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Mogi vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 81-79
19-22 16-20 24-13 22-24
Position#14
Record8-25
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game79.9
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#11
Record18-16
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game79.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mogi v Sao Paulo
01 Nov 2024
MOGI78
SAO 74
07 Apr 2024
MOGI81
SAO 79
16 Mar 2022
MOGI73
SAO 90
17 Nov 2020
MOGI75
SAO 112
27 Mar 2020
MOGI v SAO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
72avg 65
H14/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
80-94
80
94
-14
61avg 65
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
49-77
49
77
-28
21avg 65
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
68avg 65
A02/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
A05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
75avg 65
H09/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
104-61
104
61
+43
103avg 65
H20/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
70-65
70
65
+5
59avg 65
H22/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
73-100
73
100
-27
66avg 65
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
63avg 65
A03/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
16-16
22-19
27-21
17-29
21-25
18-14
24-26
5-20
12-14
13-25
19-18
17-23
18-15
18-23
20-18
22-17
18-21
22-21
12-15
18-17
24-15
11-17
26-15
24-16
27-11
23-16
30-18
16-16
20-19
16-21
18-9
14-25
13-27
27-21
19-27
19-19
13-25
18-17
19-12
153.6Avg total
76.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)73.879.9153.7-6.124%
Season at home (16)77.078.6155.6-1.631%
Season away (17)70.881.1151.9-10.218%
Last 10 (10)76.577.1153.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)79.072.6151.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.182.6154.7-10.417%
vs Similar (10)75.377.4152.7-2.140%
vs Weaker (2)92.071.0163.0+21.050%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
94-86
94
86
+8
90avg 73
A15/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
82-90
82
90
-8
77avg 73
H17/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
78avg 73
H29/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
74-67
74
67
+7
72avg 73
H20/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
71-60
71
60
+11
67avg 73
H22/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
79-83
79
83
-4
73avg 73
A25/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
78avg 73
A29/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
80-70
80
70
+10
78avg 73
A30/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
93-84
93
84
+9
87avg 73
H02/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 73
H04/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
27-11
22-23
28-24
19-24
23-14
17-22
23-30
23-30
20-17
14-14
22-13
24-20
20-13
14-22
16-12
11-13
18-20
20-11
22-16
21-20
21-25
15-12
22-26
23-30
21-22
14-22
20-14
14-13
15-23
20-15
31-19
23-29
27-11
20-22
23-22
24-18
20-18
15-14
20-20
158.1Avg total
80.9Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)78.979.3158.2-0.453%
Season at home (18)79.277.8157.1+1.456%
Season away (16)78.580.9159.4-2.450%
Last 10 (10)80.977.2158.1+3.770%
Last 5 (5)81.879.0160.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.990.1173.0-7.244%
vs Similar (13)80.879.1159.9+1.854%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)76.171.4147.5+4.875%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
MogiSao Paulo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H14/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
17-34
17
34
-17
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A02/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H20/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H22/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A03/04
NBB
73.8Avg total
35.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.340.775.9-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.639.678.2-1.038%-
Last 30 away (17)32.741.574.2-8.818%-
Last 10 (10)35.038.873.8-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.075.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.142.076.1-7.922%-
vs Similar (10)35.539.374.8-3.830%-
vs Weaker (2)45.035.580.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A15/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H17/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H22/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A25/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A29/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A30/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H04/04
NBB
81.0Avg total
41.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.179.8-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.638.879.5+1.847%-
Last 30 away (13)38.541.780.2-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.981.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.883.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.642.485.0+0.144%-
vs Similar (13)38.740.779.4-2.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.136.474.5+1.850%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.315.4
43.6%
51.8%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.1
36.1%
33.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.312.4
67.8%
72.6%12.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.616.4
53.6%
51.8%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.8
40.4%
33.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.414.9
81.0%
72.6%14.9
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
LLWWWWLLLW
Sao Paulo
WWWLLWWWLW
#14
League position
#11
-6.1
Net rating
+5.6
102.3
Offensive rating
109.5
108.4
Defensive rating
103.9
48.3%
Effective FG%
56.9%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
18.4%
Turnover %
21.0%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.1%
3-point %
40.4%
66.7%
Assist %
62.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 109.5Defence108.4 · 103.9Shooting48.3% · 56.9%3-point %36.1% · 40.4%Ball care18.4% · 21.0%Off. rebounds32.2% · 25.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Mogi   ■ Sao Paulo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mogi wins
4
Sao Paulo wins
DateGameScore
29/12/23Sao Paulo v Mogi61-63
16/03/22Mogi v Sao Paulo73-90
16/12/21Sao Paulo v Mogi89-72
28/01/21Sao Paulo v Mogi96-72
17/11/20Mogi v Sao Paulo75-112
22/10/19Sao Paulo v Mogi80-83
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/24AFranca69-73
25/03/24APato73-100
22/03/24HCerrado70-65
20/03/24HBrasilia104-61
09/03/24HSao Jose79-64
05/03/24ABotafogo87-84 OT
02/03/24AVasco73-79
29/02/24AFlamengo49-77
16/02/24HUniao Corinthians80-94
14/02/24HCaxias do Sul81-74
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24HCerrado79-70
02/04/24HBrasilia93-84
30/03/24AVasco80-70
29/03/24AFlamengo78-88
25/03/24ABotafogo79-83
22/03/24HUniao Corinthians71-60
20/03/24HCaxias do Sul74-67
29/02/24HPinheiros79-74
17/02/24HCorinthians Paulista82-90
15/02/24AMinas94-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL24%
HomeWLWWW31%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %24%31%18%
Points / game73.877.070.8
Allowed / game79.978.681.1
Point differential-6.1-1.6-10.2
Avg total153.7155.6151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Sao Paulo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW53%
HomeWWWWW56%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game78.979.278.5
Allowed / game79.377.880.9
Point differential-0.4+1.4-2.4
Avg total158.2157.1159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3530586%85.473.5+11.9
2 Franca3530586%88.276.9+11.3
3 Minas3426876%85.673.3+12.4
4 Vasco34231168%75.773.0+2.7
5 Bauru35231266%82.079.2+2.8
6 Paulistano34211362%75.670.7+4.9
7 Unifacisa34211362%83.879.3+4.5
8 Cearense34191556%79.177.4+1.7
9 Sao Jose34181653%79.978.1+1.9
10 Corinthians Paulista34181653%80.880.0+0.8
11 Sao Paulo34181653%78.979.3-0.4
12 Pato34151944%78.179.8-1.8
13 Pinheiros33141942%75.077.7-2.7
14 Uniao Corinthians34102429%74.684.0-9.4
15 Botafogo3492526%79.187.9-8.8
16 Cerrado3382524%74.677.0-2.4
17 Mogi3382524%73.879.9-6.1
18 Caxias do Sul3482624%72.280.9-8.7
19 Brasilia3443012%73.489.1-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1916242281
Sao Paulo2220132479
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