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Monaco vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-63
23-19 21-19 22-13 28-12
Position#2
Record16-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game78.0
Monaco 🏆
France
vs
Position#1
Record15-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game85.0
FranceLNBRound 21· Salle Gaston Medecin
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Monaco v Paris
21 Jun 2026
MCO96
PRS84
19 Jun 2026
MCO77
PRS88
10 May 2026
MCO95
PRS123
04 Dec 2025
MCO125
PRS104
02 Dec 2025
MCO109
PRS103
22 Jun 2025
MCO80
PRS74
20 Jun 2025
MCO81
PRS78
09 Mar 2025
MCO94
PRS63
24 Oct 2024
MCO80
PRS87
06 Jun 2024
MCO70
PRS77
04 Jun 2024
MCO90
PRS80
17 Feb 2024
MCO93
PRS98
03 Dec 2023
MCO84
PRS62
05 Feb 2023
MCO103
PRS81
31 Oct 2021
MCO100
PRS75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
W
92-85
92
85
+7
95avg 89
H05/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
69-86
69
86
-17
64avg 89
H07/02
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
W
95-81
95
81
+14
108avg 89
A09/02
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
W
101-88
101
88
+13
115avg 89
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 89
A15/02
Leaders Cup
Le Mans
#1
L
96-104
96
104
-8
119avg 89
H16/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
83-70
83
70
+13
74avg 89
H25/02
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 89
A27/02
Euroleague
Cholet
#4
W
95-84
95
84
+11
105avg 89
A02/03
LNB
Paris
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
90avg 89
A05/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
28-17
16-28
25-22
18-21
22-27
15-14
14-24
25-17
17-22
25-20
28-22
17-23
29-28
25-19
30-18
24-18
25-19
23-18
19-23
14-28
25-27
27-22
30-27
23-23
23-23
31-12
6-12
19-18
23-31
19-19
19-18
18-31
25-12
24-20
28-21
24-22
20-17
27-14
20-26
173.4Avg total
89.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.578.0166.6+10.580%
Season at home (9)88.072.4160.4+15.689%
Season away (11)89.082.5171.5+6.573%
Last 10 (10)89.384.1173.4+5.270%
Last 5 (5)89.084.6173.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.085.0172.0+2.054%
vs Weaker (16)93.980.2174.1+13.788%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
102avg 89
A01/02
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
58avg 89
H05/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 89
A07/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
111-96
111
96
+15
122avg 89
H09/02
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
93-78
93
78
+15
96avg 89
H11/02
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 89
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Bayern
#7
W
93-88
93
88
+5
81avg 89
H27/02
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
89avg 89
H01/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 89
H03/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
79-91
79
91
-12
67avg 89
H05/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
24-22
19-20
22-14
15-30
16-18
27-19
15-23
17-25
18-21
23-18
25-13
24-30
25-34
38-16
24-16
21-22
25-19
25-16
22-21
17-21
32-16
18-31
19-24
23-15
24-23
24-30
22-20
20-19
25-29
20-25
21-15
26-16
19-21
15-26
23-24
22-24
17-20
14-27
26-20
174.4Avg total
87.9Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)94.885.0179.8+9.975%
Season at home (10)99.987.4187.3+12.590%
Season away (10)89.882.5172.3+7.360%
Last 10 (10)87.986.5174.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)85.489.2174.6-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.590.0174.5-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.591.0179.5-2.538%
vs Weaker (14)91.382.4173.7+8.979%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
MonacoParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H05/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/02
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/02
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A15/02
Leaders Cup
Le Mans
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H16/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H25/02
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A27/02
Euroleague
Cholet
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/03
LNB
Paris
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A05/03
Euroleague
88.4Avg total
44.2Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.287.3+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.341.888.1+4.557%-
Last 30 away (16)43.942.686.6+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)44.244.288.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.489.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.143.185.2-1.038%-
vs Weaker (16)47.441.088.4+6.469%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A01/02
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H05/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A07/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H09/02
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/02
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Bayern
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H27/02
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H01/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H03/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/03
Euroleague
88.4Avg total
43.7Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.944.589.4+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.744.388.0-0.635%-
Last 30 away (13)46.444.891.2+1.646%-
Last 10 (10)43.744.788.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.885.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.046.086.0-6.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.545.589.9-1.031%-
vs Weaker (14)45.643.989.6+1.743%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.1
54.8%
54.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.6
36.8%
35.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.616.8
77.8%
74.9%16.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.520.1
60.0%
54.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.3
34.0%
35.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.016.4
78.1%
74.9%16.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWLWLWWWLW
Paris
LLLWLWWWLW
#2
League position
#1
+8.2
Net rating
+3.3
118.3
Offensive rating
121.0
110.1
Defensive rating
117.7
55.0%
Effective FG%
55.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.8%
3-point %
34.0%
63.4%
Assist %
52.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 121.0Defence110.1 · 117.7Shooting55.0% · 55.7%3-point %36.8% · 34.0%Ball care15.4% · 15.1%Off. rebounds32.0% · 34.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Monaco   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Monaco wins
4
Paris wins
DateGameScore
05/03/25Paris v Monaco79-91
08/12/24Paris v Monaco111-104 OT
24/10/24Monaco v Paris80-87
12/06/24Paris v Monaco76-115
09/06/24Paris v Monaco59-88
06/06/24Monaco v Paris70-77
04/06/24Monaco v Paris90-80
17/02/24Monaco v Paris93-98
13/01/24Paris v Monaco85-92
03/12/23Monaco v Paris84-62
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25AParis91-79
02/03/25ACholet95-84
27/02/25AOlimpia Milano80-86
25/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne83-70
16/02/25HLe Mans96-104
15/02/25ALyon-Villeurbanne91-78
14/02/25HJL Bourg101-88
09/02/25AStrasbourg95-81
07/02/25HPartizan69-86
05/02/25HBaskonia92-85
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HMonaco79-91
03/03/25HFenerbahce83-87
01/03/25HSaint Quentin86-88
27/02/25HBayern93-88
14/02/25HSaint Quentin86-92
11/02/25HDijon93-78
09/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne111-96
07/02/25AVirtus Bologna83-77
05/02/25HOlympiacos73-90
01/02/25ANanterre92-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %80%89%73%
Points / game88.588.089.0
Allowed / game78.072.482.5
Point differential+10.6+15.6+6.5
Avg total166.6160.4171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%78%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Paris
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%90%60%
Points / game94.899.989.8
Allowed / game85.087.482.5
Point differential+9.9+12.5+7.3
Avg total179.8187.3172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco2016480%88.578.0+10.6
2 Cholet2116576%86.979.9+7.0
3 Paris2015575%94.885.0+9.9
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne2115671%89.081.8+7.2
5 JL Bourg2114767%89.083.2+5.8
6 Le Mans2112957%86.383.0+3.3
7 Saint Quentin21111052%78.079.3-1.4
8 Nancy21101148%85.788.7-3.0
9 Dijon2191243%84.485.9-1.4
10 Chalon/Saone2191243%83.387.5-4.1
11 Nanterre2181338%84.886.3-1.6
12 Strasbourg2181338%80.684.8-4.2
13 Limoges2181338%80.584.9-4.4
14 Gravelines-Dunkerque2171433%77.181.7-4.5
15 Le Portel2161529%73.179.5-6.4
16 La Rochelle2131814%72.684.2-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2321222894
Paris1919131263
← all games of the day
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