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Montana State vs Montana Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#290
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#196
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game65.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Montana State v Montana
23 Jan 2027
MONT v MONT
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MONT76
MONT67
22 Feb 2025
MONT85
MONT89
20 Jan 2024
MONT77
MONT87
18 Feb 2023
MONT72
MONT68
09 Jan 2022
MONT66
MONT59
30 Jan 2021
MONT v MONT
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
MONT54
MONT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Montana win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A15/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A21/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H27/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A03/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H09/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#134
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A03/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#291
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H07/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-37
44-34
29-28
38-39
30-50
46-41
43-34
41-35
37-33
45-28
36-25
40-40
40-36
34-42
38-44
36-40
41-32
42-38
29-43
42-43
153.8Avg total
78.1Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.080.0156.0-4.033%
Season at home (1)83.070.0153.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)78.175.7153.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)75.676.6152.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.082.0159.0-5.025%
vs Similar (12)78.974.1153.0+4.867%
vs Weaker (13)75.570.2145.7+5.462%
This opponent (Montana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento State
#324
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H27/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A03/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H09/03
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A11/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H12/03
NCAA
Oregon
#29
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A03/11
NCAA
Salish Kootenai
#530
W
105-40
105
40
+65
H05/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#138
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A11/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-32
39-41
30-28
44-40
23-27
34-58
49-32
46-57
39-24
36-48
31-30
35-47
31-40
38-47
61-19
44-21
28-26
30-37
33-38
47-33
148.5Avg total
76.0Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.065.2143.2+12.850%
Season at home (1)105.040.0145.0+65.0100%
Season away (3)69.073.7142.7-4.733%
Last 10 (10)76.072.5148.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)75.667.6143.2+8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.087.3152.3-22.30%
vs Similar (16)73.875.6149.3-1.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)76.570.2146.8+6.262%
This opponent (Montana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -3.6-3.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -3.6-3.6
Montana StateMontana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A21/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H27/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A03/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H09/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#134
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#291
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A13/11
NCAA
72.3Avg total
36.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.270.1+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.632.673.1+8.093%-
Last 30 away (16)33.833.867.5+0.038%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.272.3-0.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.072.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.240.075.2-4.825%-
vs Similar (12)37.331.668.9+5.892%-
vs Weaker (13)36.433.670.0+2.846%-
This opponent (Montana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento State
#324
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A03/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H09/03
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A11/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H12/03
NCAA
Oregon
#29
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A03/11
NCAA
Salish Kootenai
#530
W
61-19
61
19
+42
H05/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#138
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A11/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A14/11
NCAA
66.3Avg total
36.7Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.868.1+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.430.768.1+6.760%-
Last 30 away (15)33.334.968.1-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)36.729.666.3+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.830.667.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.338.766.0-11.30%-
vs Similar (16)33.832.065.8+1.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.435.571.9+0.950%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Montana State wins
5
Montana wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABrigham Young71-86
07/11/26HLong Beach State83-70
03/11/26AColorado State74-84
09/03/26HIdaho74-78
03/03/26ANorthern Arizona76-65
28/02/26HSacramento State82-61
27/02/26HPortland State84-69
21/02/26AIdaho State76-91
20/02/26AWeber State79-82 OT
15/02/26AMontana82-71
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorth Dakota80-71
11/11/26ASan Francisco58-63
05/11/26HSalish Kootenai105-40
03/11/26AOregon69-87
12/03/26HIdaho66-77
11/03/26APortland State75-72
09/03/26HNorthern Colorado95-89
03/03/26ANorthern Colorado57-85
28/02/26HPortland State74-68
27/02/26HSacramento State81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game76.083.072.5
Allowed / game80.070.085.0
Point differential-4.0+13.0-12.5
Avg total156.0153.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montana
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game78.0105.069.0
Allowed / game65.240.073.7
Point differential+12.8+65.0-4.7
Avg total143.2145.0142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Idaho42250%86.571.5+15.0
2 Montana42250%78.065.2+12.8
3 Northern Colorado42250%82.069.2+12.8
4 Portland State42250%81.573.2+8.2
5 Sacramento State31233%74.377.3-3.0
6 Montana State31233%76.080.0-4.0
7 East. Washington41325%80.583.5-3.0
8 Weber State41325%74.586.2-11.8
9 Northern Arizona4040%69.587.8-18.2
10 Idaho State3030%67.392.0-24.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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