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Monaco vs Ulm Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#9
Record3-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game86.6
EuropeEurocupRound 10· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#7
W
114-103
114
103
+11
A27/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
103-88
103
88
+15
H01/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H03/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A06/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A08/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A14/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
102-90
102
90
+12
A17/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H19/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H21/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
101-92
101
92
+9
A23/06
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
33-27
21-27
28-27
24-27
25-23
26-21
28-17
23-19
30-22
18-21
18-36
20-20
23-8
21-18
19-15
17-24
32-13
18-19
22-22
28-22
24-29
24-16
15-28
28-15
25-26
24-25
25-24
26-17
18-23
17-18
16-30
27-16
27-17
29-22
13-29
27-24
28-28
18-29
28-11
182.2Avg total
94.5Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.587.7182.2+6.870%
Last 5 (5)93.489.8183.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.096.7168.7-24.70%
vs Similar (23)91.589.3180.9+2.261%
vs Weaker (4)95.294.2189.5+1.075%
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Hagen
#15
W
93-78
93
78
+15
A25/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#7
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H27/09
BBL
Balkan
#32
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H30/09
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A03/10
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
89-101
89
101
-12
A07/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#16
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#21
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#11
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#11
L
82-98
82
98
-16
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#13
W
86-68
86
68
+18
A27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
16-16
27-21
23-20
24-16
9-25
22-21
12-28
31-17
23-22
21-20
23-25
24-20
17-18
16-23
15-28
24-31
21-31
24-20
20-19
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
26-26
26-23
26-16
24-28
20-19
22-27
13-13
23-28
18-23
25-22
16-23
23-30
22-25
28-17
17-9
19-17
174.4Avg total
85.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.686.6177.2+4.060%
Season at home (2)100.088.5188.5+11.5100%
Season away (3)84.385.3169.7-1.033%
Last 10 (10)85.988.5174.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)88.088.6176.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.283.0156.2-9.825%
vs Similar (14)82.088.1170.1-6.121%
vs Weaker (12)90.379.1169.4+11.275%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -4.3-4.3
MonacoUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#7
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A27/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H01/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H03/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A06/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A08/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A14/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A17/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H19/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H21/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A23/06
LNB
93.9Avg total
51.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.044.291.1+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.142.290.3+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)45.846.191.9-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)51.742.293.9+9.590%-
Last 5 (5)51.643.495.0+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.755.090.7-19.30%-
vs Similar (23)48.343.191.4+5.170%-
vs Weaker (4)48.042.090.0+6.075%-
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Hagen
#15
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A25/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H27/09
BBL
Balkan
#32
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/09
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/10
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A07/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#21
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A27/10
Eurocup
88.2Avg total
45.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.885.1+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.940.586.5+5.469%-
Last 30 away (17)43.041.184.1+1.959%-
Last 10 (10)45.043.288.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.843.089.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.237.073.2-0.850%-
vs Similar (14)42.042.684.6-0.643%-
vs Weaker (12)49.640.089.6+9.692%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.921.8
59.1%
54.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.9
39.4%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws26.618.8
70.7%
75.6%18.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.824.1
57.7%
54.0%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.4
33.9%
34.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.012.5
69.4%
75.6%12.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWLWLWWLWW
Ulm
WLLWLLLWLW
+4.9
Net rating
-2.9
103.2
Offensive rating
95.5
98.3
Defensive rating
98.4
59.1%
Effective FG%
55.1%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.4%
3-point %
33.9%
68.5%
Assist %
59.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 95.5Defence98.3 · 98.4Shooting59.1% · 55.1%3-point %39.4% · 33.9%Ball care14.6% · 15.7%Free throws0.43 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Monaco   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Monaco wins
0
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
20/11/18Monaco v Ulm84-81
16/10/18Ulm v Monaco65-75
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/26AParis101-92
21/06/26HParis96-84
19/06/26HParis77-88
17/06/26AParis102-90
14/06/26AParis91-95
08/06/26ANanterre89-78
06/06/26ANanterre83-61
03/06/26HNanterre89-98
01/06/26HNanterre103-88
27/05/26AJL Bourg114-103
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26ALietkabelis86-68
25/10/26AAlba Berlin82-98
21/10/26APAOK78-87
14/10/26HKK Bosna102-93
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT
07/10/26AManresa89-101
03/10/26ASyntainics MBC72-89
30/09/26HBalkan98-84
27/09/26HWurzburg67-90
25/09/26APhoenix Hagen93-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Ulm
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game90.6100.084.3
Allowed / game86.688.585.3
Point differential+4.0+11.5-1.0
Avg total177.2188.5169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aris550100%91.274.8+16.4
2 Hapoel Jerusalem550100%88.873.6+15.2
3 Basket Napoli550100%92.483.8+8.6
4 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%90.678.6+12.0
5 Chemnitz54180%88.278.0+10.2
6 Tofas54180%90.483.0+7.4
7 Tenerife54180%88.281.8+6.4
8 London Lions53260%80.873.0+7.8
9 Ulm53260%90.686.6+4.0
10 Manresa53260%90.287.0+3.2
11 PAOK53260%84.481.4+3.0
12 Tortona53260%83.283.8-0.6
13 Lietkabelis53260%77.878.6-0.8
14 Siauliai53260%82.484.0-1.6
15 Frankfurt53260%87.890.4-2.6
16 Rigas Zelli53260%80.884.2-3.4
17 Venezia52340%86.081.4+4.6
18 Buducnost52340%91.088.2+2.8
19 Le Mans52340%81.280.4+0.8
20 Maxima Roma52340%84.084.0+0.0
21 KK Bosna52340%81.681.8-0.2
22 Trento52340%82.087.4-5.4
23 BC Roma52340%83.088.6-5.6
24 Cluj-Napoca52340%83.091.6-8.6
25 JL Bourg51420%82.888.2-5.4
26 San Pablo Burgos51420%79.885.4-5.6
27 Turk Telekom51420%75.481.4-6.0
28 Neptunas51420%84.891.2-6.4
29 Slask Wroclaw51420%78.490.2-11.8
30 Rostock51420%78.491.6-13.2
31 Cedevita Olimpija5050%72.682.2-9.6
32 Balkan5050%67.683.2-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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