PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Monferrato vs Chiusi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-99
24-21 26-28 20-26 18-24
Position#24
Record7-24
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#18
Record10-21
FormLWLWW
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game73.1
ItalySerie A2Round 32· PalaFerraris
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiusi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
75-92
75
92
-17
65avg 69
A04/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 69
A10/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
89-67
89
67
+22
83avg 69
H18/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 69
A24/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
79-80
79
80
-1
69avg 69
H03/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
80-100
80
100
-20
74avg 69
A09/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 69
H23/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
77-93
77
93
-16
64avg 69
A31/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
88-71
88
71
+17
86avg 69
H07/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
64-89
64
89
-25
50avg 69
A12/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
18-27
19-20
24-26
17-16
20-24
19-17
17-22
12-21
16-18
33-10
28-18
18-18
20-22
17-21
21-28
14-15
18-21
24-25
23-19
18-25
26-16
18-30
18-29
13-20
21-20
21-21
20-16
19-27
20-20
21-19
17-27
26-14
13-21
26-17
23-19
16-27
12-27
22-21
14-14
161.3Avg total
77.6Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.184.5163.7-5.423%
Season at home (15)78.578.8157.3-0.340%
Season away (16)79.789.9169.6-10.26%
Last 10 (10)77.683.7161.3-6.120%
Last 5 (5)76.886.0162.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.885.0163.8-6.220%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.584.5164.0-4.927%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chiusi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChiusiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiusi
Date
Competition
Nardo
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
49avg 57
H04/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
68-72
68
72
-4
52avg 57
H11/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 57
A18/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
69-68
69
68
+1
58avg 57
A03/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
75-65
75
65
+10
75avg 57
H10/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
70-71
70
71
-1
56avg 57
H17/03
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
88-84
88
84
+4
75avg 57
A24/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
68-71
68
71
-3
60avg 57
H31/03
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
81-56
81
56
+25
76avg 57
A07/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
79-71
79
71
+8
70avg 57
H14/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-13
20-18
9-7
18-20
17-24
16-16
19-17
16-15
19-21
14-20
25-19
12-16
18-20
21-19
20-11
10-18
15-15
22-27
22-7
16-16
18-11
10-16
14-23
28-21
23-16
20-19
25-19
20-30
14-20
15-9
9-20
30-22
13-21
20-14
26-11
22-10
17-15
25-10
20-18
17-28
142.0Avg total
72.8Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)67.573.1140.6-5.632%
Season at home (16)66.571.2137.8-4.838%
Season away (15)68.675.1143.7-6.527%
Last 10 (10)72.869.2142.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)77.270.6147.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.475.9142.3-9.513%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.971.4140.4-2.550%
vs Weaker (1)81.056.0137.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
MonferratoChiusi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A04/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A10/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H18/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A24/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H03/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H23/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A31/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
28-54
28
54
-26
A12/04
Serie A2
76.9Avg total
35.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.243.180.3-5.923%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.141.376.4-6.221%-
Last 30 away (16)39.144.683.7-5.625%-
Last 10 (10)35.141.876.9-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.480.2-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.744.481.1-7.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.741.779.5-4.027%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chiusi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChiusiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nardo
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H04/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A18/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H10/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H17/03
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A24/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H31/03
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A07/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H14/04
Serie A2
69.4Avg total
35.0Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.036.269.2-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.334.566.8-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)33.838.272.0-4.421%-
Last 10 (10)35.034.469.4+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.030.265.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.137.570.5-4.413%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.935.067.9-2.150%-
vs Weaker (1)33.035.068.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.6
53.0%
50.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.5
30.7%
34.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.612.0
76.9%
74.2%12.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chiusitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiusi: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.4
47.9%
50.3%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.2
27.7%
34.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws21.616.3
75.5%
74.2%16.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monferrato
LWLLLLLWLL
Chiusi
WWLWLWWLLW
#24
League position
#18
-8.9
Net rating
+6.6
105.1
Offensive rating
98.7
114.0
Defensive rating
92.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
45.6%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
15.0%
Turnover %
18.5%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.7%
3-point %
27.7%
51.6%
Assist %
45.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 98.7Defence114.0 · 92.1Shooting50.3% · 45.6%3-point %30.7% · 27.7%Ball care15.0% · 18.5%Off. rebounds25.5% · 28.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Monferrato   ■ Chiusi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Monferrato wins
1
Chiusi wins
DateGameScore
16/04/22Chiusi v Monferrato74-71
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24ACividale64-89
07/04/24HUdine88-71
31/03/24ARimini77-93
23/03/24HForli75-77
09/03/24ANardo80-100
03/03/24HVerona79-80
24/02/24AAssigeco Piacenza76-89
18/02/24HFortitudo Bologna89-67
10/02/24ACento73-79
04/02/24AUrania Milano75-92
Chiusilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HTrapani79-71
07/04/24ALuiss Roma81-56
31/03/24HSebastiani Rieti68-71
24/03/24AAgrigento88-84
17/03/24HJuVi Cremona70-71
10/03/24HCantu75-65
03/03/24ATreviglio69-68
18/02/24AVigevano70-76
11/02/24HBasket Torino68-72
04/02/24HNardo60-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL23%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %23%40%6%
Points / game79.178.579.7
Allowed / game84.578.889.9
Point differential-5.4-0.3-10.2
Avg total163.7157.3169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Chiusi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW32%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayWLWWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %32%38%27%
Points / game67.566.568.6
Allowed / game73.171.275.1
Point differential-5.6-4.8-6.5
Avg total140.6137.8143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3128390%88.076.7+11.3
2 Forli3125681%79.072.9+6.1
3 Cantu3122971%85.579.3+6.2
4 Fortitudo Bologna3122971%76.971.6+5.3
5 Udine31211068%78.271.0+7.2
6 Sebastiani Rieti31201165%81.177.2+3.9
7 Basket Torino31201165%83.680.9+2.8
8 Verona31191261%76.873.6+3.2
9 Rimini31171455%78.875.7+3.1
10 Trieste31171455%80.878.4+2.5
11 Cividale31161552%76.575.3+1.2
12 Assigeco Piacenza31151648%78.176.3+1.8
13 Urania Milano31151648%82.284.2-2.0
14 Treviglio31141745%79.179.5-0.5
15 JuVi Cremona31141745%82.184.0-2.0
16 Cento31141745%75.078.0-3.0
17 Nardo31121939%75.180.1-5.0
18 Vigevano31112035%77.481.5-4.2
19 Orzinuovi31102132%75.278.0-2.8
20 Chiusi31102132%67.573.1-5.6
21 Luiss Roma3192229%76.985.2-8.3
22 Monferrato3172423%79.184.5-5.4
23 Agrigento3172423%74.381.5-7.1
24 Latina3172423%76.084.5-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monferrato2426201888
Chiusi2128262499
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.