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Montenegro W vs Poland W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-56
15-14 19-16 13-13 14-13
Position#14
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game62.9
Montenegro W 🏆
vs
Poland W
Position#7
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game52.1
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 2· Topolica Sport Hall
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montenegro W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montenegro WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#21
L
44-89
44
89
-45
A19/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
53-87
53
87
-34
H20/06
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
L
49-63
49
63
-14
H22/06
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#19
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
104-62
104
62
+42
A15/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A18/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#19
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A11/03
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
94-35
94
35
+59
H14/03
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H17/03
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#4
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A11/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
10-21
10-21
11-23
8-31
24-17
13-15
8-24
11-14
13-16
12-18
13-15
16-18
18-15
13-21
18-17
36-18
25-16
28-9
15-19
21-18
15-14
14-20
12-14
28-21
10-17
18-15
23-8
22-7
20-8
27-12
25-8
27-18
16-14
15-17
12-17
14-18
17-19
11-20
20-22
136.1Avg total
68.2Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.662.9139.4+13.757%
Season at home (3)76.357.3133.7+19.067%
Season away (4)76.867.0143.8+9.850%
Last 10 (10)68.267.9136.1+0.340%
Last 5 (5)73.461.4134.8+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)63.668.7132.3-5.146%
vs Similar (3)51.777.0128.7-25.30%
vs Weaker (14)74.955.5130.4+19.479%
This opponent (Poland W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poland WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H10/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A06/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
88-34
88
34
+54
A09/02
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#21
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#29
W
86-41
86
41
+45
H15/11
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H18/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#21
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H11/03
European Championship Women
Romania W
#29
W
75-50
75
50
+25
A14/03
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
90-48
90
48
+42
A17/03
European Championship Women
Israel W
#10
W
75-64
75
64
+11
A11/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
24-15
16-24
20-24
22-18
13-22
15-16
19-16
18-2
21-13
32-11
17-8
18-13
17-7
12-11
15-24
26-8
13-7
24-10
23-16
22-11
25-18
21-8
28-15
21-17
11-9
15-14
16-15
19-17
26-8
9-11
21-14
27-15
29-13
20-11
14-9
17-18
17-16
15-21
26-9
133.2Avg total
78.1Scored
55.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.152.1130.3+26.0100%
Season at home (3)81.749.3131.0+32.3100%
Season away (4)75.554.2129.8+21.2100%
Last 10 (10)78.155.1133.2+23.080%
Last 5 (5)79.853.8133.6+26.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.271.7133.8-9.533%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.154.5136.6+27.676%
This opponent (Montenegro W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.9+4.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.9+4.9
Montenegro WPoland W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Montenegro WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#21
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A19/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H20/06
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H22/06
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#19
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
61-34
61
34
+27
A15/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A18/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#19
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/03
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H14/03
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H17/03
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A11/11
European Championship Women
70.8Avg total
36.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.766.1+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.928.263.1+6.781%-
Last 30 away (14)33.735.869.5-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)36.434.470.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.030.868.8+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.235.168.2-1.954%-
vs Similar (3)26.037.363.3-11.30%-
vs Weaker (14)37.227.464.6+9.886%-
This opponent (Poland W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poland WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#1
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H10/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
39-15
39
15
+24
A09/02
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#21
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#29
W
39-15
39
15
+24
H15/11
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#21
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H11/03
European Championship Women
Romania W
#29
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A14/03
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
56-28
56
28
+28
A17/03
European Championship Women
Israel W
#10
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A11/11
European Championship Women
66.7Avg total
40.3Scored
26.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)40.827.868.6+13.070%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.129.772.8+13.482%-
Last 30 away (12)38.726.164.8+12.658%-
Last 10 (10)40.326.466.7+13.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.828.471.2+14.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.232.764.8-0.550%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.826.169.9+17.776%-
This opponent (Montenegro W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Montenegro Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro W: 64.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.1 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.117.6
44.9%
-35.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.36.9
26.2%
-20.7
🏀 Free throws14.48.8
60.8%
-8.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poland Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland W: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.5
54.2%
-41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.7
29.7%
-26.0
🏀 Free throws19.312.2
62.9%
-12.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/6 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Montenegro W
LWWWLWLLLL
Poland W
WWWWWWWWLL
#14
League position
#7
-1.8
Net rating
+23.3
85.5
Offensive rating
103.5
87.3
Defensive rating
80.2
42.6%
Effective FG%
50.0%
42.6%
Opp. effective FG%
42.1%
19.5%
Turnover %
22.1%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
39.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
26.2%
3-point %
29.7%
63.6%
Assist %
81.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Montenegro W   ■ Poland W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Montenegro W wins
0
Poland W wins
No previous meetings.
