PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Monaco vs Le Mans Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 99-102
21-30 34-22 20-22 24-28
Position#12
Record2-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Le Mans 🏆
France
Position#2
Record4-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game80.5
FranceFrench CupFrench Cup - Semi-finals· Salle Gaston Medecin
Other2024
Meetings · Monaco v Le Mans
29 Mar 2026
MCO99
LMA85
21 Sep 2025
MCO104
LMA79
01 Jun 2025
MCO85
LMA76
28 May 2025
MCO76
LMA69
16 Mar 2025
MCO99
LMA102
16 Feb 2025
MCO96
LMA104
17 Nov 2024
MCO74
LMA86
16 Feb 2024
MCO94
LMA81
21 Jan 2024
MCO78
LMA74
12 May 2023
MCO95
LMA101
19 Mar 2023
MCO87
LMA78
16 Feb 2022
MCO92
LMA76
10 Oct 2021
MCO81
LMA70
27 May 2021
MCO75
LMA52
23 Mar 2019
MCO82
LMA65
24 Jun 2018
MCO74
LMA76
15 Jun 2018
MCO77
LMA87
13 Jun 2018
MCO81
LMA77
18 Feb 2018
MCO83
LMA78
27 Sep 2017
MCO66
LMA67
25 Feb 2017
MCO88
LMA77
05 Dec 2015
MCO79
LMA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Le Mans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#12
W
95-81
95
81
+14
108avg 90
A09/02
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
W
101-88
101
88
+13
115avg 90
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 90
A15/02
Leaders Cup
Le Mans
#1
L
96-104
96
104
-8
119avg 90
H16/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
83-70
83
70
+13
74avg 90
H25/02
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 90
A27/02
Euroleague
Cholet
#4
W
95-84
95
84
+11
105avg 90
A02/03
LNB
Paris
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
90avg 90
A05/03
Euroleague
Paris
#1
W
94-63
94
63
+31
114avg 90
H09/03
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
88-91
88
91
-3
91avg 90
A13/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
17-22
25-20
28-22
17-23
29-28
25-19
30-18
24-18
25-19
23-18
19-23
14-28
25-27
27-22
30-27
23-23
23-23
31-12
6-12
19-18
23-31
19-19
19-18
18-31
25-12
24-20
28-21
24-22
20-17
27-14
20-26
23-19
21-19
22-13
28-12
18-21
24-18
21-20
25-32
173.8Avg total
91.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.077.0168.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)83.070.0153.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)99.084.0183.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.482.4173.8+9.070%
Last 5 (5)89.680.6170.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.281.3167.5+4.962%
vs Weaker (16)93.180.9174.0+12.281%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#13
W
85-67
85
67
+18
103avg 98
A18/01
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
88avg 98
H26/01
LNB
Le Portel
#15
L
75-92
75
92
-17
83avg 98
A31/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
112-86
112
86
+26
132avg 98
H08/02
LNB
Cholet
#5
W
93-91
93
91
+2
108avg 98
A14/02
Leaders Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
93avg 98
H15/02
Leaders Cup
Monaco
#2
W
104-96
104
96
+8
105avg 98
A16/02
Leaders Cup
Cholet
#26
W
101-82
101
82
+19
87avg 98
H26/02
French Cup
Limoges
#14
W
101-77
101
77
+24
116avg 98
H01/03
LNB
Nancy
#9
L
89-97
89
97
-8
105avg 98
A07/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
27-19
16-20
20-14
17-24
25-13
15-28
17-16
17-20
20-25
11-26
27-21
27-15
25-20
32-28
28-23
26-12
19-29
24-26
24-24
17-21
21-24
23-22
27-18
28-14
27-25
22-27
27-30
23-23
30-17
31-18
17-24
27-15
21-20
24-15
29-27
19-29
21-19
22-19
27-30
177.6Avg total
92.2Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.280.5173.8+12.8100%
Season at home (1)101.082.0183.0+19.0100%
Season away (3)90.780.0170.7+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)92.285.4177.6+6.870%
Last 5 (5)96.687.4184.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.581.5162.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)89.484.3173.6+5.164%
vs Weaker (16)88.282.4170.6+5.869%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
MonacoLe Mans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/02
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A15/02
Leaders Cup
Le Mans
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H16/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H25/02
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A27/02
Euroleague
Cholet
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/03
LNB
Paris
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A05/03
Euroleague
Paris
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H09/03
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/03
Euroleague
87.3Avg total
43.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.386.7+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.541.987.4+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)43.542.786.2+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.743.687.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.684.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.743.184.8-1.438%-
vs Weaker (16)46.641.187.7+5.469%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#13
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A18/01
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H26/01
LNB
Le Portel
#15
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A31/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H08/02
LNB
Cholet
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A14/02
Leaders Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H15/02
Leaders Cup
Monaco
#2
