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Montana State vs Montana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 76-67
32-31 44-36
Position#144
Record9-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#186
Record9-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Montana State v Montana
23 Jan 2027
MONT v MONT
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MONT76
MONT67
22 Feb 2025
MONT85
MONT89
20 Jan 2024
MONT77
MONT87
18 Feb 2023
MONT72
MONT68
09 Jan 2022
MONT66
MONT59
30 Jan 2021
MONT v MONT
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
MONT54
MONT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A29/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A13/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Northwest
#541
W
93-54
93
54
+39
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
35-33
40-37
42-37
42-22
26-50
27-29
30-38
40-41
43-39
46-20
47-34
39-33
50-42
43-35
34-33
19-23
49-41
48-30
41-62
151.7Avg total
78.7Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.370.5149.8+8.853%
Season at home (7)88.663.6152.1+25.086%
Season away (10)72.875.4148.2-2.630%
Last 10 (10)78.773.0151.7+5.760%
Last 5 (5)83.270.6153.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.774.2140.8-7.533%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.172.4147.5+2.745%
vs Weaker (12)78.866.6145.3+12.267%
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#212
L
87-95
87
95
-8
H26/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H04/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A07/12
NCAA
Salish Kootenai
#670
W
102-46
102
46
+56
H11/12
NCAA
Montana Tech
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H18/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A20/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H01/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H03/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A09/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-46
44-49
31-34
41-47
33-39
46-36
50-17
52-29
36-36
39-46
20-42
34-52
34-34
44-30
34-25
54-54
44-30
35-43
33-28
32-38
153.4Avg total
77.9Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.173.8153.9+6.353%
Season at home (10)83.467.7151.1+15.760%
Season away (7)75.482.6158.0-7.143%
Last 10 (10)77.975.5153.4+2.450%
Last 5 (5)72.875.2148.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.084.5159.5-9.533%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.576.8155.3+1.764%
vs Weaker (7)83.161.0144.1+22.1100%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -0.3-0.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -0.3-0.3
Montana StateMontana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A29/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
42-22
42
22
+20
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A13/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Northwest
#541
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A10/01
NCAA
68.4Avg total
37.8Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.832.469.2+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.631.573.1+10.285%-
Last 30 away (17)33.133.166.2+0.129%-
Last 10 (10)37.830.668.4+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.028.267.2+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.334.064.3-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.534.572.0+2.955%-
vs Weaker (12)38.730.669.2+8.158%-
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#212
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H26/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/12
NCAA
Salish Kootenai
#670
W
50-17
50
17
+33
H11/12
NCAA
Montana Tech
#2
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A20/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H01/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H03/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A09/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A10/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
35.8Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.532.068.5+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.328.965.2+7.450%-
Last 30 away (14)36.635.672.2+1.164%-
Last 10 (10)35.833.168.9+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.031.864.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.839.073.8-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.833.569.3+2.357%-
vs Weaker (7)38.026.664.6+11.471%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Montana State wins
6
Montana wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AIdaho89-92
09/01/26AEast. Washington68-64
04/01/26HNorthern Arizona77-68
02/01/26HNorthern Colorado89-75
22/12/25HNorthwest93-54
17/12/25ACal Poly83-80
13/12/25AOregon State57-67
07/12/25AOral Roberts68-72
04/12/25HSt. Thomas (Minn.)82-74
29/11/25AUtah State81-84 OT
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AEast. Washington65-66
09/01/26AIdaho79-73
03/01/26HNorthern Colorado88-79
01/01/26HNorthern Arizona78-64
20/12/25ALouisville54-94
18/12/25HMontana Tech75-82
11/12/25HSalish Kootenai102-46
07/12/25ANorth Dakota79-75
04/12/25HNorth Dakota St72-81
26/11/25HOakland87-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL53%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %53%86%30%
Points / game79.388.672.8
Allowed / game70.563.675.4
Point differential+8.8+25.0-2.6
Avg total149.8152.1148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Montana
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %53%60%43%
Points / game80.183.475.4
Allowed / game73.867.782.6
Point differential+6.3+15.7-7.1
Avg total153.9151.1158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State1611569%81.671.6+9.9
2 Northern Colorado1811761%84.077.3+6.7
3 Idaho1710759%80.773.6+7.1
4 Weber State1810856%84.275.3+8.9
5 Montana State179853%79.370.5+8.8
6 Montana179853%80.173.8+6.3
7 Idaho State1910953%76.973.9+3.0
8 Northern Arizona1961332%72.374.5-2.2
9 Sacramento State1651131%77.381.9-4.6
10 East. Washington1841422%76.983.3-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State324476
Montana313667
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