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Morehead State vs UALR Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-72
38-34 38-38
Position#82
Record12-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#322
Record6-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game77.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Morehead State v UALR
16 Dec 2025
MORE78
UALR64
08 Feb 2025
MORE62
UALR76
26 Jan 2023
MORE76
UALR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#261
L
52-79
52
79
-27
A17/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#585
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A30/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A31/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H07/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A13/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-41
27-38
36-25
30-25
40-33
43-42
33-31
24-33
36-37
48-43
38-20
31-39
35-36
27-43
49-47
37-44
36-26
31-32
39-33
33-30
139.6Avg total
69.8Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.669.2140.8+2.457%
Season at home (10)82.564.2146.7+18.380%
Season away (11)61.773.7135.5-12.036%
Last 10 (10)69.869.8139.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)71.270.0141.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.770.3130.0-10.70%
vs Similar (15)63.671.5135.1-7.940%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.760.6141.2+20.183%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#341
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H21/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A22/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A31/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H05/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H07/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A13/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-27
43-39
39-31
36-46
46-29
42-45
26-45
43-49
41-27
21-40
33-36
35-38
36-40
31-34
25-32
38-38
30-37
45-40
39-29
50-48
148.1Avg total
73.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.677.7150.3-5.029%
Season at home (9)78.371.1149.4+7.267%
Season away (12)68.382.6150.9-14.20%
Last 10 (10)73.175.0148.1-1.930%
Last 5 (5)72.474.4146.8-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.178.3146.5-10.219%
vs Similar (5)71.275.4146.6-4.220%
vs Weaker (3)72.369.3141.7+3.067%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -3.3-3.3
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -3.3-3.3
Morehead StateUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#261
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A17/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#585
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H21/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A30/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H07/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A13/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A20/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A21/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
36.7Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.031.066.0+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.529.569.0+9.977%-
Last 30 away (17)31.632.163.6-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.969.6+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.471.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.031.762.7-0.733%-
vs Similar (15)32.332.765.1-0.453%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.328.667.9+10.875%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#341
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H21/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A22/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A31/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H05/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A13/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H21/01
NCAA
68.0Avg total
34.7Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.836.167.8-4.327%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.831.466.2+3.350%-
Last 30 away (18)29.839.268.9-9.411%-
Last 10 (10)34.733.368.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.867.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)31.138.669.7-7.414%-
vs Similar (5)33.032.265.2+0.840%-
vs Weaker (3)31.030.361.3+0.767%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morehead State wins
0
UALR wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23ALindenwood72-63
20/01/23ASiu Edwardsville67-58
14/01/23HSoutheast Missouri State86-91
13/01/23ATennessee Tech62-79
07/01/23HEastern Illinois69-59
06/01/23HSouthern Indiana84-80
31/12/22AUT Martin57-64
30/12/22ATennessee State83-75
21/12/22HAlice Loyd66-50
17/12/22AMercer52-79
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HTennessee State89-77
20/01/23HTennessee Tech75-77
14/01/23AEastern Illinois63-70
13/01/23ASouthern Indiana67-74
07/01/23HSoutheast Missouri State68-74
05/01/23HLindenwood62-67
31/12/22ATennessee State69-94
30/12/22HUT Martin88-74
22/12/22AArkansas State75-77
21/12/22HCentral Arkansas75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%80%36%
Points / game71.682.561.7
Allowed / game69.264.273.7
Point differential+2.4+18.3-12.0
Avg total140.8146.7135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UALR
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game72.678.368.3
Allowed / game77.771.182.6
Point differential-5.0+7.2-14.2
Avg total150.3149.4150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville2114767%74.168.5+5.7
2 UT Martin2113862%82.073.9+8.1
3 Western Illinois2012860%75.071.6+3.4
4 Southern Indiana2112957%76.972.1+4.8
5 Morehead State2112957%71.669.2+2.4
6 Tennessee State21111052%77.574.4+3.1
7 Southeast Missouri State21101148%74.974.1+0.8
8 Tennessee Tech2191243%72.172.2-0.1
9 Eastern Illinois2171433%68.270.6-2.3
10 Lindenwood2171433%67.971.6-3.7
11 UALR2161529%72.677.7-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State383876
UALR343872
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