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A16/02
Leaders Cup
Cholet
#26
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H26/02
French Cup
Limoges
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H01/03
LNB
Nancy
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A07/03
LNB
85.7Avg total
45.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.883.8+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.837.881.6+6.079%-
Last 30 away (16)44.241.685.8+2.644%-
Last 10 (10)45.939.885.7+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.488.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.042.587.5+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.640.784.4+2.945%-
vs Weaker (16)44.138.882.9+5.269%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
46%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.4
54.5%
53.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.2
37.7%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws24.419.3
79.1%
74.1%19.3
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
46%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.7
59.0%
53.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.2
37.5%
35.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.316.7
74.9%
74.1%16.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
LWWWLWLWWW
Le Mans
LWWWWWWLLW
#12
League position
#2
+12.5
Net rating
+7.7
119.6
Offensive rating
122.3
107.0
Defensive rating
114.7
55.3%
Effective FG%
57.8%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.7%
3-point %
37.5%
62.0%
Assist %
66.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence119.6 · 122.3Defence107.0 · 114.7Shooting55.3% · 57.8%3-point %37.7% · 37.5%Ball care16.4% · 17.0%Off. rebounds33.5% · 36.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Monaco   ■ Le Mans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Monaco wins
3
Le Mans wins
DateGameScore
16/02/25Monaco v Le Mans96-104
26/01/25Le Mans v Monaco74-81
17/11/24Monaco v Le Mans74-86
16/02/24Monaco v Le Mans94-81
21/01/24Monaco v Le Mans78-74
28/11/23Le Mans v Monaco84-95
12/05/23Monaco v Le Mans95-101
19/03/23Monaco v Le Mans87-78
29/11/22Le Mans v Monaco81-90
07/05/22Le Mans v Monaco83-84
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
09/03/25HParis94-63
05/03/25AParis91-79
02/03/25ACholet95-84
27/02/25AOlimpia Milano80-86
25/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne83-70
16/02/25HLe Mans96-104
15/02/25ALyon-Villeurbanne91-78
14/02/25HJL Bourg101-88
09/02/25AStrasbourg95-81
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25ANancy89-97
01/03/25HLimoges101-77
26/02/25HCholet101-82
16/02/25AMonaco104-96
15/02/25HSaint Quentin88-85
14/02/25ACholet93-91
08/02/25HChalon/Saone112-86
31/01/25ALe Portel75-92
26/01/25HMonaco74-81
18/01/25ANanterre85-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
French Cup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.083.099.0
Allowed / game77.070.084.0
Point differential+14.0+13.0+15.0
Avg total168.0153.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Le Mans
French Cup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.2101.090.7
Allowed / game80.582.080.0
Point differential+12.8+19.0+10.7
Avg total173.8183.0170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris330100%99.782.3+17.3
2 Monaco220100%91.077.0+14.0
3 Le Mans440100%93.280.5+12.8
4 ASA54180%81.668.0+13.6
5 Poitiers43175%89.873.2+16.5
6 Roanne43175%85.875.8+10.0
7 Ada Blois43175%84.076.8+7.2
8 Tours43175%79.076.8+2.2
9 Pau-Orthez43175%82.082.2-0.2
10 Dijon32167%94.081.7+12.3
11 Quimper32167%88.376.3+12.0
12 Hyeres-Toulon32167%89.078.0+11.0
13 Levallois32167%79.074.3+4.7
14 Aix Maurienne32167%93.791.3+2.3
15 JL Bourg32167%83.384.0-0.7
16 Strasbourg21150%96.080.0+16.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%73.068.5+4.5
18 Berck/Rang Du Fliers21150%78.074.5+3.5
19 Le Havre21150%82.079.0+3.0
20 Rouen21150%87.085.0+2.0
21 Boulogne sur Mer21150%79.578.0+1.5
22 Angers21150%83.082.5+0.5
23 Orchies21150%84.585.0-0.5
24 Challans21150%83.084.5-1.5
25 Lyonso21150%81.584.0-2.5
26 Cholet21150%89.592.5-3.0
27 Rennes21150%78.082.0-4.0
28 Chalon/Saone21150%80.585.0-4.5
29 Mulhouse21150%81.586.0-4.5
30 Feurs21150%85.592.5-7.0
31 Antibes21150%84.091.5-7.5
32 La Rochelle21150%78.085.5-7.5
33 Stade Toulousain21150%61.069.0-8.0
34 Gravelines-Dunkerque21150%78.599.0-20.5
35 Vichy1010%84.086.0-2.0
36 Limoges1010%61.065.0-4.0
37 Metz1010%78.082.0-4.0
38 Orleans1010%84.088.0-4.0
39 St. Chamond1010%92.096.0-4.0
40 Caen1010%69.074.0-5.0
41 Loon Plage1010%76.083.0-7.0
42 Fos-sur-Mer1010%88.096.0-8.0
43 Le Portel1010%82.091.0-9.0
44 Les Sables1010%79.089.0-10.0
45 Denain-Voltaire1010%75.086.0-11.0
46 Poissy1010%70.081.0-11.0
47 Avignon Le Pontet1010%84.096.0-12.0
48 Chalons-Reims1010%68.080.0-12.0
49 Evreux1010%71.083.0-12.0
50 Nanterre1010%84.097.0-13.0
51 Saint Vallier1010%78.091.0-13.0
52 Tarbes1010%75.091.0-16.0
53 Nantes1010%77.095.0-18.0
54 Fougeres1010%63.082.0-19.0
55 Aurore1010%61.081.0-20.0
56 CEP Lorient1010%79.0100.0-21.0
57 Besancon1010%80.0102.0-22.0
58 Charleville Mezieres1010%60.082.0-22.0
59 Saint Quentin1010%54.076.0-22.0
60 Boulazac1010%47.070.0-23.0
61 Chartres1010%77.0100.0-23.0
62 Nancy1010%66.0106.0-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 62 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2134202499
Le Mans30222228102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.