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Montana State vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 82-65
41-30 41-35
Position#54
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#139
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game68.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Montana State v St. Thomas (Minn.)
03 Dec 2025
MONT82
ST. 74
08 Dec 2022
MONT82
ST. 65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Thomas (Minn.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#46
L
62-97
62
97
-35
A18/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
51-81
51
81
-30
A16/11
NCAA
Warner Pacific
#577
W
106-64
106
64
+42
H19/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A20/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A27/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A27/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-52
37-45
36-19
18-41
32-24
38-33
22-34
29-47
46-34
60-30
37-27
44-44
38-39
28-38
24-26
29-44
32-33
39-39
46-35
40-48
143.2Avg total
70.0Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.970.6141.4+0.344%
Season at home (2)86.070.5156.5+15.550%
Season away (7)66.670.6137.1-4.043%
Last 10 (10)70.073.2143.2-3.240%
Last 5 (5)71.474.6146.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.097.0159.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.968.7137.6+0.260%
vs Weaker (18)75.967.9143.8+8.183%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#83
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H12/11
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
84-48
84
48
+36
H13/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A18/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H20/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A23/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
L
66-95
66
95
-29
A27/11
NCAA
North Central Rams
#617
W
111-63
111
63
+48
H30/11
NCAA
Crown College
#462
W
91-56
91
56
+35
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-40
25-32
38-24
45-37
46-23
38-25
28-43
31-35
36-38
42-38
37-34
35-27
35-33
41-39
24-36
42-59
61-32
50-31
46-21
45-35
146.2Avg total
78.0Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.068.2146.2+9.870%
Season at home (6)86.560.8147.3+25.7100%
Season away (4)65.279.2144.5-14.025%
Last 10 (10)78.068.2146.2+9.870%
Last 5 (5)83.269.4152.6+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.181.1147.2-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.877.2149.0-5.444%
vs Weaker (10)90.462.2152.6+28.290%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +3.6+3.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +3.6+3.6
Montana StateSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#46
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A18/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A08/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A16/11
NCAA
Warner Pacific
#577
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A20/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A27/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A01/12
NCAA
66.1Avg total
33.8Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.931.766.7+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.930.765.6+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)35.032.667.6+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)33.832.366.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.067.4+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.052.077.0-27.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.332.266.5+2.160%-
vs Weaker (18)35.230.265.4+5.072%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#83
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H12/11
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A18/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A27/11
NCAA
North Central Rams
#617
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H30/11
NCAA
Crown College
#462
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H04/12
NCAA
71.0Avg total
38.6Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.232.871.0+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.230.672.8+11.682%-
Last 30 away (13)33.135.768.8-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.632.471.0+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.631.271.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.437.070.4-3.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.834.968.7-1.156%-
vs Weaker (10)47.626.373.9+21.3100%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Montana State wins
0
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
DateGameScore
12/12/21St. Thomas (Minn.) v Montana State65-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22ASouthern Utah86-83
27/11/22AMiddle Tenn. St.71-72
27/11/22AQuinnipiac53-70
25/11/22HNC Greensboro66-77
20/11/22ANorth Dakota81-71
19/11/22HWarner Pacific106-64
16/11/22AOregon51-81
14/11/22ALong Beach State70-57
08/11/22AGrand Canyon54-60
18/03/22ATexas Tech62-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22HCrown College91-56
30/11/22HNorth Central Rams111-63
27/11/22AUtah Utes66-95
23/11/22AWisc. Milwaukee76-72
20/11/22HMerrimack Warriors72-61
19/11/22HTroy78-76
18/11/22AMontana59-78
13/11/22HSt. Francis Brooklyn84-48
12/11/22HChicago State83-61
08/11/22ACreighton60-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %44%50%43%
Points / game70.986.066.6
Allowed / game70.670.570.6
Point differential+0.3+15.5-4.0
Avg total141.4156.5137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%100%25%
Points / game78.086.565.2
Allowed / game68.260.879.2
Point differential+9.8+25.7-14.0
Avg total146.2147.3144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State95456%85.371.6+13.8
2 Idaho94544%76.267.1+9.1
3 Montana State94544%70.970.6+0.3
4 Montana94544%64.865.6-0.8
5 Sacramento State94544%68.671.9-3.3
6 East. Washington94544%65.269.2-4.0
7 Northern Colorado94544%71.682.0-10.4
8 Northern Arizona114736%72.172.5-0.4
9 Idaho State103730%69.466.9+2.5
10 Weber State92722%64.072.8-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denver108280%79.672.9+6.7
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)107370%78.068.2+9.8
3 Oral Roberts96367%83.274.7+8.6
4 South Dakota Coyotes105550%66.871.4-4.6
5 North Dakota115645%68.072.6-4.6
6 UMKC124833%64.267.3-3.1
7 South Dakota St.103730%66.274.4-8.2
8 Nebraska O.103730%64.476.8-12.4
9 North Dakota St102820%68.778.2-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State414182
St. Thomas (Minn.)303565
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