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Montana State vs Idaho State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 74-62
38-34 36-28
Position#144
Record11-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#284
Record10-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Montana State v Idaho State
22 Jan 2026
MONT74
IDAH62
15 Feb 2025
MONT74
IDAH69
22 Jan 2024
MONT77
IDAH70
12 Jan 2023
MONT81
IDAH68
01 Jan 2022
MONT60
IDAH40
13 Feb 2020
MONT73
IDAH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#338
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A13/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Northwest
#541
W
93-54
93
54
+39
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-22
26-50
27-29
30-38
40-41
43-39
46-20
47-34
39-33
50-42
43-35
34-33
19-23
49-41
48-30
41-62
32-31
44-36
36-27
37-41
148.0Avg total
77.3Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.870.2149.0+8.658%
Season at home (8)87.064.0151.0+23.088%
Season away (11)72.874.7147.5-1.936%
Last 10 (10)77.370.7148.0+6.670%
Last 5 (5)76.671.8148.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.774.2140.8-7.533%
vs Similar (12)75.471.2146.6+4.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.567.4146.9+12.264%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#239
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H06/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Montana Western
#410
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H19/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H21/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
97-84
97
84
+13
H02/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A09/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H16/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-37
50-42
32-36
37-37
41-33
39-31
35-50
48-43
41-32
56-52
36-29
42-49
25-40
47-45
40-39
41-40
37-36
39-32
21-44
45-40
160.6Avg total
80.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.973.9150.9+3.053%
Season at home (11)83.274.6157.8+8.564%
Season away (8)68.473.0141.4-4.638%
Last 10 (10)80.480.2160.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)76.481.8158.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.680.2152.8-7.610%
vs Similar (11)77.175.9153.0+1.255%
vs Weaker (7)78.061.9139.9+16.1100%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +3.3+3.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +3.3+3.3
Montana StateIdaho State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#338
W
42-22
42
22
+20
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A13/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Northwest
#541
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A20/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
37.2Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.931.968.9+5.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.531.673.1+9.885%-
Last 30 away (17)33.532.265.6+1.335%-
Last 10 (10)37.229.166.3+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.629.264.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.334.064.3-3.733%-
vs Similar (12)37.533.070.5+4.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.130.769.8+8.455%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#239
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Montana Western
#410
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H19/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H21/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H02/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A09/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H16/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
21-44
21
44
-23
H17/01
NCAA
72.7Avg total
35.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.934.769.7+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.935.473.2+2.565%-
Last 30 away (13)31.133.965.0-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)35.137.672.7-2.560%-
Last 5 (5)31.837.669.4-5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.737.268.9-5.530%-
vs Similar (11)35.534.970.5+0.655%-
vs Weaker (7)37.730.368.0+7.486%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Montana State wins
1
Idaho State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26ANorthern Colorado73-68
18/01/26HMontana76-67
10/01/26AIdaho89-92
09/01/26AEast. Washington68-64
04/01/26HNorthern Arizona77-68
02/01/26HNorthern Colorado89-75
22/12/25HNorthwest93-54
17/12/25ACal Poly83-80
13/12/25AOregon State57-67
07/12/25AOral Roberts68-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HEast. Washington66-84
16/01/26HIdaho76-68
11/01/26ANorthern Arizona81-79
09/01/26ANorthern Colorado72-85
03/01/26HPortland State87-93 OT
02/01/26HSacramento State97-84
21/12/25HUC Davis83-93
19/12/25HMontana Western80-64
11/12/25AUtah Valley State69-73
06/12/25HDenver93-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %58%88%36%
Points / game78.887.072.8
Allowed / game70.264.074.7
Point differential+8.6+23.0-1.9
Avg total149.0151.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (1)43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Idaho State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeLWLWL64%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %53%64%38%
Points / game76.983.268.4
Allowed / game73.974.673.0
Point differential+3.0+8.5-4.6
Avg total150.9157.8141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State1611569%81.671.6+9.9
2 Idaho1811761%80.473.3+7.1
3 Montana State1911858%78.870.2+8.6
4 Northern Colorado2011955%83.577.8+5.6
5 Weber State1910953%83.375.3+8.1
6 Montana1910953%80.473.8+6.5
7 Idaho State1910953%76.973.9+3.0
8 Sacramento State1761135%78.282.4-4.1
9 Northern Arizona2061430%72.375.7-3.4
10 East. Washington1841422%76.983.3-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State383674
Idaho State342862
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