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Southeast Missouri State vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:15
Final 64-83
33-40 31-43
Position#332
Record5-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#34
Record9-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Southeast Missouri State v Morehead State
05 Feb 2026
SOUT82
MORE70
11 Jan 2025
SOUT56
MORE67
31 Dec 2023
SOUT64
MORE83
11 Feb 2023
SOUT59
MORE65
27 Jan 2022
SOUT73
MORE74
16 Jan 2021
SOUT50
MORE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southeast Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southeast Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#336
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H21/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
74-93
74
93
-19
H25/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A26/11
NCAA
UMKC
#200
L
44-74
44
74
-30
A01/12
NCAA
Missouri Baptist
#461
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H03/12
NCAA
Harris-Stowe
#639
W
95-45
95
45
+50
H07/12
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Wilson College
#475
W
87-59
87
59
+28
H17/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-27
43-41
29-51
45-42
25-35
31-37
17-38
27-36
48-29
36-27
50-20
45-25
39-41
41-48
37-26
50-33
28-42
36-43
34-32
40-42
147.9Avg total
74.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.375.9147.2-4.638%
Season at home (7)80.069.7149.7+10.371%
Season away (6)61.283.2144.3-22.00%
Last 10 (10)74.773.2147.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)83.873.8157.6+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)63.282.6145.8-19.30%
vs Similar (13)77.878.4156.2-0.662%
vs Weaker (6)87.776.0163.7+11.783%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#223
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
94-53
94
53
+41
H22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A30/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H03/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A10/12
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#636
W
102-33
102
33
+69
H15/12
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A19/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#586
W
101-39
101
39
+62
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-30
36-36
26-37
25-37
22-20
42-31
36-33
58-20
27-27
34-23
40-36
47-44
30-37
56-40
52-19
50-14
36-25
32-44
47-22
54-17
138.0Avg total
78.8Scored
59.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.063.4141.4+14.669%
Season at home (6)92.351.8144.2+40.5100%
Season away (7)65.773.3139.0-7.643%
Last 10 (10)78.859.2138.0+19.680%
Last 5 (5)88.859.6148.4+29.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.077.0136.0-18.00%
vs Similar (12)67.068.9135.9-1.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)77.560.0137.5+17.581%
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +12.8+12.8
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +12.8+12.8
Southeast Missouri StateMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southeast Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#336
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H21/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H25/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/11
NCAA
UMKC
#200
L
17-38
17
38
-21
A01/12
NCAA
Missouri Baptist
#461
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H03/12
NCAA
Harris-Stowe
#639
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H07/12
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/12
NCAA
Wilson College
#475
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H30/12
NCAA
67.5Avg total
33.4Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.037.271.3-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.334.570.9+1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)31.739.971.7-8.227%-
Last 10 (10)33.434.167.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.632.269.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)27.143.170.2-16.00%-
vs Similar (13)33.236.870.0-3.731%-
vs Weaker (6)43.234.077.2+9.283%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#223
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
22-20
22
20
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A30/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A10/12
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#636
W
52-19
52
19
+33
H15/12
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A19/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#586
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H21/12
NCAA
64.0Avg total
35.4Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.130.265.3+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.627.766.3+10.993%-
Last 30 away (16)32.032.464.4-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.428.664.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.027.868.8+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.039.066.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (12)33.832.065.8+1.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)36.728.164.8+8.681%-
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HSouthern Indiana93-91 OT
22/12/23AIllinois State64-85
17/12/23HWilson College87-59
10/12/23AIPFW80-89
07/12/23HHarris-Stowe95-45
03/12/23HMissouri Baptist84-56
01/12/23AUMKC44-74
26/11/23AChattanooga Mocs56-72
25/11/23HEvansville74-93
21/11/23HCentral Arkansas70-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23HAlice Loyd101-39
19/12/23AIndiana68-69
15/12/23HSMWC Pomeroys102-33
10/12/23ANorth Alabama86-77
03/12/23HChattanooga Mocs87-80
30/11/23AAustin Peay61-50
22/11/23HMidway94-53
20/11/23ABellarmine64-51
18/11/23APenn State51-74
15/11/23HMercer74-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southeast Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW38%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%71%0%
Points / game71.380.061.2
Allowed / game75.969.783.2
Point differential-4.6+10.3-22.0
Avg total147.2149.7144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%100%43%
Points / game78.092.365.7
Allowed / game63.451.873.3
Point differential+14.6+40.5-7.6
Avg total141.4144.2139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%67%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State139469%78.063.4+14.6
2 UT Martin159660%85.280.3+4.9
3 Siu Edwardsville148657%71.968.7+3.1
4 Western Illinois137654%71.967.1+4.8
5 Tennessee State158753%77.673.8+3.8
6 UALR157847%79.280.5-1.3
7 Eastern Illinois146843%69.964.9+5.0
8 Lindenwood146843%67.171.6-4.4
9 Southeast Missouri State135838%71.375.9-4.6
10 Tennessee Tech1551033%71.377.5-6.2
11 Southern Indiana1541127%67.271.5-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southeast Missouri State333164
Morehead State404383
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