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Montana State vs Weber State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 76-64
32-32 44-32
Position#213
Record13-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#101
Record20-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Montana State v Weber State
24 Jan 2026
MONT91
WEBE88
13 Feb 2025
MONT74
WEBE66
04 Mar 2024
MONT76
WEBE64
07 Mar 2023
MONT60
WEBE58
14 Jan 2023
MONT67
WEBE52
11 Mar 2022
MONT69
WEBE66
30 Dec 2021
MONT75
WEBE85
15 Feb 2020
MONT77
WEBE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Weber State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#184
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A28/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A18/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H23/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A01/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-42
46-52
32-25
38-35
30-31
45-50
36-35
34-38
41-36
30-40
30-40
39-48
36-37
36-30
25-29
38-37
41-27
21-21
36-31
53-58
150.8Avg total
74.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.374.4148.6-0.143%
Season at home (16)76.971.4148.3+5.456%
Season away (14)71.377.7149.0-6.429%
Last 10 (10)74.776.1150.8-1.430%
Last 5 (5)74.075.4149.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.384.1157.4-10.914%
vs Similar (14)73.174.6147.8-1.550%
vs Weaker (8)78.665.9144.5+12.862%
This opponent (Weber State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Weber StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#279
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H28/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A04/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H09/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A16/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A17/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A25/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-35
35-39
35-27
37-43
36-30
46-33
45-26
39-46
30-22
28-31
28-30
42-39
44-33
46-51
26-32
36-48
33-36
38-35
40-34
45-24
145.6Avg total
75.2Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.666.5142.1+9.167%
Season at home (15)82.862.9145.7+19.987%
Season away (15)68.470.0138.4-1.647%
Last 10 (10)75.270.4145.6+4.880%
Last 5 (5)78.474.4152.8+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.057.0118.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (8)72.971.4144.2+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)73.967.8141.7+6.267%
This opponent (Montana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +0.3+0.3
Montana StateWeber State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#184
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A28/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H02/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A09/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A10/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H23/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A01/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A02/03
NCAA
68.5Avg total
35.2Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.768.6+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.132.167.2+3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)34.635.570.1-0.957%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.368.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.632.866.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.336.667.9-5.329%-
vs Similar (14)34.533.467.9+1.164%-
vs Weaker (8)39.431.270.6+8.175%-
This opponent (Weber State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Weber StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#279
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H28/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A02/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H09/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H11/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A16/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A17/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A25/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H02/03
NCAA
65.1Avg total
34.6Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.730.766.5+5.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.128.568.5+11.680%-
Last 30 away (15)31.433.064.4-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.630.565.1+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.067.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.037.063.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (8)35.032.167.1+2.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)34.832.066.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Montana State wins
5
Weber State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AEast. Washington104-108 OT
01/03/24AIdaho62-48
25/02/24HSacramento State63-66
23/02/24HPortland State72-67
18/02/24AMontana69-88
10/02/24ANorthern Arizona71-76
09/02/24ANorthern Colorado70-73
04/02/24HIdaho75-81
02/02/24HEast. Washington70-60
28/01/24APortland State91-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HNorthern Arizona85-58
01/03/24HNorthern Colorado85-81 OT
25/02/24AIdaho State62-80
17/02/24AEast. Washington90-84
16/02/24AIdaho70-69
11/02/24HSacramento State58-53
09/02/24HPortland State84-72
04/02/24ANorthern Colorado82-63
02/02/24ANorthern Arizona72-70
28/01/24HIdaho State64-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %43%56%29%
Points / game74.376.971.3
Allowed / game74.471.477.7
Point differential-0.1+5.4-6.4
Avg total148.6148.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)60% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %10%12%7%
Weber State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWWWW87%
AwayWWWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%87%47%
Points / game75.682.868.4
Allowed / game66.562.970.0
Point differential+9.1+19.9-1.6
Avg total142.1145.7138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)75% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Weber State30201067%75.666.5+9.1
2 East. Washington30201067%80.974.8+6.0
3 Montana30201067%77.271.5+5.8
4 Northern Colorado31191261%80.477.7+2.7
5 Portland State30161453%71.671.8-0.2
6 Northern Arizona32141844%68.976.9-8.0
7 Montana State30131743%74.374.4-0.1
8 Idaho State30121840%70.869.9+0.9
9 Idaho30111937%68.371.1-2.8
10 Sacramento State3082227%65.969.9-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State324476
Weber State323264
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