PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Paris vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-91
22-24 17-20 14-27 26-20
Position#9
Record16-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Monaco 🏆
Position#4
Record16-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game82.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28· Adidas Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Paris v Monaco
23 Jun 2026
PRS92
MCO101
17 Jun 2026
PRS90
MCO102
14 Jun 2026
PRS95
MCO91
15 Jan 2026
PRS87
MCO95
12 Oct 2025
PRS94
MCO99
24 Jun 2025
PRS99
MCO93
17 Jun 2025
PRS92
MCO67
15 Jun 2025
PRS94
MCO82
05 Mar 2025
PRS79
MCO91
08 Dec 2024
PRS111
MCO104
12 Jun 2024
PRS76
MCO115
09 Jun 2024
PRS59
MCO88
13 Jan 2024
PRS85
MCO92
16 Oct 2022
PRS91
MCO95
20 Mar 2022
PRS69
MCO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
91-82
91
82
+9
87avg 90
H30/01
Euroleague
Nanterre
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
102avg 90
A01/02
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
58avg 90
H05/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 90
A07/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
111-96
111
96
+15
122avg 90
H09/02
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
93-78
93
78
+15
96avg 90
H11/02
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 90
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Bayern
#7
W
93-88
93
88
+5
81avg 90
H27/02
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
89avg 90
H01/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 90
H03/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
34-25
15-24
22-18
27-22
24-22
19-20
22-14
15-30
16-18
27-19
15-23
17-25
18-21
23-18
25-13
24-30
25-34
38-16
24-16
21-22
25-19
25-16
22-21
17-21
32-16
18-31
19-24
23-15
24-23
24-30
22-20
20-19
25-29
20-25
21-15
26-16
19-21
15-26
23-24
174.7Avg total
89.1Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.684.8170.4+0.859%
Season at home (14)82.482.2164.6+0.264%
Season away (13)89.087.6176.6+1.454%
Last 10 (10)89.185.6174.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)88.286.6174.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.590.0174.5-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.291.0180.2-1.842%
vs Weaker (15)90.682.1172.7+8.580%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
90-59
90
59
+31
101avg 89
H02/02
LNB
Baskonia
#14
W
92-85
92
85
+7
95avg 89
H05/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
69-86
69
86
-17
64avg 89
H07/02
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
W
95-81
95
81
+14
108avg 89
A09/02
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
W
101-88
101
88
+13
115avg 89
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 89
A15/02
Leaders Cup
Le Mans
#1
L
96-104
96
104
-8
119avg 89
H16/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
83-70
83
70
+13
74avg 89
H25/02
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 89
A27/02
Euroleague
Cholet
#4
W
95-84
95
84
+11
105avg 89
A02/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
21-18
21-9
25-17
23-18
28-17
16-28
25-22
18-21
22-27
15-14
14-24
25-17
17-22
25-20
28-22
17-23
29-28
25-19
30-18
24-18
25-19
23-18
19-23
14-28
25-27
27-22
30-27
23-23
23-23
31-12
6-12
19-18
23-31
19-19
19-18
18-31
25-12
24-20
28-21
171.3Avg total
89.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.382.9169.2+3.459%
Season at home (14)88.684.4173.0+4.364%
Season away (13)83.881.3165.1+2.554%
Last 10 (10)89.282.1171.3+7.170%
Last 5 (5)89.084.4173.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.285.8171.9+0.446%
vs Weaker (16)93.980.2174.1+13.788%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
ParisMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H30/01
Euroleague
Nanterre
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A01/02
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H05/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A07/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H09/02
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/02
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Bayern
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H27/02
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H01/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H03/03
Euroleague
89.5Avg total
45.2Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.044.389.3+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.043.987.9+0.141%-
Last 30 away (13)46.444.891.2+1.646%-
Last 10 (10)45.244.389.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.286.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.046.086.0-6.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.945.690.5-0.733%-
vs Weaker (15)45.543.589.1+2.047%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H02/02
LNB
Baskonia
#14
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H05/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/02
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/02
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A15/02
Leaders Cup
Le Mans
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H16/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H25/02
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A27/02
Euroleague
Cholet
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/03
LNB
87.8Avg total
44.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.142.587.6+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.242.188.3+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)43.942.986.8+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.243.687.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.846.089.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.243.785.8-1.531%-
vs Weaker (16)47.441.088.4+6.469%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.319.7
59.2%
54.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.9
35.7%
36.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.016.6
79.0%
78.0%16.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.6
57.2%
54.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.3
34.2%
36.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.316.8
78.9%
78.0%16.8
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
LLWLWWWLWW
Monaco
WLWLWWWLWW
#9
League position
#4
+6.0
Net rating
+11.3
123.1
Offensive rating
119.2
117.1
Defensive rating
107.9
56.5%
Effective FG%
54.8%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.7%
3-point %
34.2%
53.6%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence123.1 · 119.2Defence117.1 · 107.9Shooting56.5% · 54.8%3-point %35.7% · 34.2%Ball care14.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds33.8% · 32.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Paris   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Paris wins
6
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Paris v Monaco111-104 OT
24/10/24Monaco v Paris80-87
12/06/24Paris v Monaco76-115
09/06/24Paris v Monaco59-88
06/06/24Monaco v Paris70-77
04/06/24Monaco v Paris90-80
17/02/24Monaco v Paris93-98
13/01/24Paris v Monaco85-92
03/12/23Monaco v Paris84-62
05/02/23Monaco v Paris103-81
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/25HFenerbahce83-87
01/03/25HSaint Quentin86-88
27/02/25HBayern93-88
14/02/25HSaint Quentin86-92
11/02/25HDijon93-78
09/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne111-96
07/02/25AVirtus Bologna83-77
05/02/25HOlympiacos73-90
01/02/25ANanterre92-78
30/01/25HLyon-Villeurbanne91-82
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ACholet95-84
27/02/25AOlimpia Milano80-86
25/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne83-70
16/02/25HLe Mans96-104
15/02/25ALyon-Villeurbanne91-78
14/02/25HJL Bourg101-88
09/02/25AStrasbourg95-81
07/02/25HPartizan69-86
05/02/25HBaskonia92-85
02/02/25HGravelines-Dunkerque90-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL59%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayLLLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%64%54%
Points / game85.682.489.0
Allowed / game84.882.287.6
Point differential+0.8+0.2+1.4
Avg total170.4164.6176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%7%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%64%54%
Points / game86.388.683.8
Allowed / game82.984.481.3
Point differential+3.4+4.3+2.5
Avg total169.2173.0165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%43%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2720774%88.081.9+6.1
2 Fenerbahce2718967%81.880.5+1.3
3 Panathinaikos27171063%87.483.4+4.0
4 Monaco27161159%86.382.9+3.4
5 Crvena zvezda27161159%81.980.2+1.7
6 Paris27161159%85.684.8+0.8
7 Bayern27161159%86.186.5-0.4
8 Partizan27151256%83.479.1+4.2
9 Olimpia Milano27151256%85.685.3+0.3
10 Barcelona27141352%87.284.6+2.7
11 Real Madrid27141352%84.982.9+2.0
12 Anadolu Efes27131448%85.282.7+2.5
13 Zalgiris Kaunas27131448%77.978.5-0.6
14 Baskonia27111641%81.082.7-1.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne27111641%80.884.6-3.7
16 Virtus Bologna2772026%79.884.7-4.9
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2772026%84.689.8-5.1
18 Alba Berlin2742315%78.691.1-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris2217142679
Monaco2420272091
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.