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Mogi vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 78-74
14-19 17-19 24-19 23-17
Position#16
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game82.5
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#13
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game75.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mogi v Sao Paulo
01 Nov 2024
MOGI78
SAO 74
07 Apr 2024
MOGI81
SAO 79
16 Mar 2022
MOGI73
SAO 90
17 Nov 2020
MOGI75
SAO 112
27 Mar 2020
MOGI v SAO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
64-61
64
61
+3
61avg 64
H09/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 64
A13/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 64
H19/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
57-97
57
97
-40
34avg 64
A22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 64
H12/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
70-72 OT
70
72
-2
56avg 64
H14/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
66-65
66
65
+1
59avg 64
H17/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
66-114
66
114
-48
55avg 64
H19/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
48avg 64
A24/10
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
80-86
80
86
-6
70avg 64
A26/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
15-12
17-13
15-23
18-23
10-18
18-26
22-13
19-18
17-26
15-20
15-14
15-23
17-27
17-21
8-26
19-17
21-21
18-15
14-14
12-17
17-12
21-18
15-18
12-12
16-16
20-14
18-23
20-25
14-30
5-29
27-30
14-21
24-17
10-24
13-29
14-18
25-32
24-18
17-18
148.1Avg total
67.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.282.5151.7-13.333%
Season at home (4)68.579.5148.0-11.050%
Season away (2)70.588.5159.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)67.081.1148.1-14.130%
Last 5 (5)68.685.6154.2-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)69.381.7151.0-12.326%
vs Similar (6)77.277.5154.7-0.350%
vs Weaker (1)104.061.0165.0+43.0100%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
59-84
59
84
-25
53avg 75
A03/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
105-74
105
74
+31
104avg 75
H06/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
84avg 75
H08/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
79-104
79
104
-25
72avg 75
A11/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-98
67
98
-31
54avg 75
A13/05
NBB
Pato
#14
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 75
A17/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
78avg 75
A19/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
75avg 75
H22/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
70avg 75
H26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
86-84
86
84
+2
86avg 75
H30/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
13-17
11-25
17-17
29-15
23-22
28-19
25-18
19-16
14-25
29-26
24-17
14-32
18-22
24-21
23-29
13-22
18-22
17-28
19-26
23-30
22-16
19-25
24-10
20-15
20-26
19-20
23-19
21-14
16-22
22-18
23-12
19-22
17-21
23-16
19-9
24-27
22-19
16-16
24-22
163.5Avg total
81.2Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.275.8159.0+7.4100%
Season at home (3)82.072.7154.7+9.3100%
Season away (2)85.080.5165.5+4.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.282.3163.5-1.170%
Last 5 (5)83.275.8159.0+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)85.585.3170.8+0.167%
vs Similar (10)81.277.7158.9+3.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)79.275.0154.2+4.260%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
MogiSao Paulo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H09/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A13/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H14/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H17/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H19/10
NBB
Minas
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/10
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A26/10
NBB
73.4Avg total
33.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.840.574.3-6.623%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.437.774.1-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)30.943.674.5-12.87%-
Last 10 (10)33.639.873.4-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)33.640.073.6-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.841.474.3-8.617%-
vs Similar (6)34.839.073.8-4.233%-
vs Weaker (1)51.027.078.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H06/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H08/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A11/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A13/05
NBB
Pato
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A17/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/10
NBB
81.3Avg total
38.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.782.1+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.538.381.8+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)39.742.882.4-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.081.3-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.483.2-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.842.284.0-0.447%-
vs Similar (10)41.040.181.1+0.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.437.278.6+4.260%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.215.1
42.9%
50.9%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.6
33.3%
33.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.810.4
65.8%
72.7%10.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.2
53.7%
50.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.5
36.3%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.715.7
79.7%
72.7%15.7
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
LLLWLWLLLW
Sao Paulo
WWWWWLLWWL
#16
League position
#13
-18.5
Net rating
-1.5
90.9
Offensive rating
109.6
109.4
Defensive rating
111.0
45.9%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
19.8%
Turnover %
18.0%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.3%
3-point %
36.3%
62.9%
Assist %
62.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.9 · 109.6Defence109.4 · 111.0Shooting45.9% · 54.0%3-point %33.3% · 36.3%Ball care19.8% · 18.0%Off. rebounds24.0% · 25.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Mogi   ■ Sao Paulo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mogi wins
4
Sao Paulo wins
DateGameScore
07/04/24Mogi v Sao Paulo81-79
29/12/23Sao Paulo v Mogi61-63
16/03/22Mogi v Sao Paulo73-90
16/12/21Sao Paulo v Mogi89-72
28/01/21Sao Paulo v Mogi96-72
17/11/20Mogi v Sao Paulo75-112
22/10/19Sao Paulo v Mogi80-83
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24ABrasilia80-86
24/10/24AMinas61-91
19/10/24HFlamengo66-114
17/10/24HVasco66-65
14/10/24HBotafogo70-72 OT
12/10/24HPaulistano72-67
22/04/24AFranca57-97
19/04/24HFranca66-78
13/04/24ABauru68-80
09/04/24HPaulistano64-61
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/24HPaulistano86-84
26/10/24HBauru78-68
22/10/24HFranca82-66
19/10/24ACorinthians Paulista82-80
17/10/24APato88-81
13/05/24AMinas67-98
11/05/24AMinas79-104
08/05/24HMinas86-84
06/05/24HMinas105-74
03/05/24AMinas59-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game69.268.570.5
Allowed / game82.579.588.5
Point differential-13.3-11.0-18.0
Avg total151.7148.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
Sao Paulo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.282.085.0
Allowed / game75.872.780.5
Point differential+7.4+9.3+4.5
Avg total159.0154.7165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sao Paulo550100%83.275.8+7.4
2 Minas76186%82.468.7+13.7
3 Flamengo76186%77.965.1+12.7
4 Franca64267%81.778.0+3.7
5 Uniao Corinthians32167%79.776.7+3.0
6 Bauru53260%80.280.0+0.2
7 Brasilia63350%81.279.5+1.7
8 Caxias do Sul42250%76.877.0-0.2
9 Botafogo63350%71.572.5-1.0
10 Pato73443%80.179.0+1.1
11 Pinheiros73443%68.372.6-4.3
12 Vasco52340%63.063.4-0.4
13 Corinthians Paulista52340%76.477.0-0.6
14 Unifacisa52340%78.079.6-1.6
15 Mogi62433%69.282.5-13.3
16 Paulistano51420%80.080.6-0.6
17 Cearense61517%63.776.8-13.2
18 Sao Jose5050%66.478.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1417242378
Sao Paulo1919191774
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