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Montana State vs Idaho State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 60-40
23-19 37-21
Position#32
Record9-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#339
Record2-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game60.8
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Montana State v Idaho State
22 Jan 2026
MONT74
IDAH62
15 Feb 2025
MONT74
IDAH69
22 Jan 2024
MONT77
IDAH70
12 Jan 2023
MONT81
IDAH68
01 Jan 2022
MONT60
IDAH40
13 Feb 2020
MONT73
IDAH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#140
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H26/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A27/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A04/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H08/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#304
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A12/12
NCAA
Portland
#140
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H19/12
NCAA
SAGU
#574
W
124-73
124
73
+51
H23/12
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-33
35-33
38-22
45-42
27-31
48-37
28-30
36-34
41-27
27-39
36-24
32-25
39-36
33-29
16-26
45-33
57-26
67-47
40-43
35-42
144.2Avg total
77.0Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.170.7148.8+7.464%
Season at home (7)79.064.6143.6+14.486%
Season away (7)77.176.9154.0+0.343%
Last 10 (10)77.067.2144.2+9.880%
Last 5 (5)80.066.2146.2+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.984.1158.0-10.314%
vs Similar (9)74.471.3145.8+3.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)74.266.0140.2+8.277%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#51
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A15/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A20/11
NCAA
UMKC
#120
L
58-74
58
74
-16
H23/11
NCAA
Air Force
#276
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A27/11
NCAA
Portland State
#232
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#326
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H05/12
NCAA
California
#281
L
46-72
46
72
-26
A09/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#360
W
103-68
103
68
+35
H19/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#124
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A22/12
NCAA
Montana
#153
L
54-78
54
78
-24
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-25
26-52
31-41
29-37
26-33
32-41
24-21
24-38
25-32
30-31
28-25
42-48
23-30
23-42
51-36
52-32
26-27
17-29
29-41
25-37
128.6Avg total
58.8Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)60.868.7129.5-7.817%
Season at home (5)73.667.8141.4+5.840%
Season away (7)51.769.3121.0-17.60%
Last 10 (10)58.869.8128.6-11.010%
Last 5 (5)63.269.4132.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)54.669.8124.4-15.112%
vs Similar (14)60.065.8125.8-5.821%
vs Weaker (6)78.759.3138.0+19.3100%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: -8.7-8.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: -8.7-8.7
Montana StateIdaho State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#140
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
38-22
38
22
+16
A27/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A04/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H08/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#304
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A12/12
NCAA
Portland
#140
L
16-26
16
26
-10
H19/12
NCAA
SAGU
#574
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H23/12
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H31/12
NCAA
65.4Avg total
35.6Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.868.2+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.132.867.9+2.238%-
Last 30 away (17)33.934.568.5-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)35.629.865.4+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.068.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.942.477.3-7.614%-
vs Similar (9)34.733.768.3+1.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)33.729.863.5+3.954%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#51
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A15/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A20/11
NCAA
UMKC
#120
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H23/11
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A27/11
NCAA
Portland State
#232
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#326
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H05/12
NCAA
California
#281
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A09/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#360
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H19/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#124
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A22/12
NCAA
Montana
#153
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A31/12
NCAA
59.9Avg total
28.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.330.761.0-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.728.660.4+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)29.132.561.6-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)28.831.159.9-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.863.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)27.134.061.1-6.90%-
vs Similar (14)27.431.358.7-3.936%-
vs Weaker (6)38.727.866.5+10.883%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Montana State wins
0
Idaho State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/21HWeber State75-85
23/12/21HSAGU124-73
19/12/21HPortland61-59
12/12/21ASt. Thomas (Minn.)72-65
08/12/21HNorth Dakota St68-49
04/12/21ASacramento State68-66
03/12/21ANorthern Colorado75-77 OT
28/11/21HSoutheast Missouri State75-68
27/11/21AIncarnate Word83-64
26/11/21HPortland69-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/21AMontana54-78
22/12/21AUC Santa Barbara43-56
19/12/21HBethesda103-68
09/12/21ACalifornia46-72
05/12/21HNorthern Arizona70-73
03/12/21HPortland State55-63
27/11/21AAir Force48-59
23/11/21HUMKC58-74
20/11/21ANebraska60-78
15/11/21ASeattle51-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game78.179.077.1
Allowed / game70.764.676.9
Point differential+7.4+14.4+0.3
Avg total148.8143.6154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %14%0%29%
Idaho State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %17%40%0%
Points / game60.873.651.7
Allowed / game68.767.869.3
Point differential-7.8+5.8-17.6
Avg total129.5141.4121.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Weber State1410471%75.668.9+6.7
2 Montana149564%73.661.3+12.3
3 Montana State149564%78.170.7+7.4
4 East. Washington137654%75.872.6+3.2
5 Northern Colorado147750%74.574.1+0.4
6 Sacramento State104640%63.569.4-5.9
7 Northern Arizona124833%67.273.8-6.6
8 Portland State113827%68.167.1+1.0
9 Idaho113827%73.079.7-6.7
10 Idaho State1221017%60.868.7-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State233760
Idaho State192140
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