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Montenegro vs Bulgaria Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-62
20-16 24-11 21-25 20-10
Position#19
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#13
Record9-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game72.2
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Moraca Sports Center
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montenegro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bulgaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontenegro
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#60
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
56-65
56
65
-9
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
66-74
66
74
-8
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
61-85
61
85
-24
48avg 73
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
95-70
95
70
+25
97avg 73
H25/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
18-9
21-14
11-18
15-19
15-18
14-12
12-16
19-18
18-16
11-20
18-20
32-14
18-11
20-21
18-24
19-19
29-20
20-19
23-13
27-17
24-20
19-19
19-18
27-26
13-22
10-18
21-25
19-14
17-16
14-12
23-27
10-28
20-19
20-11
11-27
27-24
23-13
25-20
20-13
148.0Avg total
75.5Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.077.5155.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)95.070.0165.0+25.0100%
Season away (1)61.085.0146.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)75.572.5148.0+3.060%
Last 5 (5)77.877.8155.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.476.5147.9-5.138%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.076.3149.3-3.343%
vs Weaker (15)82.370.7153.0+11.587%
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulgaria
Date
Competition
Portugal
#14
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
A10/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
A13/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A19/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
H22/07
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
91-69
91
69
+22
no box
H29/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A02/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
70-84
70
84
-14
59avg 58
A22/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
W
67-62
67
62
+5
57avg 58
H25/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
32-23
12-23
14-21
16-8
17-13
24-27
18-18
16-12
15-13
13-19
18-17
19-19
24-21
27-18
20-24
21-22
18-27
8-19
33-18
15-20
19-7
26-20
23-24
20-14
30-20
24-17
17-18
28-13
25-25
16-14
16-19
22-29
21-21
12-12
15-22
7-19
21-8
11-18
28-17
152.1Avg total
78.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.472.2151.7+7.275%
Season at home (6)83.868.5152.3+15.3100%
Season away (6)75.076.0151.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)78.174.0152.1+4.170%
Last 5 (5)79.271.4150.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.785.1160.9-9.429%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.478.2154.7-1.844%
vs Weaker (7)81.771.7153.4+10.071%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
MontenegroBulgaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#60
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A11/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H14/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A23/02
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H26/02
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A25/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H25/02
EuroBasket
76.3Avg total
40.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.275.0+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.935.074.9+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)37.837.375.1+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.535.876.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.881.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.439.073.4-4.650%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.938.176.0-0.343%-
vs Weaker (15)41.733.775.5+8.080%-
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal
#14
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A10/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A13/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H26/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A19/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H22/07
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H29/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A02/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A22/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H25/02
EuroBasket
76.1Avg total
40.6Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.977.6-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.236.977.1+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.240.978.1-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.635.576.1+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.276.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.540.776.2-5.236%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.438.679.0+1.956%-
vs Weaker (7)42.935.678.4+7.371%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.5
58.6%
50.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.07.0
41.2%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.516.0
82.1%
71.4%16.0
They take 52.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bulgariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.7
50.3%
50.6%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.0
35.8%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.813.5
75.8%
71.4%13.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Montenegro
WLWLWWWLLW
Bulgaria
WLWWWLWWWL
#19
League position
#13
+2.2
Net rating
+5.2
114.2
Offensive rating
107.6
112.0
Defensive rating
102.4
59.6%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
22.0%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
41.2%
3-point %
35.8%
40.0%
Assist %
67.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 107.6Defence112.0 · 102.4Shooting59.6% · 51.9%3-point %41.2% · 35.8%Ball care22.0% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.6% · 32.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Montenegro   ■ Bulgaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Montenegro wins
0
Bulgaria wins
DateGameScore
04/09/22Bulgaria v Montenegro81-91
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HSweden95-70
22/02/24AGermany61-85
03/09/23AGreece73-69
29/08/23HLithuania71-91
27/08/23HEgypt89-74
25/08/23AMexico91-71
26/02/23HCzech Republic88-70
23/02/23ABosnia & Herzegovina66-74
14/11/22HLithuania56-65
11/11/22ACzech Republic65-56
Bulgarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HGermany67-62
22/02/24ASweden70-84
02/08/23AAustria85-71
29/07/23HNorway91-69
22/07/23HAustria83-71
19/07/23ANorway80-86
26/02/23HPortugal90-82
23/02/23ARomania62-61
13/11/22ACyprus75-66
10/11/22APortugal78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montenegro
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.095.061.0
Allowed / game77.570.085.0
Point differential+0.5+25.0-24.0
Avg total155.5165.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bulgaria
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game79.483.875.0
Allowed / game72.268.576.0
Point differential+7.2+15.3-1.0
Avg total151.7152.3151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia330100%75.058.7+16.3
2 Italy220100%85.071.0+14.0
3 France330100%74.061.3+12.7
4 Slovenia220100%87.576.0+11.5
5 Latvia330100%72.766.3+6.3
6 Estonia330100%73.768.7+5.0
7 Croatia1311285%84.567.5+17.0
8 Portugal86275%82.971.6+11.2
9 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
10 Lithuania32167%74.765.3+9.3
11 Czech Republic32167%83.376.0+7.3
12 North Macedonia96367%74.266.9+7.3
13 Turkey32167%82.776.0+6.7
14 Belgium32167%68.362.7+5.7
15 Greece32167%72.769.7+3.0
16 Great Britain32167%84.385.3-1.0
17 Sweden32167%75.779.0-3.3
18 Slovakia138562%73.169.3+3.8
19 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
20 Poland95456%78.474.8+3.7
21 Denmark179853%75.872.2+3.6
22 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
23 Montenegro21150%78.077.5+0.5
24 Israel21150%75.579.0-3.5
25 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
26 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
27 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
28 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
29 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
30 Germany31233%73.067.0+6.0
31 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%79.776.3+3.3
32 Spain31233%68.069.7-1.7
33 Georgia31233%74.078.0-4.0
34 Finland31233%77.784.0-6.3
35 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
36 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
37 Cyprus151147%63.180.5-17.3
38 Ukraine2020%75.083.0-8.0
39 Netherlands3030%80.089.3-9.3
40 Hungary3030%64.381.7-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Montenegro2024212085
Bulgaria1611251062
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