao Jose29151452%79.677.2+2.4
11 Sao Paulo27131448%78.880.5-1.7
12 Pinheiros29131645%75.377.7-2.3
13 Pato30121840%76.779.9-3.2
14 Uniao Corinthians30102033%75.083.8-8.8
15 Cerrado2882029%75.676.9-1.2
16 Caxias do Sul2982128%72.179.8-7.8
17 Botafogo3282425%78.587.4-8.9
18 Mogi2962321%73.180.6-7.5
19 Brasilia2842414%72.586.7-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi24272330104
Brasilia1611161861
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