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Mongolia vs China Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 52-90
14-18 15-25 14-28 9-19
Position#15
Record5-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game78.7
vs
China 🏆
Position#2
Record2-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game59.3
EuropeAsia Cup· UG Arena
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mongolia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
China winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MongoliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMongolia
Date
Competition
Thailand
#12
L
105-109
105
109
-4
no box
A14/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
73-49
73
49
+24
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
50-89
50
89
-39
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
China
#2
L
49-80
49
80
-31
39avg 47
A22/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
63-74
63
74
-11
37avg 47
H25/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
75-93
75
93
-18
66avg 47
A21/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
28-29
11-23
35-34
27-15
14-18
20-18
15-18
29-8
22-10
10-16
12-15
26-15
17-24
22-26
16-17
19-20
9-24
12-21
10-24
20-17
10-20
18-17
16-15
19-22
25-21
20-19
11-16
12-20
17-19
7-20
13-21
13-21
19-18
16-19
15-16
22-22
14-25
15-20
24-26
150.3Avg total
71.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.578.7158.2+0.850%
Season at home (5)78.872.2151.0+6.680%
Season away (5)80.285.2165.4-5.020%
Last 10 (10)71.179.2150.3-8.120%
Last 5 (5)65.278.8144.0-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)69.191.3160.4-22.26%
vs Similar (3)95.792.7188.3+3.067%
vs Weaker (11)79.168.5147.6+10.564%
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChina
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#12
W
95-50
95
50
+45
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
101-73
101
73
+28
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Mongolia
#15
W
80-49
80
49
+31
82avg 75
H22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
69avg 75
A25/02
Asia Cup
Sacramento Kings
#4
L
50-101
50
101
-51
no box
A07/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
66avg 75
A08/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
67-89
67
89
-22
76avg 75
H10/07
California Classic
Guam
#14
W
101-53
101
53
+48
105avg 75
H21/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
23-2
23-21
27-17
20-12
30-17
16-15
18-26
19-17
29-13
14-20
14-27
21-29
25-20
34-10
21-14
20-12
19-17
20-7
21-13
20-19
18-19
13-17
22-21
18-31
11-21
7-25
14-24
9-26
18-17
19-21
16-29
20-29
24-18
7-17
16-25
21-17
24-10
27-15
29-11
152.0Avg total
78.9Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.759.3144.0+25.367%
Season at home (2)90.551.0141.5+39.5100%
Season away (1)73.076.0149.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)78.973.1152.0+5.850%
Last 5 (5)70.682.4153.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.490.5153.9-27.112%
vs Similar (4)82.093.0175.0-11.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.465.5150.9+19.989%
This opponent (Mongolia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
MongoliaChina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MongoliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thailand
#12
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A14/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H24/02
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
51-18
51
18
+33
H25/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A26/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H28/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/09
Asian Games
China
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A22/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H25/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A21/11
Asia Cup
78.4Avg total
39.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.978.6-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.939.578.4-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)38.540.278.7-1.641%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.178.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.241.075.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.744.479.1-9.812%-
vs Similar (3)51.345.096.3+6.3100%-
vs Weaker (11)41.131.872.9+9.373%-
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#12
W
45-12
45
12
+33
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H03/10
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A04/10
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A06/10
Asian Games
Mongolia
#15
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/02
Asia Cup
Sacramento Kings
#4
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A07/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A08/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H10/07
California Classic
Guam
#14
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H21/11
Asia Cup
76.7Avg total
41.1Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.178.0+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.533.577.9+11.069%-
Last 30 away (17)38.239.978.1-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.676.7+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.478.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.246.078.2-13.80%-
vs Similar (4)41.844.886.5-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.631.576.1+13.183%-
This opponent (Mongolia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mongoliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mongolia: 61.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.3
50.5%
49.3%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.7
28.6%
32.7%20.0
🏀 Free throws10.07.0
70.0%
70.1%7.0
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.1
49.3%
49.3%40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.6
28.7%
32.7%19.7
🏀 Free throws16.612.0
72.4%
70.1%12.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/7 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mongolia
LLLLLLLWWL
China
WLLLLWWLWW
#15
League position
#2
-30.4
Net rating
-4.8
83.8
Offensive rating
96.1
114.2
Defensive rating
100.9
47.4%
Effective FG%
47.1%
60.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
25.8%
Turnover %
21.1%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.6%
3-point %
28.7%
58.3%
Assist %
63.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence83.8 · 96.1Defence114.2 · 100.9Shooting47.4% · 47.1%3-point %28.6% · 28.7%Ball care25.8% · 21.1%Off. rebounds23.8% · 32.7%Free throws0.17 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Mongolia   ■ China
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mongolia wins
4
China wins
DateGameScore
22/02/24China v Mongolia80-49
26/09/23China v Mongolia89-50
26/09/14China v Mongolia108-67
16/11/10China v Mongolia91-46
Mongolialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24AJapan75-93
25/02/24HGuam63-74
22/02/24AChina49-80
30/09/23AChinese Taipei75-78
28/09/23HHong Kong64-69
26/09/23AChina50-89
26/02/23AGuam81-82
25/02/23HSingapore73-49
24/02/23HHong Kong76-69
14/11/22AThailand105-109
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HGuam101-53
10/07/24HSan Antonio Spurs67-89
08/07/24ACharlotte Hornets62-93
07/07/24ASacramento Kings50-101
25/02/24AJapan73-76
22/02/24HMongolia80-49
06/10/23AChinese Taipei101-73
04/10/23APhilippines76-77
03/10/23HSouth Korea84-70
30/09/23HHong Kong95-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mongolia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game79.578.880.2
Allowed / game78.772.285.2
Point differential+0.8+6.6-5.0
Avg total158.2151.0165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
China
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game84.790.573.0
Allowed / game59.351.076.0
Point differential+25.3+39.5-3.0
Avg total144.0141.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia440100%97.561.2+36.2
2 Philippines330100%97.768.7+29.0
3 Lebanon330100%93.372.7+20.7
4 Iran330100%60.742.3+18.3
5 Jordan330100%75.058.0+17.0
6 Japan440100%82.270.5+11.8
7 Thailand107370%83.876.0+7.8
8 China32167%84.759.3+25.3
9 New Zealand32167%88.770.3+18.3
10 Kazakhstan32167%45.346.0-0.7
11 Saudi Arabia32167%67.067.7-0.7
12 Guam96367%71.373.4-2.1
13 Bahrain32167%69.776.3-6.7
14 Iraq85362%76.073.6+2.4
15 South Korea42250%82.080.8+1.2
16 Mongolia105550%79.578.7+0.8
17 Qatar84450%65.665.0+0.6
18 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 Palestine83538%68.570.0-1.5
21 United Arab Emirates83538%67.870.8-3.0
22 Syria31233%75.775.3+0.3
23 Chinese Taipei31233%69.083.3-14.3
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Hong Kong82625%66.878.4-11.6
26 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
27 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
28 India3030%52.072.7-20.7
29 Indonesia3030%61.788.3-26.7
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mongolia141514952
China1825281990
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