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Montana State vs Idaho State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-69
36-30 38-39
Position#238
Record11-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#204
Record11-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Montana State v Idaho State
22 Jan 2026
MONT74
IDAH62
15 Feb 2025
MONT74
IDAH69
22 Jan 2024
MONT77
IDAH70
12 Jan 2023
MONT81
IDAH68
01 Jan 2022
MONT60
IDAH40
13 Feb 2020
MONT73
IDAH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#160
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H12/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A19/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H21/01
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A26/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H31/01
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A09/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
17-25
41-28
31-35
36-35
28-29
52-42
29-31
45-33
30-42
40-35
34-29
36-29
38-35
36-38
38-40
26-29
28-30
38-43
38-25
36-41
137.1Avg total
69.7Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.470.0141.3+1.442%
Season at home (11)75.662.2137.8+13.582%
Season away (15)68.375.7143.9-7.413%
Last 10 (10)69.767.4137.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)69.667.8137.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.376.0152.3+0.343%
vs Similar ◀ (16)70.172.8142.9-2.638%
vs Weaker (7)75.962.0137.9+13.971%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#317
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H12/01
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H19/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A25/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H04/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A09/02
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
39-41
35-31
35-36
36-44
50-18
32-33
39-42
32-37
27-39
28-26
50-44
39-29
48-42
41-36
31-50
37-31
35-36
28-37
40-44
146.4Avg total
73.2Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.369.8144.1+4.648%
Season at home (11)79.164.5143.6+14.573%
Season away (12)70.074.6144.6-4.625%
Last 10 (10)73.273.2146.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)75.475.0150.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.879.3152.2-6.517%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.274.9147.1-2.740%
vs Weaker (13)75.864.5140.3+11.262%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +0.2+0.2
Montana StateIdaho State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#160
L
17-25
17
25
-8
H12/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A19/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H14/02
NCAA
63.2Avg total
31.1Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.868.2+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.229.267.4+9.185%-
Last 30 away (17)31.637.368.9-5.724%-
Last 10 (10)31.132.163.2-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.231.867.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.035.068.0-2.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.234.467.7-1.244%-
vs Weaker (7)38.731.069.7+7.771%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#317
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H12/01
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A24/01
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A09/02
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A14/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
33.8Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.532.766.2+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.431.068.4+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)30.134.264.2-4.125%-
Last 10 (10)33.834.067.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.631.866.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.734.264.8-3.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.737.570.2-4.820%-
vs Weaker (13)34.328.662.9+5.769%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Montana State wins
1
Idaho State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25HWeber State74-66
09/02/25ANorthern Colorado66-73
07/02/25ANorthern Arizona64-69
02/02/25HPortland State74-73
31/01/25HSacramento State70-58
26/01/25AMontana70-77
21/01/25HEast. Washington74-64
19/01/25AWeber State80-71
17/01/25AIdaho State67-70
12/01/25HNorthern Arizona58-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25AMontana68-81
09/02/25AWeber State72-67
04/02/25HNorthern Colorado72-86
01/02/25HIdaho87-71
31/01/25HEast. Washington78-70
25/01/25APortland State59-76
24/01/25ASacramento State71-75
19/01/25HMontana86-62
17/01/25HMontana State70-67
12/01/25HWeber State69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW42%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %42%82%13%
Points / game71.475.668.3
Allowed / game70.062.275.7
Point differential+1.4+13.5-7.4
Avg total141.3137.8143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%55%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)50% (4)0% (7)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Idaho State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%73%25%
Points / game74.379.170.0
Allowed / game69.864.574.6
Point differential+4.6+14.5-4.6
Avg total144.1143.6144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%55%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado2719870%80.873.7+7.1
2 Montana2618869%76.974.2+2.7
3 Portland State26161062%77.370.0+7.2
4 Northern Arizona27151256%76.070.8+5.2
5 Idaho State23111248%74.369.8+4.6
6 Montana State26111542%71.470.0+1.4
7 Idaho26111542%74.375.1-0.8
8 East. Washington26101638%73.074.6-1.7
9 Weber State2691735%73.372.3+0.9
10 Sacramento State2662023%66.769.5-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State363874
Idaho State303969
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