Sao Paulo vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 99-64

24-12 22-17 24-19 29-16

Position#3

Record18-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.4

Allowed / game81.5

Sao Paulo 🏆

Bauru

Position#12

Record11-13

FormLWWLL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game80.2

NBBRound 19

Other2019-20

Meetings · Sao Paulo v Bauru

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bauru winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pato

#16

87-63

+24

H29/12

NBB

Rio Claro

90-94

-4

A14/01

NBB

Botafogo

83-68

+15

H18/01

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

99-97

A21/01

NBB

Franca

79-86

-7

H27/01

NBB

Paulistano

#11

75-74

H31/01

NBB

Pato

#16

106-86

106

+20

A03/02

NBB

Minas

87-85

A08/02

NBB

Brasilia

#13

96-73

+23

A13/02

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

89-80

H29/02

NBB

22-7

12-22

21-21

32-13

24-25

28-19

14-23

24-27

14-16

17-18

20-14

32-20

16-37

22-25

38-20

23-15

21-24

16-16

17-20

25-26

16-26

13-17

24-20

22-11

19-17

27-23

30-22

30-24

29-22

20-26

25-17

13-20

30-15

23-17

23-23

20-18

29-21

20-10

12-28

28-21

169.7Avg total

89.1Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	87.4	81.5	168.8	+5.9	75%
Season at home (12)	82.3	78.0	160.3	+4.3	58%
Season away (12)	92.4	84.9	177.3	+7.5	92%
Last 10 (10)	89.1	80.6	169.7	+8.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	90.6	79.6	170.2	+11.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	88.1	85.0	173.1	+3.1	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	87.1	80.0	167.1	+7.1	76%

This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bauru

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

61-80

-19

H28/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

108-80

108

+28

A18/01

NBB

Rio Claro

104-76

104

+28

H29/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

75-74

H04/02

NBB

Pinheiros

70-63

H06/02

NBB

Unifacisa

#10

64-83

-19

A12/02

NBB

Cearense

#15

83-78

A14/02

NBB

Paulistano

#11

93-88

A29/02

NBB

Brasilia

#13

79-83

-4

H05/03

NBB

Minas

84-94

-10

H07/03

NBB

14-20

12-19

20-21

15-20

30-26

21-22

34-18

23-14

27-15

23-21

30-16

24-24

30-16

21-21

17-17

7-20

19-18

15-10

22-13

14-22

11-24

10-18

18-21

25-20

25-14

14-22

22-22

22-20

20-27

28-23

19-21

26-17

19-19

16-25

16-16

28-23

25-26

23-20

17-22

19-26

162.0Avg total

82.1Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	80.9	80.2	161.1	+0.6	46%
Season at home (14)	79.9	81.0	160.9	-1.1	36%
Season away (10)	82.2	79.2	161.4	+3.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	79.9	162.0	+2.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	85.2	165.8	-4.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	72.2	84.2	156.4	-12.0	10%
vs Similar (15)	80.7	76.9	157.5	+3.8	60%
vs Weaker (5)	91.6	79.8	171.4	+11.8	60%

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sao PauloBauru

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	21.5	19.6	41.2	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.2	18.9	39.2	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.8	20.3	43.2	+2.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	20.2	44.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	24.1	19.9	44.0	+4.3	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+0.9	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.6	40.4	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	19.9	39.8	-0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.5	42.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	30%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+1.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	17.9	19.2	37.0	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	16.4	17.1	33.5	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.3	21.2	40.6	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	17.6	18.6	36.1	-1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	35%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.6	19.5	37.1	-1.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	19.8	38.8	-0.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	10%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.5	18.1	36.5	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	20%	-

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pato

#16

34-29

H29/12

NBB

Rio Claro

52-44

A14/01

NBB

Botafogo

31-34

-3

H18/01

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

38-62

-24

A21/01

NBB

Franca

37-40

-3

H27/01

NBB

Paulistano

#11

29-43

-14

H31/01

NBB

Pato

#16

46-40

A03/02

NBB

Minas

49-48

A08/02

NBB

Brasilia

#13

53-32

+21

A13/02

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

49-31

+18

H29/02

NBB

82.1Avg total

41.8Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	39.4	38.8	78.2	+0.6	46%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.7	36.0	72.7	+0.7	42%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.2	41.6	83.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	40.3	82.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	38.8	84.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	41.7	38.4	80.1	+3.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	38.5	38.9	77.4	-0.5	47%	-

