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Montana State vs Weber State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 91-88
45-42 46-46
Position#144
Record12-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#201
Record10-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Montana State v Weber State
24 Jan 2026
MONT91
WEBE88
13 Feb 2025
MONT74
WEBE66
04 Mar 2024
MONT76
WEBE64
07 Mar 2023
MONT60
WEBE58
14 Jan 2023
MONT67
WEBE52
11 Mar 2022
MONT69
WEBE66
30 Dec 2021
MONT75
WEBE85
15 Feb 2020
MONT77
WEBE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Weber State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A13/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Northwest
#541
W
93-54
93
54
+39
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-29
30-38
40-41
43-39
46-20
47-34
39-33
50-42
43-35
34-33
19-23
49-41
48-30
41-62
32-31
44-36
36-27
37-41
38-34
36-28
147.6Avg total
77.9Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.569.8148.3+8.860%
Season at home (9)85.663.8149.3+21.889%
Season away (11)72.874.7147.5-1.936%
Last 10 (10)77.969.7147.6+8.280%
Last 5 (5)76.070.6146.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.274.4139.6-9.220%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.471.2146.6+4.258%
vs Weaker (12)79.166.9146.0+12.267%
This opponent (Weber State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Weber StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#33
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A18/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#658
W
103-64
103
64
+39
H22/12
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
H01/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A09/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A11/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H16/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H18/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-40
42-50
41-43
39-39
57-24
46-40
37-30
39-46
50-39
45-43
42-31
36-34
34-37
42-34
42-44
49-36
29-41
38-34
43-36
22-45
160.4Avg total
81.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.475.5157.9+6.950%
Season at home (11)90.472.9163.3+17.564%
Season away (9)72.778.8151.4-6.133%
Last 10 (10)81.978.5160.4+3.450%
Last 5 (5)75.474.4149.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.576.8142.2-11.212%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.578.3152.8-3.820%
vs Weaker (12)87.568.5156.0+19.083%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -0.3-0.3
Montana StateWeber State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A13/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Northwest
#541
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H23/01
NCAA
67.1Avg total
36.8Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.931.968.8+5.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.531.573.0+9.985%-
Last 30 away (17)33.532.265.6+1.335%-
Last 10 (10)36.830.367.1+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)34.629.063.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.833.862.6-5.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.533.070.5+4.567%-
vs Weaker (12)39.031.070.0+8.058%-
This opponent (Weber State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Weber StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#33
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A18/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#658
W
57-24
57
24
+33
H22/12
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H01/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A09/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A11/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H16/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H18/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A23/01
NCAA
77.2Avg total
40.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.334.170.4+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.232.171.2+7.150%-
Last 30 away (14)33.036.569.5-3.543%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.577.2+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.875.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.437.265.6-8.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.135.669.7-1.540%-
vs Weaker (12)43.430.874.2+12.683%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Montana State wins
2
Weber State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HIdaho State74-62
20/01/26ANorthern Colorado73-68
18/01/26HMontana76-67
10/01/26AIdaho89-92
09/01/26AEast. Washington68-64
04/01/26HNorthern Arizona77-68
02/01/26HNorthern Colorado89-75
22/12/25HNorthwest93-54
17/12/25ACal Poly83-80
13/12/25AOregon State57-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26AMontana65-81
18/01/26HIdaho67-75
16/01/26HEast. Washington91-80
11/01/26ANorthern Colorado76-71
09/01/26ANorthern Arizona78-65
04/01/26HSacramento State95-82
01/01/26HPortland State90-95 OT
22/12/25HLincoln University (CA)103-64
21/12/25HUtah Tech80-82
18/12/25AUtah Valley State74-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %60%89%36%
Points / game78.585.672.8
Allowed / game69.863.874.7
Point differential+8.8+21.8-1.9
Avg total148.3149.3147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (1)43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Weber State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayWLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%64%33%
Points / game82.490.472.7
Allowed / game75.572.978.8
Point differential+6.8+17.5-6.1
Avg total157.9163.3151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%55%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %10%9%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State1813572%79.970.7+9.2
2 Montana State2012860%78.569.8+8.8
3 Idaho2012860%80.073.2+6.8
4 Montana2112957%79.972.8+7.1
5 Northern Colorado2011955%83.577.8+5.6
6 Weber State20101050%82.475.5+6.8
7 Idaho State21101148%75.473.7+1.7
8 Sacramento State1961332%77.582.2-4.6
9 Northern Arizona2061430%72.375.7-3.4
10 East. Washington2051525%76.081.5-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State454691
Weber State424688
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