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Morehead State vs Southeast Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 71-69
30-38 41-31
Position#112
Record7-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#110
Record9-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Morehead State v Southeast Missouri State
06 Mar 2026
MORE66
SOUT61
10 Jan 2026
MORE71
SOUT69
06 Feb 2025
MORE51
SOUT80
29 Feb 2024
MORE72
SOUT50
03 Mar 2023
MORE58
SOUT65
14 Jan 2023
MORE86
SOUT91
19 Feb 2022
MORE84
SOUT92
03 Mar 2021
MORE61
SOUT54
21 Jan 2021
MORE76
SOUT65
30 Jan 2020
MORE90
SOUT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southeast Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A23/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A29/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
52-84
52
84
-32
A03/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A06/12
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
64-60 OT
64
60
+4
A20/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#622
W
115-65
115
65
+50
H28/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A01/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A03/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-44
45-36
30-33
50-52
28-33
24-51
42-39
30-41
46-29
32-35
26-33
29-22
61-30
54-35
38-44
26-33
33-35
40-37
43-32
25-44
149.2Avg total
74.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.477.4153.9-1.044%
Season at home (5)94.268.0162.2+26.280%
Season away (11)68.481.7150.1-13.427%
Last 10 (10)74.974.3149.2+0.650%
Last 5 (5)76.870.0146.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)62.276.4138.7-14.217%
vs Similar ◀ (11)66.272.5138.7-6.427%
vs Weaker (6)85.870.7156.5+15.283%
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#335
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A27/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H29/11
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#473
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H03/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A06/12
NCAA
St. Xavier
#435
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A19/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A20/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H02/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H03/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-39
43-40
30-38
47-50
50-32
38-25
44-46
30-24
46-22
42-43
35-34
39-51
44-37
47-45
30-37
38-22
34-27
39-23
43-36
41-40
150.0Avg total
78.9Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.374.0152.3+4.356%
Season at home (7)79.063.4142.4+15.671%
Season away (9)77.882.2160.0-4.444%
Last 10 (10)78.971.1150.0+7.870%
Last 5 (5)78.070.4148.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.791.7161.3-22.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.079.0157.0-1.057%
vs Weaker (19)76.664.2140.8+12.479%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +4.1+4.1
Morehead StateSoutheast Missouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A23/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A29/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A03/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/12
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H17/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A20/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#622
W
61-30
61
30
+31
H28/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H09/01
NCAA
73.7Avg total
38.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.634.367.9-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.832.870.6+5.158%-
Last 30 away (18)30.835.366.1-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)38.535.273.7+3.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.875.0+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.036.967.9-5.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.231.562.6-0.364%-
vs Weaker (6)38.734.873.5+3.833%-
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#335
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A27/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H29/11
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#473
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H03/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/12
NCAA
St. Xavier
#435
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H14/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A19/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H02/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A09/01
NCAA
73.3Avg total
38.5Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.432.668.0+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.829.565.3+6.371%-
Last 30 away (16)35.135.370.4-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.534.873.3+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.271.4+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.744.774.3-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.137.475.6+0.757%-
vs Weaker (19)34.628.963.5+5.668%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HUT Martin68-76
03/01/26ASiu Edwardsville73-72
01/01/26ALindenwood64-77
28/12/25HAlice Loyd115-65
20/12/25ASouthern Indiana64-60 OT
17/12/25HUALR78-64
06/12/25APresbyterian72-80
03/12/25AMurray State52-84
29/11/25AIU Indy80-85
23/11/25ALouisiana Monroe83-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26ASouthern Indiana84-76
03/01/26HWestern Illinois73-50
02/01/26HEastern Illinois68-59
20/12/25ATennessee State91-82
19/12/25ATennessee Tech74-85
14/12/25HSt. Xavier88-65
06/12/25AChattanooga Mocs74-70
03/12/25HSMWC Pomeroys88-57
29/11/25HLipscomb77-88
27/11/25ANorthern Arizona72-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16511
Win %44%80%27%
Points / game76.494.268.4
Allowed / game77.468.081.7
Point differential-1.0+26.2-13.4
Avg total153.9162.2150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%9%
Southeast Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%71%44%
Points / game78.379.077.8
Allowed / game74.063.482.2
Point differential+4.3+15.6-4.4
Avg total152.3142.4160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%57%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin1612475%75.065.6+9.4
2 Tennessee State1510567%81.175.7+5.4
3 Lindenwood1610662%81.471.2+10.2
4 Siu Edwardsville1710759%74.566.3+8.2
5 Southeast Missouri State169756%78.374.0+4.3
6 Morehead State167944%76.477.4-1.0
7 Tennessee Tech1661038%76.978.3-1.4
8 UALR1661038%70.177.2-7.1
9 Eastern Illinois1551033%65.772.7-6.9
10 Western Illinois1641225%66.675.4-8.9
11 Southern Indiana1531220%71.376.3-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State304171
Southeast Missouri State383169
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