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Morehead State vs Western Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 64-50
28-20 36-30
Position#34
Record15-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game63.1
vs
Position#92
Record13-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Morehead State v Western Illinois
21 Jan 2027
MORE v WEST
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
MORE71
WEST66
16 Jan 2025
MORE51
WEST47
27 Jan 2024
MORE64
WEST50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMWC Pomeroys
#636
W
102-33
102
33
+69
H15/12
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A19/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#586
W
101-39
101
39
+62
H21/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A31/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H05/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
78-52
78
52
+26
A12/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A13/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H19/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
52-19
50-14
36-25
32-44
47-22
54-17
40-33
43-31
33-32
49-25
42-31
36-37
36-23
42-29
20-28
28-33
49-26
35-40
42-28
39-42
138.4Avg total
80.5Scored
57.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.463.1140.5+14.375%
Season at home (9)88.755.8144.4+32.9100%
Season away (11)68.269.1137.3-0.955%
Last 10 (10)80.557.9138.4+22.680%
Last 5 (5)73.863.4137.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.077.0136.0-18.00%
vs Similar (7)67.172.0139.1-4.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)77.460.1137.6+17.381%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A10/12
NCAA
Eureka
#571
W
92-56
92
56
+36
H19/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A20/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A31/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H05/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H06/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A12/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
33-27
34-19
58-37
33-19
32-35
33-32
45-38
36-26
32-35
34-28
34-29
35-30
38-34
33-32
30-28
28-21
29-37
37-35
36-33
131.2Avg total
70.5Scored
60.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.865.5136.2+5.265%
Season at home (9)78.659.9138.4+18.778%
Season away (11)64.470.1134.5-5.755%
Last 10 (10)70.560.7131.2+9.890%
Last 5 (5)66.861.4128.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)59.385.3144.7-26.00%
vs Similar (13)67.769.2136.8-1.554%
vs Weaker (12)72.864.8137.6+8.167%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.0+13.01st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +9.6+9.62nd half: +3.4+3.4
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.0+13.01st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +9.6+9.62nd half: +3.4+3.4
Morehead StateWestern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMWC Pomeroys
#636
W
52-19
52
19
+33
H15/12
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A19/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#586
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H21/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A31/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H05/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A12/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A13/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H19/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A20/01
NCAA
66.4Avg total
39.7Scored
26.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.529.565.0+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.326.867.2+13.5100%-
Last 30 away (17)31.831.563.3+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)39.726.766.4+13.090%-
Last 5 (5)37.827.265.0+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.039.066.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (7)33.332.665.9+0.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)36.827.864.6+9.081%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Eureka
#571
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H19/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A20/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A31/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H05/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H06/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A12/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A13/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/01
NCAA
61.2Avg total
33.8Scored
27.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.731.863.6-0.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.128.462.6+5.786%-
Last 30 away (16)29.634.864.4-5.244%-
Last 10 (10)33.827.461.2+6.4100%-
Last 5 (5)33.429.262.6+4.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)25.046.371.3-21.30%-
vs Similar (13)30.333.463.7-3.162%-
vs Weaker (12)33.928.262.2+5.775%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morehead State wins
0
Western Illinois wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ASouthern Indiana81-70
19/01/24HUT Martin84-66
13/01/24ASiu Edwardsville48-61
12/01/24AEastern Illinois78-52
06/01/24HTennessee State78-68
05/01/24HTennessee Tech82-57
31/12/23ASoutheast Missouri State83-64
21/12/23HAlice Loyd101-39
19/12/23AIndiana68-69
15/12/23HSMWC Pomeroys102-33
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24ASouthern Indiana73-68
20/01/24HTennessee State57-58
13/01/24AEastern Illinois63-60
12/01/24AUT Martin73-64
06/01/24HLindenwood68-57
05/01/24HSoutheast Missouri State68-61
31/12/23ASiu Edwardsville78-70
20/12/23ACentral Arkansas65-54
19/12/23HEureka92-56
10/12/23AWisc. Green Bay68-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %75%100%55%
Points / game77.488.768.2
Allowed / game63.155.869.1
Point differential+14.3+32.9-0.9
Avg total140.5144.4137.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%78%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayWWWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %65%78%55%
Points / game70.878.664.4
Allowed / game65.559.970.1
Point differential+5.2+18.7-5.7
Avg total136.2138.4134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%56%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %10%11%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State2015575%77.463.1+14.3
2 Western Illinois2013765%70.865.5+5.2
3 Tennessee State2011955%75.871.2+4.7
4 UT Martin2011955%82.078.5+3.5
5 Siu Edwardsville2011955%70.567.5+2.9
6 Eastern Illinois20101050%70.366.8+3.5
7 UALR20101050%79.779.8-0.1
8 Southeast Missouri State2071335%68.073.7-5.7
9 Lindenwood2071335%66.272.5-6.2
10 Tennessee Tech2071335%69.075.8-6.7
11 Southern Indiana2151624%67.371.9-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State283664
Western Illinois203050
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