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Romania W vs Poland W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 50-75
17-19 8-26 11-9 14-21
Position#29
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game61.8
Allowed / game74.0
Romania W
vs
Poland W 🏆
Position#7
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game50.8
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 5· Sala Sporturilor Transilvania
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Romania W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Romania WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iceland W
#29
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
L
77-93
77
93
-16
H12/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
54-101
54
101
-47
A07/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
L
52-90
52
90
-38
A06/02
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
61-99
61
99
-38
H09/02
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A12/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#7
L
41-86
41
86
-45
A15/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#22
L
56-88
56
88
-32
H18/11
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H11/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
16-19
20-16
17-16
23-25
21-24
12-23
21-21
16-25
15-33
10-20
13-23
25-22
12-22
14-11
22-22
4-24
21-16
7-30
20-20
12-23
17-21
14-30
18-25
20-14
22-17
11-10
22-21
8-26
7-13
10-24
16-23
19-17
10-21
10-18
17-32
17-19
25-2
14-18
19-21
147.2Avg total
64.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.874.0135.8-12.250%
Season at home (2)65.574.0139.5-8.550%
Season away (2)58.074.0132.0-16.050%
Last 10 (10)64.682.6147.2-18.030%
Last 5 (5)61.679.0140.6-17.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)57.786.9144.6-29.26%
vs Similar (2)72.073.0145.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (4)68.262.2130.5+6.075%
This opponent (Poland W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poland WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#1
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A08/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
73-75 OT
73
75
-2
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
105-51
105
51
+54
H07/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H10/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A06/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
88-34
88
34
+54
A09/02
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#22
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#29
W
86-41
86
41
+45
H15/11
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H18/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#22
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H11/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
18-10
13-20
18-18
28-15
14-17
10-20
14-14
32-16
32-15
20-10
21-10
17-17
24-15
16-24
20-24
22-18
13-22
15-16
19-16
18-2
21-13
32-11
17-8
18-13
17-7
12-11
15-24
26-8
13-7
24-10
23-16
22-11
25-18
21-8
28-15
21-17
11-9
15-14
16-15
136.3Avg total
78.6Scored
57.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.850.8127.5+26.0100%
Season at home (3)81.749.3131.0+32.3100%
Season away (1)62.055.0117.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.657.7136.3+20.970%
Last 5 (5)79.047.4126.4+31.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.271.7133.8-9.533%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.654.6137.1+28.071%
This opponent (Romania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +9.1+9.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +9.1+9.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
Romania WPoland W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Romania WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iceland W
#29
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A07/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A06/02
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H09/02
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A12/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#7
L
15-39
15
39
-24
A15/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#22
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H18/11
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H11/03
European Championship Women
74.1Avg total
33.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)31.640.071.7-8.432%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.240.671.8-9.536%-
Last 30 away (11)32.139.571.5-7.427%-
Last 10 (10)33.940.274.1-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)31.434.666.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.444.473.9-15.06%-
vs Similar (2)41.533.074.5+8.5100%-
vs Weaker (4)35.526.061.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Poland W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poland WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#1
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A08/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
64-31
64
31
+33
H07/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H10/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
39-15
39
15
+24
A09/02
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#22
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#29
W
39-15
39
15
+24
H15/11
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#22
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H11/03
European Championship Women
67.4Avg total
41.0Scored
26.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)40.127.667.8+12.570%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.129.772.8+13.482%-
Last 30 away (9)36.625.161.7+11.456%-
Last 10 (10)41.026.467.4+14.690%-
Last 5 (5)38.421.059.4+17.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.232.764.8-0.550%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.625.569.1+18.179%-
This opponent (Romania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Romania Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Romania W: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.014.0
40.0%
-28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.7
32.7%
-26.0
🏀 Free throws15.711.5
73.4%
-11.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poland Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland W: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.5
54.2%
-41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.7
29.7%
-26.0
🏀 Free throws19.312.2
62.9%
-12.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Romania W
WLLWLLLLLW
Poland W
WWWWWLLWLW
#29
League position
#7
-29.2
Net rating
+23.3
87.5
Offensive rating
103.5
116.6
Defensive rating
80.2
43.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
42.1%
25.3%
Turnover %
22.1%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
39.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.7%
3-point %
29.7%
59.6%
Assist %
81.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Romania W   ■ Poland W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Romania W wins
1
Poland W wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Poland W v Romania W86-41
Romania Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HCyprus W75-60
18/11/25HSlovakia W56-88
15/11/25APoland W41-86
12/11/25ACyprus W75-62
09/02/25HTurkey W61-99
06/02/25ASlovakia W52-90
10/11/24AIceland W73-77
07/11/24ATurkey W54-101
12/11/23HSlovakia W77-93
09/11/23HIceland W82-70
Poland Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HSlovakia W63-55
18/11/25HCyprus W96-52
15/11/25HRomania W86-41
12/11/25ASlovakia W62-55
09/02/25AAzerbaijan W88-34
06/02/25ALithuania W69-72
10/11/24HBelgium W77-80
07/11/24HAzerbaijan W105-51
12/11/23HLithuania W73-75 OT
08/11/23ABelgium W67-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Romania W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game61.865.558.0
Allowed / game74.074.074.0
Point differential-12.2-8.5-16.0
Avg total135.8139.5132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.881.762.0
Allowed / game50.849.355.0
Point differential+26.0+32.3+7.0
Avg total127.5131.0117.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W440100%101.852.5+49.2
2 Poland W440100%76.850.8+26.0
3 Serbia W330100%84.358.7+25.7
4 Austria W440100%81.565.2+16.2
5 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
6 Israel W440100%90.578.2+12.2
7 Latvia W43175%80.859.8+21.0
8 Great Britain W43175%83.563.8+19.8
9 Luxembourg W43175%73.560.5+13.0
10 Netherlands W43175%81.874.0+7.8
11 Montenegro W53260%80.859.0+21.8
12 Denmark W53260%91.274.2+17.0
13 Slovakia W53260%68.656.8+11.8
14 Greece W53260%89.077.6+11.4
15 Slovenia W53260%75.470.0+5.4
16 Croatia W53260%79.074.2+4.8
17 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
18 Ukraine W42250%72.564.5+8.0
19 Portugal W21150%75.573.5+2.0
20 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
21 Romania W42250%61.874.0-12.2
22 Ireland W41325%76.578.5-2.0
23 Switzerland W41325%67.873.0-5.2
24 North Macedonia W51420%64.497.6-33.2
25 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
26 Cyprus W5050%55.478.2-22.8
27 Bosnia & Herzegovina W4040%67.090.2-23.2
28 Iceland W3030%65.092.0-27.0
29 Estonia W5050%59.487.8-28.4
30 Norway W4040%45.876.5-30.8
31 Azerbaijan W5050%43.8111.4-67.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Romania W178111450
Poland W192692175
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