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Monferrato vs Vigevano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-61
18-14 23-14 19-13 26-20
Position#24
Record3-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#20
Record4-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game84.2
ItalySerie A2Round 14· PalaFerraris
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monferrato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vigevano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
W
76-74
76
74
+2
64avg 69
H14/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 69
H21/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
79-88
79
88
-9
64avg 69
A29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 69
H01/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
98-112
98
112
-14
81avg 69
A05/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
71-86
71
86
-15
63avg 69
H12/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 69
A19/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
97-83
97
83
+14
92avg 69
H25/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 69
A02/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 69
H06/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
21-25
18-18
22-15
22-17
19-26
23-19
33-30
15-16
22-24
20-17
22-31
17-16
15-20
14-9
20-29
25-32
19-28
27-19
27-33
17-28
10-21
28-16
16-21
19-26
12-23
16-14
27-27
21-12
22-25
25-25
29-21
18-22
17-22
24-17
15-18
14-26
20-23
12-15
21-14
165.5Avg total
79.9Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.984.9164.8-5.023%
Season at home (7)78.980.9159.7-2.043%
Season away (6)81.289.7170.8-8.50%
Last 10 (10)79.985.6165.5-5.730%
Last 5 (5)76.683.2159.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.186.0166.1-5.929%
vs Similar ◀ (23)79.378.3157.7+1.043%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vigevano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
81-100
81
100
-19
75avg 71
H15/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
76-99
76
99
-23
62avg 71
A23/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
88-91
88
91
-3
77avg 71
A29/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
69-95
69
95
-26
60avg 71
H01/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
91-66
91
66
+25
92avg 71
A05/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
85-71
85
71
+14
80avg 71
H12/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
71-80
71
80
-9
66avg 71
A19/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
99-82
99
82
+17
99avg 71
H26/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
56avg 71
A02/12
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
61-71
61
71
-10
50avg 71
H06/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
19-26
27-23
20-27
10-32
28-26
20-23
18-18
24-22
26-28
16-16
22-25
11-21
24-28
16-18
18-28
25-15
26-17
23-14
17-20
18-18
20-28
22-10
25-15
16-21
23-25
18-21
14-13
23-21
30-24
21-27
25-10
12-29
22-18
16-17
17-29
20-22
15-20
9-11
17-18
163.6Avg total
78.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.484.2162.5-5.831%
Season at home (7)79.383.7163.0-4.443%
Season away (6)77.384.7162.0-7.317%
Last 10 (10)78.884.8163.6-6.030%
Last 5 (5)76.679.4156.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.487.2168.6-5.820%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.582.2158.8-5.838%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
MonferratoVigevano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H21/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A05/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H12/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A19/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H25/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H06/12
Serie A2
80.8Avg total
36.0Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.177.6-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.538.275.8-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.179.7-0.657%-
Last 10 (10)36.044.880.8-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)34.045.679.6-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.145.784.9-6.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)38.337.175.4+1.157%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vigevano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H15/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A23/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A29/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H01/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A05/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H12/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H26/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A02/12
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H06/12
Serie A2
87.2Avg total
40.7Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)41.045.586.5-4.531%-
Last 30 at home (7)40.444.985.3-4.443%-
Last 30 away (6)41.746.287.8-4.517%-
Last 10 (10)40.746.587.2-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.285.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.446.490.8-2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.944.983.8-6.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.0
46.9%
50.3%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.0
34.6%
34.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.314.5
71.4%
74.2%14.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.6
54.6%
50.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.4
33.5%
34.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.413.4
69.1%
74.2%13.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monferrato
LLWLLLLLWW
Vigevano
LLWLWWLLLL
#24
League position
#20
-6.9
Net rating
-8.0
103.0
Offensive rating
100.9
109.9
Defensive rating
108.9
49.3%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
14.6%
Turnover %
20.0%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.6%
3-point %
33.5%
49.6%
Assist %
57.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 100.9Defence109.9 · 108.9Shooting49.3% · 52.8%3-point %34.6% · 33.5%Ball care14.6% · 20.0%Off. rebounds22.4% · 23.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Monferrato   ■ Vigevano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Monferrato wins
1
Vigevano wins
DateGameScore
11/10/23Vigevano v Monferrato78-77
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HTrapani67-78
02/12/23ALuiss Roma74-79
25/11/23HUrania Milano97-83
19/11/23ACantu74-90
12/11/23HLatina71-86
05/11/23ABasket Torino98-112
01/11/23HJuVi Cremona66-74
29/10/23ATreviglio79-88
21/10/23HSebastiani Rieti97-92
14/10/23HAgrigento76-74
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HLuiss Roma61-71
02/12/23ATrapani67-93
26/11/23HCantu99-82
19/11/23ASebastiani Rieti71-80
12/11/23HAgrigento85-71
05/11/23ALatina91-66
01/11/23HTreviglio69-95
29/10/23ABasket Torino88-91
23/10/23AJuVi Cremona76-99
15/10/23HUrania Milano81-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%43%0%
Points / game79.978.981.2
Allowed / game84.980.989.7
Point differential-5.0-2.0-8.5
Avg total164.8159.7170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vigevano
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL31%
HomeLLWWL43%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game78.479.377.3
Allowed / game84.283.784.7
Point differential-5.8-4.4-7.3
Avg total162.5163.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1312192%92.278.2+14.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna1311285%79.573.2+6.3
3 Cantu1310377%89.181.9+7.2
4 Forli1310377%81.875.8+6.0
5 Trieste129375%79.374.2+5.1
6 Udine139469%80.871.7+9.1
7 Verona139469%77.172.5+4.6
8 Basket Torino139469%85.180.8+4.2
9 Treviglio138562%84.282.8+1.3
10 Urania Milano138562%83.683.1+0.5
11 JuVi Cremona148657%89.284.7+4.5
12 Sebastiani Rieti137654%82.780.5+2.2
13 Nardo137654%79.885.5-5.6
14 Assigeco Piacenza136746%79.679.0+0.6
15 Cento135838%74.978.8-3.9
16 Agrigento134931%75.579.3-3.8
17 Vigevano134931%78.484.2-5.8
18 Luiss Roma1441029%76.286.1-9.9
19 Cividale1331023%73.977.2-3.2
20 Rimini1331023%74.878.8-4.0
21 Monferrato1331023%79.984.9-5.0
22 Orzinuovi1331023%70.376.6-6.3
23 Chiusi1221017%65.774.6-8.9
24 Latina1321115%78.787.7-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monferrato1823192686
Vigevano1414132061
← all games of the day
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