This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

26-39

-13

H28/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

51-48

A18/01

NBB

Rio Claro

50-36

+14

H29/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

51-37

+14

H04/02

NBB

Pinheiros

34-28

H06/02

NBB

Unifacisa

#10

21-42

-21

A12/02

NBB

Cearense

#15

39-36

A14/02

NBB

Paulistano

#11

48-50

-2

A29/02

NBB

Brasilia

#13

35-44

-9

H05/03

NBB

Minas

48-46

H07/03

NBB

80.9Avg total

40.3Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	39.2	78.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.3	38.8	78.1	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.8	39.8	78.5	-1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	40.6	80.9	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	43.6	81.8	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	37.9	42.4	80.3	-4.5	30%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.1	36.8	75.9	+2.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.2	40.0	81.2	+1.2	40%	-

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	23.6	20.1	43.8	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	24.9	19.5	44.4	+5.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.0	44.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	21.4	21.1	42.6	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	24.5	19.7	44.2	+4.8	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.3	17.4	36.6	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	19.2	39.5	+1.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.7	40.2	+2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	30%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.5	18.3	37.9	+1.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	13.8	36.0	+8.4	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	23.3	21.8	45.2	+1.5	46%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.3	21.2	44.6	+2.1	42%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.3	22.4	45.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	19.5	44.4	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.8	41.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	23.4	24.0	47.4	-0.6	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.3	20.9	44.2	+2.4	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.2	45.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	15.6	21.7	37.3	-6.1	10%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	47.0	42.0	88.9	+5.0	71%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	45.7	42.0	87.7	+3.7	58%	-
Last 30 away (12)	48.2	41.9	90.2	+6.3	83%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.3	40.3	87.6	+7.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	40.8	86.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	44.9	45.1	90.0	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	47.8	40.6	88.5	+7.2	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	39.2	78.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.0	38.9	77.9	+0.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.9	39.5	79.5	+0.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.3	81.1	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	41.6	84.0	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	34.3	41.8	76.1	-7.5	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	40.9	39.0	79.9	+1.9	80%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.0	34.6	79.6	+10.4	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sao Paulo wins

Bauru wins

Date	Game	Score
08/12/19	Bauru v Sao Paulo	70-73

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/02/20	H	Corinthians Paulista	89-80
13/02/20	A	Brasilia	96-73
08/02/20	A	Minas	87-85
03/02/20	A	Pato	106-86
31/01/20	H	Paulistano	75-74
27/01/20	H	Franca	79-86
21/01/20	A	Sao Jose	99-97
18/01/20	H	Botafogo	83-68
14/01/20	A	Rio Claro	90-94
29/12/19	H	Pato	87-63

Baurulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/20	H	Minas	84-94
05/03/20	H	Brasilia	79-83
29/02/20	A	Paulistano	93-88
14/02/20	A	Cearense	83-78
12/02/20	A	Unifacisa	64-83
06/02/20	H	Pinheiros	70-63
04/02/20	H	Corinthians Paulista	75-74
29/01/20	H	Rio Claro	104-76
18/01/20	A	Sao Jose	108-80
28/12/19	H	Franca	61-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo

NBB 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	75%
Home	WWLWW	58%
Away	LWWWW	92%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	75%	58%	92%
Points / game	87.4	82.3	92.4
Allowed / game	81.5	78.0	84.9
Point differential	+5.9	+4.3	+7.5
Avg total	168.8	160.3	177.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	33% (3)	80% (5)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

Bauru

NBB 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	46%
Home	WWWLL	36%
Away	WWLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	14	10
Win %	46%	36%	60%
Points / game	80.9	79.9	82.2
Allowed / game	80.2	81.0	79.2
Point differential	+0.6	-1.1	+3.0
Avg total	161.1	160.9	161.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	21%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	25% (4)	100% (3)
Overtime %	12%	14%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	24	21	3	88%	85.0	77.1	+7.9
2	Franca	24	19	5	79%	87.7	79.0	+8.7
3	Sao Paulo	24	18	6	75%	87.4	81.5	+5.9
4	Mogi	24	16	8	67%	83.0	80.9	+2.1
5	Minas	25	16	9	64%	87.0	81.9	+5.1
6	Pinheiros	25	14	11	56%	80.6	80.0	+0.6
7	Corinthians Paulista	24	12	12	50%	83.0	79.4	+3.7
8	Unifacisa	26	13	13	50%	82.4	80.0	+2.4
9	Botafogo	26	13	13	50%	78.4	80.7	-2.3
10	Rio Claro	25	12	13	48%	84.4	86.9	-2.6
11	Bauru	24	11	13	46%	80.9	80.2	+0.6
12	Paulistano	25	11	14	44%	81.7	83.1	-1.4
13	Brasilia	25	8	17	32%	76.2	85.1	-9.0
14	Sao Jose	26	6	20	23%	85.9	92.2	-6.3
15	Cearense	26	5	21	19%	76.3	81.0	-4.7
16	Pato	25	4	21	16%	71.0	80.2	-9.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sao Paulo	24	22	24	29	99
Bauru	12	17	19	16	64

← all games of the day

Sao Paulo vs Bauru Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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