Montenegro Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ATurkey W62-79
17/03/26HBulgaria W70-66
14/03/26HAzerbaijan W94-35
11/03/26AUkraine W79-61
18/11/25ABulgaria W62-66
15/11/25AAzerbaijan W104-62
12/11/25HUkraine W65-71
22/06/25HPortugal W49-63
20/06/25HBelgium W53-87
19/06/25ACzech Republic W44-89
Poland Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AIsrael W75-64
17/03/26ACyprus W90-48
14/03/26ARomania W75-50
11/03/26HSlovakia W63-55
18/11/25HCyprus W96-52
15/11/25HRomania W86-41
12/11/25ASlovakia W62-55
09/02/25AAzerbaijan W88-34
06/02/25ALithuania W69-72
10/11/24HBelgium W77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montenegro W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game76.676.376.8
Allowed / game62.957.367.0
Point differential+13.7+19.0+9.8
Avg total139.4133.7143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.181.775.5
Allowed / game52.149.354.2
Point differential+26.0+32.3+21.2
Avg total130.3131.0129.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W110100%104.057.0+47.0
2 Poland W770100%78.152.1+26.0
3 Serbia W660100%82.865.0+17.8
4 Turkey W110100%79.062.0+17.0
5 Hungary W110100%70.064.0+6.0
6 Italy W110100%67.062.0+5.0
7 Spain W110100%73.071.0+2.0
8 Bulgaria W76186%92.160.0+32.1
9 Latvia W76186%79.963.4+16.4
10 Israel W76186%84.670.6+14.0
11 Great Britain W86275%78.471.0+7.4
12 Austria W75271%77.470.1+7.3
13 Belgium W32167%86.074.3+11.7
14 Lithuania W32167%78.070.0+8.0
15 Finland W32167%78.082.3-4.3
16 Croatia W85362%80.273.0+7.2
17 Montenegro W74357%76.662.9+13.7
18 Slovakia W74357%70.159.9+10.3
19 Greece W74357%88.378.4+9.9
20 Slovenia W74357%76.671.0+5.6
21 Ukraine W84450%72.066.4+5.6
22 Germany W21150%76.070.5+5.5
23 Netherlands W84450%79.178.0+1.1
24 Luxembourg W73443%67.366.1+1.1
25 Portugal W52340%69.668.4+1.2
26 Denmark W83538%83.279.6+3.6
27 Switzerland W62433%69.773.2-3.5
28 Ireland W62433%73.580.3-6.8
29 Romania W62433%58.775.0-16.3
30 Iceland W41325%64.284.0-19.8
31 Bosnia & Herzegovina W61517%71.285.8-14.7
32 North Macedonia W61517%62.596.5-34.0
33 Czech Republic W2020%70.077.5-7.5
34 Sweden W3030%73.388.7-15.3
35 Estonia W6060%62.086.8-24.8
36 Norway W6060%51.075.8-24.8
37 Cyprus W6060%54.280.2-26.0
38 Azerbaijan W6060%45.7105.0-59.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 38 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Montenegro W1519131461
Poland W1416131356
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