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Mogi vs Sao Paulo Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:10
Postponed
Position#5
Record16-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#3
Record20-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game81.6
BrazilNBBRound 21
Other2019-20
Meetings · Mogi v Sao Paulo
01 Nov 2024
MOGI78
SAO 74
07 Apr 2024
MOGI81
SAO 79
16 Mar 2022
MOGI73
SAO 90
17 Nov 2020
MOGI75
SAO 112
27 Mar 2020
MOGI v SAO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Paulo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#15
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H27/01
NBB
Franca
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H29/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
W
96-94
96
94
+2
H02/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
A05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H08/02
NBB
Minas
#4
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A11/02
NBB
Paulistano
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H03/03
NBB
Botafogo
#9
W
89-61
89
61
+28
H06/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A10/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A12/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
20-13
18-20
26-19
17-11
26-19
24-24
16-28
16-24
27-25
28-18
25-27
18-23
28-15
15-15
25-17
24-22
21-20
14-14
10-18
22-21
17-24
11-21
21-21
10-24
17-28
19-13
37-29
26-16
22-14
16-12
25-19
16-18
19-19
13-21
22-20
19-23
19-20
21-23
30-31
162.4Avg total
81.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.881.4164.2+1.362%
Season at home (13)83.078.4161.4+4.677%
Season away (13)82.584.5167.0-1.946%
Last 10 (10)81.481.0162.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)80.483.4163.8-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.684.8165.4-4.138%
vs Similar (14)84.884.9169.6-0.150%
vs Weaker (8)81.075.5156.5+5.588%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#9
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
W
99-97
99
97
+2
A21/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H27/01
NBB
Paulistano
#11
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H31/01
NBB
Pato
#16
W
106-86
106
86
+20
A03/02
NBB
Minas
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A08/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
96-73
96
73
+23
A13/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H29/02
NBB
Bauru
#12
W
99-64
99
64
+35
H10/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
W
106-103
106
103
+3
A15/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
17-18
20-14
32-20
16-37
22-25
38-20
23-15
21-24
16-16
17-20
25-26
16-26
13-17
24-20
22-11
19-17
27-23
30-22
30-24
29-22
20-26
25-17
13-20
30-15
23-17
23-23
20-18
29-21
20-10
12-28
28-21
24-12
22-17
24-19
29-16
31-26
21-19
23-22
31-36
173.5Avg total
91.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)88.581.6170.2+6.977%
Season at home (13)83.676.9160.5+6.762%
Season away (13)93.586.3179.8+7.292%
Last 10 (10)91.981.6173.5+10.390%
Last 5 (5)95.481.0176.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)88.185.0173.1+3.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.780.4169.1+8.379%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +4.6+4.6
MogiSao Paulo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H27/01
NBB
Franca
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H29/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H02/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/02
NBB
Minas
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/02
NBB
Paulistano
#11
L
27-52
27
52
-25
H03/03
NBB
Botafogo
#9
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H06/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A10/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A12/03
NBB
79.8Avg total
39.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.081.3-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.979.7+1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.182.9-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.079.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.478.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.943.485.2-1.538%-
vs Similar (14)39.441.981.3-2.636%-
vs Weaker (8)40.437.077.4+3.438%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
L
38-62
38
62
-24
A21/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H27/01
NBB
Paulistano
#11
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H31/01
NBB
Pato
#16
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A03/02
NBB
Minas
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A08/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A13/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H29/02
NBB
Bauru
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H10/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A15/03
NBB
83.4Avg total
43.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)40.238.778.8+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.435.572.8+1.946%-
Last 30 away (13)42.941.884.8+1.154%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.483.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)49.837.086.8+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)41.738.480.1+3.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.638.778.3+0.853%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mogi wins
0
Sao Paulo wins
DateGameScore
22/10/19Sao Paulo v Mogi80-83
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/20ASao Jose89-97
10/03/20ACorinthians Paulista70-78
06/03/20HBotafogo89-61
03/03/20HPaulistano83-94
11/02/20AMinas71-87
08/02/20HFlamengo69-74
05/02/20ABrasilia86-70
02/02/20HUnifacisa96-94
29/01/20HFranca83-82
27/01/20HCearense78-73
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/20AUnifacisa106-103
10/03/20HBauru99-64
29/02/20HCorinthians Paulista89-80
13/02/20ABrasilia96-73
08/02/20AMinas87-85
03/02/20APato106-86
31/01/20HPaulistano75-74
27/01/20HFranca79-86
21/01/20ASao Jose99-97
18/01/20HBotafogo83-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL62%
HomeWWLLW77%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%77%46%
Points / game82.883.082.5
Allowed / game81.478.484.5
Point differential+1.3+4.6-1.9
Avg total164.2161.4167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%8%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Sao Paulo
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %77%62%92%
Points / game88.583.693.5
Allowed / game81.676.986.3
Point differential+6.9+6.7+7.2
Avg total170.2160.5179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)33% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2421388%85.077.1+7.9
2 Franca2520580%87.479.0+8.4
3 Sao Paulo2620677%88.581.6+6.9
4 Minas2617965%86.681.4+5.2
5 Mogi26161062%82.881.4+1.3
6 Pinheiros27151256%81.679.9+1.7
7 Corinthians Paulista26131350%82.378.9+3.4
8 Rio Claro26131350%84.486.7-2.2
9 Botafogo26131350%78.480.7-2.3
10 Unifacisa27131448%83.281.0+2.2
11 Paulistano25111444%81.783.1-1.4
12 Bauru26111542%80.281.0-0.8
13 Brasilia2681831%76.085.9-10.0
14 Sao Jose2772026%86.392.1-5.8
15 Cearense2652119%76.381.0-4.7
16 Pato2542116%71.080.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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